Well what a night that was for Bobreaksbookies with my NAP, NB and Deadly Double all coming home as winners to deliver 10 points of profit! I was pretty pleased with my tips in the Holland game and they proved crucial to my profit tonight even if my 50/1 bonkers bet of 3.1 win for the visitors was only narrowly beaten by that late 2nd Dutch goal. My 250/1 BTTS and win coupon was only 2 goals short of victory with both Bosnia and the Czechs winning as predicted and that alone would have been a 50/1 double but sadly Turkey only won 1.0 in the 3rd selection in their game with Iceland. Still I was delighted the Turks got an 89th minute winner to make it a perfect night for my "Best Bets" as that brought up my Deadly Double with Belgium winning 3.1 at home to Israel. I backed the Czechs plus 2 to win @4/6 after tipping them at 7/1 to win outright and I was wishing I'd been a little braver but I can't really complain with all 5 of my best selections winning. For any of you night owls we have some cracking World Cup qualifiers from South America in the small hours to enjoy and I have previews and suggested bets for 2 of the upcoming fixtures with Uruguay hosting Colombia at midnight and Paraguay welcoming Argentina to Assuncion at 01.00 BST. 00:00 Uruguay vs Colombia - Prediction - 1.1 - Suggested Bets - Draw @11/5, Under 1.5 goals @6/4 Key Facts * Colombian have won only 1 of their last 8 trips to Uruguay since 1962. * In the last 4 meetings, the team playing at home has won by 2 goals or more * Uruguay have only lost 2 of their last 23 home World Cup qualifiers since 2004 * Uruguay have not lost a home match since 2009 * Uruguay are missing both of their star strikers Suarez and Cavani due to suspension as well as key midfield Christian Rodriguez through injury * Colombia are missing Real Madrid midfielder James Rodriguez due to injury * Colombia have lost only 4 of their last 18 SA WC qualifying fixtures * Colombia have won just 6 of their last 25 away SW WC qualifying fixtures * Uruguay have lost 3 of their last 6 fixtures * Both sides won 2.0 in their opening fixtures at the weekend. Colombia beating Peru and Uruguay winning in Bolivia Final Verdict - Close call here with both sides missing big names I don't expect many goals or a winner in this fixture with both sides missing their star men in the attacking positions. with Suarez, Cavani and James all missing from this big tie in Montevideo. Had Suarez or even Cavani been fit, I would have been tempted to back the hosts but without those two world class strikers, it could be difficult for Uruguay to create too many chances here while Colombia will surely be happy to go home with a point having won their opening fixture at the weekend and that's the outcome I expect here with neither side likely to be at their attacking best. Radamel Falcao is still a shadow of his once great self while Carlos Bacca is not hitting the heights of last season following his move to Milan so it will be up to the under-rated Teofilo Guttierez to lead the line for the Colombians in a contest that should be tight from the get go with both sides probably more concerned about not losing this game than winning it. Under 2.5 goals looks likely but is a touch short at just 19/40 although it wouldn't surprise me if this one finished 0.0 so you can try that scoreline @6/1 or under 1.5 goals @ 6/4. 01:00 Paraguay vs Argentina - Prediction 1.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @ 1/1, Draw @23/10, Argentina Clean Sheet - NO @8/15 Key Facts * Argentina are missing both Lionel Messi and Sergio Aguero through injury * Argentina crashed to a shock 2.0 home defeat to Ecuador in the first qualifiers played last weekend * Argentina have seen BTTS in each of their last 7 away WC South American qualifiers * Argentina have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 14 away WC qualifiers since 2008 * Paraguay have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 home WC qualifiers * Paraguay are unbeaten in their last 4 home fixtures against some admittedly weak opposition * Paraguay faced Argentina twice in the Copa America this past summer. The group fixture finished 2.2 while Argentina won their semi-final contest 6.1 thanks to an inspired performance from Leo Messi * Paraguay have scored in 8 of their last 9 fixtures. 