It was a wonderful Friday for @bobreaksbookies with both my "Deadly Double" and "Tasty Treble" landing and there are a good number of games today that I like the look of. Saturday's can be tough with so many games to choose from and that is why I try to limit myself to only the top divisions as there is just far too much on offer to study it all. Here are all of my bets for today including my new #BOliever Bonanza Coupon for those of you feeling extra lucky! Well that was a bit more like it!. Bobreaksbookies got back on form tonight with 2 big winners as I landed both my "Deadly Double" and "Tasty Treble" with goals galore in the games in Munich and Marseille. Bayern romped home to a 4.1 victory over FC Cologne while Marseille contrived to throw away a 2 goal lead to comeback kings Caen who scored 3 goals in the final 25 minutes to win 3.2 and stun the hosts who also missed an early penalty. It was as close to a perfect night as I could have with all 6 of my best bets coming in. Let's have a look again at tonight's bets. It's Friday again and as is the way these days, we have a few live TV games to look at across the continent as punters look to enjoy a delicious entree before the regular weekend fare is served up. My attention has been drawn to the beautiful port city of Marseille for tonight's Ligue 1 fixture with Caen the visitors to the Stade Veledrome in a game that throws up some interesting goals statistics. For the 3rd week running, Rangers return to our TV screens on a Friday with a visit to 4th placed Falkirk in an important clash in the Scottish Championship while in Germany, Bayern welcome FC Koln to the space ship that is the imperious Allianz Arena. 6 EPL Fixtures on Saturday to consider with 2 more to come on Sunday as well as the Carling Cup Final. While the more attractive fixtures are set for Sunday, I am still confident we can find some nice winners from the 6 games on offer. So here is my preview for Saturday's action from the best league in the world. No really, it just is. La Liga? Hahahaha And here is the 2nd part of the Championship preview with a few more of my best bets in this one. I am particularly keen on my Derby bet against a poor Fulham side while there could be goals at Reading. I did pretty well in midweek on the Championship and we have 11 more games to look at on Saturday. The fight for promotion is really hotting up with so many teams still capable of winning the division and down at the bottom, a lot of scrapping between now and the end of the season is of course assured. Due to the volume of games on offer, I will not be writing a preview for all of the games, but rather the ones I find most interesting from a betting perspective. There are 9 other fixtures across Europe that I want to look at on Saturday with 4 ties coming from Holland, 4 from La Liga in Spain and 1 from the San Siro as Milan travel to beautiful Verona to take on Chievo. I have stated before that my main focus is on English football with German, Italian and Dutch following thereafter but I will also look at La Liga, despite it not being a particular favourite of mine. As it is, there is more than enough action to consider and other leagues such as Ligue 1 in France and the SPFL north of the border will rarely be considered. Any experienced punter will tell you that the weekend after midweek European competition usually brings about it's fair share of surprise results with many teams, especially those competing in the Europa League suffering what is known in the industry as a "European Hangover" No, not a cynical, dirty, Euro trash version of a silly movie that starred Mike Tyson and a tiger. Can you imagine a european version? Carl Froch and a Cobra? It was a tough night for Bo as our midweek disappointments continued with the likes of Celtic and Tottenham really letting me down. I was denied a 7/1 treble by Celtic failing to hit the net in Italy and Feyenoords defeat to Roma denied me a fantastic 18/1 acca however I was able to cover this when my first 4 selections landed while noord were still level at 0.0. I backed Roma to qualify at 5/6 odds as I had Feyenoord to claim the 18/1 shot I hoped for. In the end, Roma did the business and while I was denied my huge acca, at least I got something back on a night when it felt like I got so much right but only to end up with so little. When you pick 6 out of 8 selections correctly and end up with nothing, it's hard not to feel hard done by but there is nothing to do but suck it up and keep on fighting. After a hard couple of days, it would be foolish to risk too much on the Europa League but there are plenty of games i like so it is important to remain patient and leve lheaded. Nothing changes when we are winning or when we lose. I need to make sure that my "sexy single" becomes a regular winner and one such way is to combine 2 so called "dead certs" to double our money and this is an approach I will look at more closely in the coming days. It was one of my better night's in the Europa League last week as I landed a "tasty treble" at 4/1 odds and tipped up goals in a variety of different matches. I was especially pleased as this tournament is usually a bit of a minefield and is not usually an event I place much importance or stake money on but last week saw me emerge from the day in profit. i certainly prefer betting on 2nd legs when you at least have a recent meeting to assess the form and hopefully with a bit of luck, we can pick out a few well priced winners to finish the midweek European action in style. 