I've picked out four of the eight ties on offer from the Champions League tonight with the big game of the night coming from Paris as PSG take on Real Madrid. Both Manchester teams are in action with Man City entertaining Sevilla and United travelling to Russia to take on CSKA. I've also looked at an interesting tie from Germany as Wolfsburg host PSV with both sides on 3 points from two game so far. Here's what I've come up with for the four games tonight. 19:45 Manchester City vs Sevilla - Prediction 2.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @4/6, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1
Key Facts * Man City have seen BTTS in 13 out of 15 home CL fixtures in their short history as a "top top team" * Bayern Munich are the only team to fail to score at Man City in the CL back in 2011 * Man City have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 home fixtures * Man City have conceded 2 or more in 8 of their last 9 home CL fixtures * Man City have seen 7 of their last 9 home CL fixtures have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals * Man City have won only 3 of their last 12 home CL fixtures * Man City are still missing key men Aguero and Silva * Sevilla have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 6 fixtures * After a poor start to the season, Sevilla got a morale boosting win over Barcelona at the start of October * Europa League champions, Sevilla are a fine force in Europe although they lost 2.0 at Juventus in their last away CL fixtures * Sevilla have not won in 5 away fixtures with just 3 goals scored * Both sides have 3 points after 2 games played Final Verdict - Goals better than the win market here How could you back Man City with any confidence in the Champions League? The visitors aren't in great form but they are strong in Europe and they can surely breach a City side that never seem to learn in this competition. I do actually think City will win @8/13 but there's no way I'm backing them given their history and Sevilla as Europa League champions know how to perform on the road and I expect BTTS @4/6 while I expect a winner so BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 looks good as well. _______________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Paris Saint Germain vs Real Madrid - Prediction 2.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @4/6, Final Verdict I didn't do any Key Facts for this fixture with my instincts telling me this one has BTTS written all over it. These two sides have never met in a competitive fixture but when PSG have faced Barcelona, they have almost always made it a competitive game with 5 of their 6 contests with Barca seeing BTTS and PSG tend to see BTTS when coming up against the better sides in Europe. PSG have seen BTTS in 11 of their last 14 home CL fixtures including 8 of their last 10 and given their current, form you would have to expect them to give Real some trouble with PSG unbeaten this season, winning 10 out of 12. Real have big injury problems with Bale and Benzema both missing so they will rely heavily on Ronaldo with Jese and Isco expected to fill the void left by the "BB" in the Real "BBC" attack. I have a feeling the home side can take advantage of Real's missing stars but the chances of BTTS look good to me in what should be an exciting contest in Paris. ________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 CSKA Moscow vs Manchester United - Prediction - 2.3 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @8/11, Over 2.5 goals @19/20, United to score 2 or more @5/4 Key Facts * CSKA have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 10 home CL fixtures and in 14 of their last 17 in the competition * Bayern Munich were the only team to keep a clean sheet in CSKA's last 10 home CL fixtures * CSKA are unbeaten in their last 5 home CL fixtures scoring 11 goals against Man City, Roma, Sparta Prague, Sporting Lisbon and PSV * However, CSKA have only won 4 of their last 15 home CL fixtures * CSKA have kept only 1 clean sheet in 44 CL fixtures since 2007 * CSKA have conceded 2 or more in 8 out of 13 home CL fixtures since 2011 * CSKA have conceded 2 or more in 3 of their last 4 home fixtures * CSKA have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 in all competitions * Man Utd have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 CL fixtures and in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures in all comps * Man Utd had conceded 2 or more in 4 successive away fixtures until their impressive 3.0 win at Everton on Saturday Final Verdict - Goals? almost always when CSKA are involved 1 clean sheet in 44 CL fixtures is a rather comical figure for CSKA although I'm sure their goalkeeper Igor Akinfeev won't find it so funny with the Russian International not keeping a clean sheet in 33 CL games. For a goalkeeper of undoubted ability (at least according to Champ Manager 2002 ), that's a staggering "achievement" and I doubt he will get his first one tonight with United looking pretty tasty in their weekend win at Everton although United are still up and down but if they bring their weekend form here, they should be good for a win. Still, the Russians are usually good for BTTS in this competition and I fancy this game will also go over 2.5 goals so you can try the bets on their own with BTTS @8/11, Over 2.5 goals @19/20 and BTTS and over 2.5 as a combo @6/5. United will fancy their chances here and they can score 2 or more @5/4 and I do expect Louie Van Gaal's side to come away with 3 points in an entertaining contest with goals likely. ________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Wolfsburg vs PSV Eindhoven - Prediction - 3.1 -Suggested Bets - Wolfsburg to score 2 or more @4/7, BTTS @4/6, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 Key Facts * Wolfsburg have won 17 of their last 20 at home while they have lost just twice in 33 home fixtures * Wolfsburg have scored 2 or more in 14 of their last 19 competitive home fixtures * Wolfsburg have won by more than 1 goal in 8 of their last 10 victories in the Bundesliga * Wolfsburg have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 12 home fixtures and in 4 of their last 5 fixtures * Wolfsburg have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 10 at home although 3 of those were in their last 5 at home * However, Wolfsburg have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 5 fixtures * Wolfsburg have 1 win and 1 loss so far in the CL (1.0 at home to CSKA and a 2.1 reverse at Man Utd) * PSV have seen BTTS in 7 fixtures in a row and in 9 of their last 10 * PSV have scored in 24 of their last 25 away fixtures since October 2014. They only failed to score at Zenit * PSV have lost 8 of their last 10 away Champions League fixtures since 2007. * PSV conceded 2 or more in 7 of those 8 losses * PSV lost 3.2 in Moscow in their last CL fixture having beaten Man Utd 2.1 on match day 1 * These two sides have never met previously but with the Germany v Holland rivalry, it could be a feisty contest Final Verdict - Home win with goals likely PSV rarely do 0.0's (not since October 2013) and I expect this fixture to produce a few goals with both sides having an attacking nature that should see the home side emerge victorious but I do think PSV can score as they usually do on the road with 24 of their last 25 seeing the Eindhoven side scoring at least one. PSV have actually scored 34 goals in their last 10 away fixtures and while the Dutch league isn't the strongest, they did show in their 2.1 win over Man Utd and their 3.2 loss in Moscow that they are capable of scoring in this much tougher competition. BTTS is priced @4/6 with BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 and I like both of those while Wolfsburg to score 2 or more is just 4/7 but looks distinctly possible with PSV conceding 6 in their last 3 on the road and 9 in their last 4 away European fixtures. PSV conceded 3 at Zenit, 3 at Estoril, 2 at Panathanikos, 1 at Dinamo Moscow, and 2 at St Polten (who?) in last season's Europa League while they conceded 2 or more in 6 of their last 8 away CL fixtures and I fancy a strong Wolfsburg side who put 4 past Hoffenheim at the weekend to take advantage and score 2 or more @8/15. Champions League Suggested Bets CSKA vs Man Utd - BTTS @8/11 CSKA vs Man Utd - United to score 2 or more @5/4 Wolfsburg vs PSV - Wolfsburg to score 2 or more @8/15 Wolfsburg vs PSV - BTTS @8/11 CSKA vs Man Utd - Over 2.5 goals @19/20 Wolfsburg vs PSV - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 Man City vs Sevilla - BTTS @4/6 Man City vs Sevilla - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 PSV vs Real Madrid - BTTS @ 4/6 Comments are closed.
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