6 of those fixtures saw BTTS * Paraguay have scored in 16 of their last 18 home fixtures * 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS. * The last 5 meetings have produced a remarkable 28 goals with Argentina scoring 20 and Paraguay 8 * Argentina won 5.2 in the last meeting between these two sides in Paraguay. Argentina had failed to win any of their 3 previous trips to Paraguay. Final Verdict - Goals possible here Paraguay will fancy their chances of getting a result against an Argentina side looking to bounce back from a poor home defeat to Ecuador last Saturday with the visitors unable to call upon the service of their Captain and talisman, Leo Messi while the brilliant but injury prone Aguero is also a big loss for the Argentines. I fancy an even contest that could end up with the spoils shared so the draw temps @13/5 while I fancy BTTS at 1/1 with both sides hardly convincing at the back. Winning on the road in South American qualifying is very difficult and even a great side like Argentina have only won 5 of their last 20 away qualifiers, drawing another 5 and losing 10 so I can't back the visitors to win here. Instead I'll try BTTS with history on our favour and Paraguay likely to fancy their chances of an upset so I expect an open game that should produce goals. 02:00 Brazil vs Venezuela - Prediction 2.1- Suggested Bets - Brazil to score less than 3 goals @8/13, Venezuela plus 2 to win @10/11 Key Facts * Brazil are still missing their captain Neymar * Neymar's absence will considerably lessen Brazil's attacking flair and potency (not a fact but it might as well be) * Brazil were knocked out of the Copa America at the quarter final stage by Paraguay this summer on penalties. * Venezuela beat Colombia in the group phase at the Copa America but crashed out after successive 1 goal losses to Peru and Brazil * Venezuela have conceded 3 goals or more in only 3 of their last 17 away WC qualifiers since 2007 (Twice to Argentina and once to Chile) * Brazil have scored more than 2 goals in only 1 of their last 10 fixtures (including friendles) and in just 1 of their last 10 competitive fixtures (not including friendles) * Brazil crashed to a 2.0 defeat at Chile on Saturday * Venezulea lost 1.0 at home to Paraguay on Saturday * Brazil have not played a home World Cup qualifier since 2009 * Brazil drew 4 of their last 7 home WC qualifiers including a 0.0 with today's opponents * 2 of the last 3 meetings between these sides finished 0.0. The most recent fixture saw Brazil winning 2.1 in this summer's Copa America Final Verdict - Not as easy as it looks for Brazil Under Dunga, Brazil are unlikely to be overly attacking and with Neymar missing they could struggle to break down a Venezulean team that are decent on the counter and know how to sit and defend when they need to. You would expect a home win but I don't think it's going to be so easy for the Brazilians and I don't think they will score 2 or more so I'm backing Venezuela plus 2 to win @10/11 and Brazil to score less than 3 @8/13. BTTS is big @6/5 and with Venezulea scoring in 13 of their last 18 away fixtures, is certainly possible but I'll try the two bets highlighted in this one. 03:15 Peru vs Chile - Prediction 1.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @11/10, Chile to win @5/4 Key Facts * Peru have only lost 2 of their last 15 home fixtures * Peru have lost only 4 of their last 21 home WC qualifiers * Peru have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 6 fixtures and 4 of their last 6 home WC qualifiers * Peru finished 3rd in the Copa America having lost 2.1 to Chile in the Semi final * Chile are in great form having won the Copa America in the summer and then beating Brazil this past Saturday * The Chileans are unbeaten in 9 Internationals * Chile have won 10 of their last 11 meetings with Peru since 2006 * 5 of the last 6 meetings have seen over 2.5 goals with 3 of those games also seeing BTTS Final Verdict - On form Chile should edge this one Chile are in superb form and are easily one of the best teams in the world right now but Peru are no mugs and they will put up a big fight in Lima and I have a feeling that BTTS will come in at big odds of 11/10 with Chile probably having enough in the end to win. It was 2.1 in Chile just 4 months ago and a repeat scoreline is my prediction for this one. Suggested Bets Paraguay vs Argentina - BTTS @ 1/1 Paraguay vs Argentina Draw @23/10 Paraguay vs Argentina - Argentina - Clean Sheet - NO @8/15 Uruguay vs Colombia - Draw @11/5 Uruguay vs Colombia @ Under 1.5 goals @6/4 Brazil vs Venezuela - Venezuela plus 2 goals to win @10/11 Brazil vs Venezulea - Brazil to score less than 3 goals @8/13 Peru vs Chile - BTTS @11/10 Peru vs Chile - Chile to win @5/4 Comments are closed.
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