7 games to look at kicking off at 9.05 pm CET tonight with Feyenoord against Roma looking the pick of the bunch. There will be a hostile atmosphere following last weeks trouble in Rome and security has been ramped up for a tie in Rotterdam between two of European football's most headheaded supports while I expect an entertaining tie in Spain between two of the classic names in European football with Torino visiting Atheltic Bilbao. So here below, is my preview for the later kick-offs. As Champions League nights go, this must go down as one of, if not the most inept and disappointing performances of Arsene Wengers 19 year tenure at Arsenal as the hosts were spanked 3.1 by a hard working Monaco team in London last night. This was no Bayern or Barcelona where Arsenal could be forgiven for losing to top opposition; this was different. This was Arsenal being comprehensively out-thought, out-manoeuvered and out-worked all over the park with the end result so comprehensive that Monaco's place in the next round seems a forgone conclusion even before the return of the 2nd leg; for Arsenal and Wenger this is an inexcusable display that will come with big questions and an inevitable backlash. Arsenal will be the cornerstone of my best bets today as I am very confident they can ease past Monaco and qualify for their first Champions League quarter final in 5 seasons. As discussed in my previous post, I fancy the Gunners to win at 1/2 and to win to nil at 6/5. Olivier Giroud is on red hot form with 5 in his last 3 and can add to the tally tonight. Arsene Wenger welcomes his former club AS Monaco to the Emirates tomorrow evening as Arsenal look to advance to the quarter finals for the first time in a number of years. In recent seasons, Arsenal's failure to win their group has undermined their prospects of progression beyond the last 16 stage with the Likes of Barcelona, Bayern and Milan knocking the Gunners out in each of the last 4 seasons at this round. This year however represents their best opportunity in a while to move to a quarter final berth as they take on a fairly average Monaco side, bereft of last seasons Colombian talents, Radamel Falcao and James Rodriguez. It was a hugely frustrating night for Bo for a 3rd day running, with a failure in my main bet, the "sexy single" as City crashed to a 2.1 home defeat but I did however win most of it back with my "deadly double" My faith in City was rocked when for some reason they decided to start with Dzeko up front and playing only 2 central midfielders. How many times does Pellegrini need to make this mistake? In the end it should have been a lot easier for Barca and they made me look rather foolish but for me this was a real blunder again by Pellegrini who seems to be somewhat out of his depth at the top table in Europe. In the Championship however I made some fine predictions, but Leeds Failure to win or even score at Brighton hurt me on a night where just 1 more goal would have put us in profit. It should be a great occasion in Manchester tonight with FC Barcelona travelling to England for the first leg encounter with Man City. City have been nothing short of a mixed bag of delicious yet inconsistant nuts (revels anyone?)in this competition for the past 3 seasons but sealed their place in the knockout competition with a fantastic 2.0 win in Rome in the final game of their group to recover from a pretty poor start to the campaign. Having beaten Bayern 3.2 in the previous game, it was clear perhaps that this side had turned a corner and they went on to record a fine win in Italy to knock out Roma. 2 big Champions league ties on Tuesday evening with Barcelona travelling to England for their first leg encounter with Man City while Juventus play host to Dortmund in the other tie. For City and Barca this is a repeat of their meeting at the same stage last season but City will be hopeful of turning the tables having bowed out 4.1 on aggregate 1 year ago. Of course back then, the crucial red card of Martin Dimechellis changed the complexion of the tie and I have a feeling that this year, we could be in for a surprise result. It was an absolute horror show in the Championship on Saturday for Bo and punters, as 3 of the top 4 sides were beaten and Waftord failed to find the net at home to Norwich to deny me my "Deadly Double". Most of my other predictions failed miserably although this a ruthlessly difficult division with any team capable of beating another and so I cannot be too downhearted. It is a full card on Tuesday and I will be looking strictly for goals as I just do not trust any of the tops sides to win at the moment and I fully believe the goals are much easier to find that the straight win market and for these games, that will be my focus. Let's have a look at the upcoming games. Blackburn v Norwich - Best Bet - BTTS 8/13 - Prediction - 1.2
