Sunday was a good day for Bobreaksbookies with just under 7 points of profit achieved to leave me just 0.5 points in profit for October and with a couple of days remaining in the month there are plenty of opportunities to boost the profit before November comes. We have eight fixtures in Italy tonight and having analysed all of the fixtures, I feel there could be plenty of goals around in a league that used to be famed for it's defensive pragmatism but now produces plenty of excitement and goal-mouth action. I'm ignoring the cup football across Europe tonight with team-news and other factors making these competitions far too unpredictable for my liking and given what we have on offer on Italy, I'm happy to stick to that league tonight. There is a play-off fixture in the MLS tonight and I'll take a look at that in due course but for now, here are my "Key Facts" and "Suggested Bets" for Serie A. Serie A
19:45 Roma vs Udinese - Prediction -2.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @5/6, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/4 Key Facts * Roma have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in their last 6 home Serie A fixtures * Roma have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 Serie A fixtures * Roma have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in their last 8 matches in all competitions with a remarkable 39 goals scored in those 8 fixtures * Roma scored 23 and conceded 16 in those 8 matches * Roma scored 2 or more in 7 of those 8 fixtures and in 6 of their last 8 at home * Roma have kept just 4 clean sheets in their last 17 home Serie A fixtures and only 1 in the last 8 * Roma have scored in 20 of their last 23 games at home in Serie A * Roma have scored 21 goals in their last 8 league fixtures * Roma have scored 2 or more in 7 of their last 8 league fixtures and in 6 of their last 7 at home in Serie A * Udinese have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 Serie A fixtures and in 4 of their last 6 on the road * Udinese have scored in 13 of their last 17 away league fixtures including 7 of their last 8 * Udinese have won 2 out of 4 away fixtures so far this season with only 1 defeat * Udinese are unbeaten in their last 4 league fixtures * Udinese lost 2.1 at Roma in their penultimate away fixture of last season * Each of the last 4 meetings between these two sides in Rome has seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals with 8 of the last 10 in Rome also seeing BTTS * Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 meetings with Udinese, winning the last 4 Final Verdict - Roma = Goals and a likely home win Roma's recent form in the BTTS and over 2.5 goal markets makes this an obvious choice against an opponent that is in decent form and has a good record in Rome at least in terms of scoring. BTTS @5/6 is good for me while this one is likely to go over 2.5 goals so I'll take the 5/4 on the combination bet. ___________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Verona vs Fiorentina - Prediction -2.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @4/5, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @13/10 Key Facts * Verona have drawn 8 of their last 13 league fixtures including 4 of their last 5 at home against heavyweight's Juventus and Roma as well as Torino and Udinese * Verona are without a win in 11 Serie A fixtures with 5 draws from their first 9 fixtures this season * Verona have lost only 3 of their last 12 at home. * Verona have scored 2 or more in 6 of their last 11 home league fixtures * Verona have seen BTTS in 10 of their last 13 home league fixtures including their last 6 * Verona have scored in 24 of their last 27 home league fixtures with 19 of those seeing BTTS * Verona have just 1 clean sheet in 13 home league fixtures and in none of their 15 most recent league fixtures * Verona have yet to win this season, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures while veteran striker Luca Toni is still missing through injury * Verona have seen BTTS in each of their last 5 home midweek league fixtures since the beginning of 2014 * Fiorentina had won 5 in a row in Serie A before losing their two most recent league fixtures * Fiorentina have seen 6 of their last 7 on the road produce BTTS and over 2.5 goals * The Viola have just 2 clean sheets in their last 16 away league fixtures * But they have Scored in 19 of their last 22 away league fixtures * Fiorentina have scored 2 or more in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures * 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * There was 19 goals scored in those 4 fixtures * Only 1 of the last 9 meetings between these two sides has been won by the home team with Fiorentina winning on their last 4 visits to Verona Final Verdict - Goals on the cards here Verona are a good side at home and I like their chances of pushing Fiorentina to the limit here with the Viola a bit uncertain on the road and with Verona so frequently scoring and conceding at home, this is my best BTTS selection of the evening. ____________________________________________________________________ 19:45 AC Milan vs Chievo - Prediction - 2.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @4/5 Key Facts * Milan have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 home league fixtures including 3 out of 4 league fixtures this season * Milan have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 16 Serie A fixtures and only 2 in 22 since February * Milan have seen 9 of their last 10 home league fixtures produce more than 2.5 goals * Milan have made a disappointing start to the campaign under new boss Sinisa Mijhalovic with 4 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw leaving them mid-table and only a point ahead of tonight's opponents * Chievo have seen BTTS in all 4 away league fixtures this season (at Empoli, Juventus, Genoa and Sassuolo) * Chievo have lost only 6 of their last 18 away league fixtures * Chievo have won only 1 of their last 7 league fixtures having won the first 2 * Chievo scored in 12 of those 18 away fixtures * Chievo have failed to score in their last 5 fixtures with Milan * Chievo have not beaten Milan in 18 games stretching back 10 years Final Verdict - BTTS possible if not quite nailed on Chievo's dismal record against Milan makes this less of a convincing pick but the visitors are in good form while Milan are pretty leaky and this could be Chievo's best chance in a while to break their goal-scoring duck against the Milanese side with the the Verona outfit failing to score in their last 5 fixtures with Milan. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Sassuolo vs Juventus - Prediction -1.1- Suggested Bets - BTTS @5/6, Sassuolo or draw @23/20 Key Facts * Sassuolo have seen BTTS in each of their last 6 home fixtures * Sassuolo have lost only 1 of their last 11 home fixtures and just 3 out of 20 in 1 year * Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last 8 at home in all competitions * Sassuolo have scored in 14 of their last 17 home Serie A fixtures * Sassuolo have scored 2 or more in 5 of their last 6 home league fixtures * Sassuolo beat Lazio 2.1 in their last home outing * Both of Sassuolo's previous home fixtures with Juventus saw BTTS including last season's corresponding fixture which finished 1.1 * Juventus have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 6 away league fixtures * Juventus have kept just 4 clean sheets in their last 12 away league games * Juventus have won only 1 of their last 5 away league fixtures * After a poor start to the season, Juventus are steadinly improving and are unbeaten in their last 5 in all competitions Final Verdict - Don't rule out the underdogs here Sassuolo are having a great season and I expect this to be a close encounter with Juve still not convincing despite a recent improvement in form. BTTS has to have a chance while I fancy the hosts to snatch a point and avoid defeat @23/20 ____________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Napoli vs Palermo - Prediction -3.1 - Suggested Bets - Over 2.5 goals @4/7, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @11/8 Key Facts * Napoli have scored 2 or more in 13 of their last 15 home league fixtures and in 20 out of 23 going back 1 year * Napoli have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 home league fixtures as well as BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 at home * Napoli have also seen 9 of their last 13 in the league produce BTTS * Napoli have won 10 of their last 14 at home in Serie A * 13 of Napoli's last 15 home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals * Napoli are unbeaten in their last 8 Serie A fixtures winning each of the last 4 * Palermo have won 4 of their last 6 away league fixtures, scoring in all 6 * 3 of Palermo's last 5 on the road have gone over 2.5 goals * Palermo have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 Serie A fixtures * Palermo have scored at least 1 goal in 12 of their last 13 league fixtures * Napoli have scored at least 3 goals in 4 of their last 6 meetings with Palermo * Both of last season's fixtures between these two sides saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals including a 3.3 draw in last season's corresponding fixture in Naples * 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides have gone over 2.5 goals Final Verdict - Home win with goals very likely ____________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Torino vs Genoa - Prediction - 2.0 - Suggested Bets - Torino to score 2 or more @11/10, Torino to win @1/1, BTTS @10./11 Key Facts * Torino have won 5 of their last 6 home Serie A fixtures * Torino scored 2 or more in all 5 of those wins, scoring 14 in the process * In contrast, Torino have won only 1 of their last 9 on the road. They are very much a team relying on home form * Torino have lost only 2 of their last 16 at home * Torino have kept only 4 clean sheets in their last 17 at home * Genoa have lost 5 of their last 6 away league fixtures * Genoa have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 away league fixtures * Genoa have won only 2 of their last 13 away league fixtures * Genoa have conceded 2 or more in 4 of their last 6 league fixtures * Genoa have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 away league fixtures having scored in 16 of their previous 19 away league fixtures * 14 of Genoa's 19 away games last season saw BTTS but only 1 of 5 on the road so far in this campaign * 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * Torino won last season's corresponding fixture 2.1 but Genoa thumped Torino 5.1 in the reverse fixture at home in May * 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides in Turin finished with BTTS Final Verdict - Torino to score 2 in a home win with BTTS a decent possibility ____________________________________________________________________ 19.45 Atalanta vs Lazio - Prediction -1.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @ 4/5 Key Facts * Atalanta have seen BTTS in 16 of their last 19 home Serie A fixtures * Atalanta have scored in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures * Atalanta have kept just 5 clean sheets in their last 27 home Serie A fixtures * Atalanta have won 3 of their last 4 at home with only 2 defeats in their last 9 league fixtures going back to April * Only 2 of the last 14 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS although both of the last two meetings in Bergamo saw BTTS * Lazio have only won 1 of their last 4 meetings with Atalanta * Lazio have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 9 away league fixtures and just 4 from 16 going back to November 2014 * Lazio have conceded 14 goals in their last 5 away league fixtures * Lazio have lost 3 out of 4 away league fixtures this season including a 2.1 reverse at Sassuolo in their most recent away match * Both sides have seen only 3 out of 9 fixtures this season producing BTTS Final Verdict - BTTS Again? It has every chance Despite both sides stats in the market this season, this one could yet produce BTTS with Lazio so poor on the road defensively and Atalanta holding a really good home record with 16 of their last 19 producing BTTS. It's not my favourite of all the matches covered but this could be a night when goals are king in Italy and I'm backing this one to bring up the market as well @4/5 odds. Serie A Suggested Bets Roma vs Udinese - BTTS @5/6 Roma vs Udinese - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/4 Verona vs Fiorentina - BTTS @4/5 Verona vs Fiorentina - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @13/10 Sassuolo vs Juventus - BTTS @5/6 Sassuolo vs Juventus - Sassuolo or draw @23/20 Napoli vs Palermo - Over 2.5 goals @4/7 Napoli vs Palermo - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @11/8 Torino vs Genoa - Torino to score 2 or more @11/10 Torino vs Genoa - Torino to win @1/1 Torino vs Genoa - BTTS @10./11 Atalanta vs Lazio - BTTS @ 4/5 Comments are closed.
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