Blackburn failed to beat Blackpool at home on Saturday and will struggle to claim the points in this encounter with Norwich really coming into form now. BTTS is a good possibility at 8/13 but I do think Norwich will be confident of the 3 points again although it must be noted Blackburn don't lose many at home. If you want to back a winner, Norwich would be my selection but I think BTTS is more likely here with 69% of Blackburn's home games following this route. Brentford v Blackpool - Best Bet - Brentford to win - Prediction 2.0 Brentford scored a fine win over Bournemouth to show that they are still up for the promotion push, despite the impending departure of boss Mark Warburton and should be too strong here for a Blackpool side who did at least pick up a point on the road at Blackburn. Brighton v Leeds - Best Bet - BTTS at evens and Leeds to win, 7/2 Leeds have really come into form now, winning 5 of their last 6 and most impressively away to Middlesbrough at the weekend. They can make it 6 here against an average Brighton side although I also really fancy the possible BTTS with Brighton scoring and leaking at a remarkable rate in their last 3 home games with 9 for and 8 against. BTTS is evens and for me this is a really good price. Not only for the recent home form of Brighton but the overall BTTS record of both teams is strong. Brighton have seen 69% of their home teams going BTTS with Leeds also at 69% for away games. At evens, I think the bookies have this one wrong and the value is there. Derby v Charlton - Best Bet - Darren Bent to score anytime - 21/20 - Prediction 2.1 Charlton scored a fine 3.0 win over seemingly doomed Wigan and will be optimistic of troubling a Derby side who have not been entirely convincing of late. Darren Bent continues to score in every game that he starts for Derby and I would be a fool to ignore the on loan villa man here against his former club. Chris Martin is back from the Oscars with Gwyneth Paltrow and might get his place back up front, so check for team news beforehand if you want to get Bent. Derby should win but it won't be too easy and Charlton might also hit the net. BTTS is 5/6 It's not the same Chris Martin? well either way, it is going to be Trouble for Charlton. Huddersfield v Reading - Best Bet - Avoid - Prediction 1.1 This is really a game I refuse to bet on. 2 very inconsistent teams and not a whole lot to play for regarding either promotion or relegation. No bet her for Bo. Ipswich v Birmingham - Best Bet - Avoid - Prediction 1.0 Ipswich were tipped up at home on Saturday and duly delivered an uninspiring 1.0 defeat at home to Reading. They will be looking to bounce back here and I wish them good luck but I certainly won't be backing them here. No bet for Bo on this one. Middlesbrough v Bolton - Best Bet - Avoid - Prediction 2.1 These Championship games really feel like a lottery at times and this is another one where you might have been confident in a home win had they not just lost at home to Leeds on Saturday. Bolton are improved under Neil Lennon but I do feel they will come unstuck here though. Continuing the theme though, I don't fancy a bet on this one and will avoid it. Millwall v Sheff Wed - Best Bet - Draw - 9/4 - Prediction 0.0 Certainly not an attractive fixture here and it should be a low scoring one as well. A draw is a possibility here and that is the only bet I will have on this on with Millwall having drawn 2 of their last 3 at home. Watford v Rotherham - Best Bet - Watford to win - 7/10 - Prediction 2.0 It would take a lot of stone for me to get back on Watford to beat Rotherham after they let me down so royally on Saturday but they should have enough to beat an away side thrashed 5.0 by Wolves at the weekend. Stronger at home than they are on the road, Watford should win this one. Wigan v Cardiff - Best Bet - Avoid - Prediction - 0.0 Wigan have been absolutely appalling this season and sit rooted to the foot of the division. Isn't karma a bitch when you have 2 racists in charge of your football club? Noone will be particularly sad to see Wigan go following the scandals of their Chairman and manager this year and it seems their time in the top echelons of English football is coming to an end. Cardiff though have only once 1 on the road all season and despite Wigan's awful form, they might be able to sneak a point. As it is, it's not one I fancy. Best avoided. Wolves v Fulham - Best Bet - Wolves to win a 4/5 or BTTS at 8/11 - Prediction 3.1 It's amazing how many of the EPL sides to come down to the Championship struggle so badly in their first season and that tells the story of both of these sides, Wolves in recent years and Fulham in this year. The Cottagers sit 19th in the division and are one of the poorest sides on the road. Wolves meanwhile got their form back on track at the weekend to give their promotion push a shot in the arm and I expect them to continue in that vain tonight. There might be goals in this one, so BTTS at 5/6 is worth a look but I do like the chances of a home win here as well and that is my preferred bet for this one, although I doubt I will invest much in the possibility. So overall, it is a really tough looking card in the Championship and I don't think I will be including many of these games on my main bets later today. TOP TIPS Blackburn v Norwich - BTTS - 8/13 Brighton v Leeds - BTTS - Evens Wolves to beat Fulham 4/5 Darren Bent to score anytime - 21/20 Draws Millwall v Shef Wed Wigan v Cardiff Huddersfield v Reading My favourite free bet has returned as bet365 are doing their popular in-play bet offer for Tuesday night’s Champions League first leg tie between Man City and Barcelona. All you need to do is place a pre-match bet on the game – up to £50 – which kicks off at 7.45pm and they will then give you a risk-free in-play bet to the same stake. To qualify for your risk-free in-play bet, simply place a bet before kick-off, then once the game starts place another bet on any in-play market. If your FIRST in-play bet loses, bet365 will refund this stake up to the same value as your largest pre-match bet (max £50). You can try to do a low-risk first bet and take a chance on the second – or do bets that guarantee profit. It’s up to you – but make sure you check the rule on their website before having a bet. In previous offers, I like to place a 25 euro, (sadly only up to 25 euros in Spain, 50 for those of you in the UK) pre-match bet on over 0.5 match goals at odds of 1-20. to return 27.50 thus generating the free bet in play. II also cover the 0-0 draw with a bet of £2 preferrably at another bookie so that no matter what, we won't be losing out. When doing this, bet on the ‘no scorer’ market rather than a 0-0 draw so you get paid if the only goal is an OG. So for a total spend of £2 you are then covered to use your risk-free £25 inplay bet to try to win big, eg on a first or anytime scorer or correct score or whatever you fancy. Last time out, I used mine on a draw and I won 75 euros at no risk. It'a a great offer and I will post my final suggestion for this tomorrow. It was a mixed bag of a weekend with some winners, some shockers, some super predictions and some narrow misses. Overall we suffered a small hit on my total points total which I will display at the end of this post. On Saturday, it was a real disappointment that free scoring Norwich could not score at home to Watford having done so in 14 of their previous 16 home matches, and having scored 13 goals in their previous 3 (admittedly against weaker opponents). This failure cost me my "Deadly Double" while Bournemouth's failure to score one more also cost me a fine 6/1 "tasty treble" although I did land my main bet of the day, for Arsenal to win at Palace. I was also really disappointed to have missed out on some cash in Germany having not only correctly predicted 3 out of 4 draws, but also the correct scores! I pretty much nailed Germany but it is not usually a league I put my focus in on Saturdays. As mentioned in my previous post, I have had minimal time to research today so the tips will be what i call my "gut instinct" tips. For this reason there will no major investments, but with it being Sunday, I am loathe to not put up some bets because it is traditionally my best day of the week. Mothers eh? :)
Ok, so there is 1 game in the EPL that i fancy for a draw and this is Southampton at home to Liverpool while Everton should take care of Leicester and were well priced at 5/6 to do so. Spurs kick off at 12 against West Ham in a game so early it simply cannot be bet on! For what it is worth, I fancy the home side and my main man Kane (fantasy captain) will expect a recall following his midweek rest and should get back in on the goal action. It was not too bad yesterday for Bo with Arsneal winning to land the sexy single but unfortunately Watford failed to score and there were a few near misses overall. I also spoke about a Germany card that should have draws and indeed there were with 4 of the 6 games finishing level. In any case, I am entertaining my mother this weekend and have no time at the moment for a write up or review (i will review the results in due course) Here are today's games for which i think I will have to avoid as my research has been limited. Late last night (CET), Floyd Mayweather announced that his proposed fight with Manny Pacquiao was finally a done deal and that the contracts have been signed! Finally, incredibly, the most hotly anticipated and almost mythical match=up of this generation has been signed for May 2nd, to be held at the MGM Grand, Las Vegas. Quite simply , this is THE news boxing fans have been waiting for even if,there is regret that the fight should have come much earlier.
Busy day ahead with league business returing to England after last weekends FA Cup action and I'm optimistic we can put a few winners on today. Arsenal to win at Crystal Palace will be my "sexy single" today at odds of 5/6. The Gunners have really started to play some excellent football and are getting good results to match it, and a trip to Palace is unlikely to phase Wenger's men here. Palace have won only 1 of their last 7 competitive games at home and I am very confident that an on song Arsenal should win this one. I also expect them to score 2 or more goals at even money. So here, after a relentless period of studying and writing the previews, are the big tips for my first Saturday since my return |
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