I've picked out 3 games for Wednesday's action with 1 game from Italy as Inter host Lazio and from Germany we are going to Hoffenheim as BTTS favourites Werder Bremen come to town while inconsistent Leverkusen travel to Koln. I've got another 3 games covered for Thursday so look out for those in my next post. 19:45 Inter vs Lazio
Prediction 2.2 Key Facts * Inter have seen BTTS in 6 out of 8 home fixtures this season and in 12 from 15 at the San Siro since April * 10 of those 12 also went over 2.5 goals * Inter have scored in each of their last 17 home league fixtures * Inter have kept only 4 clean sheets in their 17 league fixtures this season * Inter have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 4 home league fixtures * Lazio have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 10 away league fixtures * 5 of those 7 games also went over 2.5 goals * Lazio have scored in 9 of their last 10 away league fixtures * Lazio have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 15 away league fixtures * Lazio have kept only 4 clean sheets in their 17 league fixtures this season * 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals * Each of the last 6 meetings between these two sides at the San Siro have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals * 9 of the last 12 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals Final Verdict Neither side are particularly adept at keeping clean sheets and when these two meet, goals are usually on offer and I expect a similar outcome here with 7th placed Inter hosting 3rd placed Lazio. Inter have scored in all but 1 home league fixture in the past 14 months and with Lazio in good form, I expect goals at both ends. 9 of the last 12 meetings have seen BTTS with all 9 of those games going over 2.5 goals and that's my best selection here. Best Bets BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 10/11 19:00 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Prediction 2.2 Key Facts * Hoffenheim have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 11 home league fixtures including 4 of their last 6 * Hoffenheim remain ubeaten and sit 3rd in the league with 6 wins and 9 draws so far * Hoffenheim have scored in 14 of their last 15 home league fixtures * Hoffenheim scored 2 or more in 10 of those 15 fixtures * Hoffenheim have scored 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 6 home league fixtures * Werder have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 away league fixtures * Werder have seen BTTS in 19 of their 23 most recent league fixtures. 17 of those 19 also went over 2.5 goals * Werder have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 away league fixtures * Werders clean sheet in their last away league fixture (at Hertha) was only their 3rd in their previous 46 away league fixtures * Werder are unbeaten in their previous 4 league fixtures, picking up 8 points in the process. They lost 8 of their previous 11 league fixtures * Werder have scored in 28 of their last 34 away league fixtures in the past 2 years. More recently, they have scored in each of their last 6 on the road. * Each of the last 12 (TWELVE) meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS. 9 of those 12 also went over 2.5 goals * Werder are unbeaten in their last 11 meetings with Hoffenheim. * Werder have scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 away meetings with Hoffenheim * Each of the last 6 meetings between these two sides in Hoffenheim saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals * 28 goals were scored in those 6 fixtures Final Verdict Historically this game has been a BTTS banker for 2 years now and given both sides current form, it is no surprise to see short odds on both of my favourite selections here. Still, I expect the goals to flow and I will be making the BTTS and over 2.5 goals selection my NAP for Wednesday while a cheeky 2.2 draw is not out of the question with Hoffenheim loving a draw this season (9 out of 15) against a Werder side showing some signs of improvement in recent weeks (unbeaten in 4) and decent form on the road, including, you guessed it...a couple of 2.2 draws, most recently at Darmstadt and Hamburg. Best Bets BTTS @8/15 BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 19:00 FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction - 2.1 Key Facts * Leverkusen have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 away league fixtures * 14 of their last 19 Bundesliga matches have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals * Leverkusen have scored in each of their last 19 away league fixtures * Leverkusen have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 league fixtures * Leverkusen are in a poor run of form, losing 5 of their last 9 league fixtures * Leverkusen have lost 5 of their last 8 away league fixtures * Leverkusen have conceded 2 goals or more in 7 of their last 9 away league fixtures * Leverkusen have conceded 16 goals in their last 9 league fixtures * Koln are unbeaten in their last 9 home league fixtures * Koln have scored in 7 of their last 9 home league fixtures * Koln have lost only 3 of their last 20 league fixtures since April Final Verdict It;s a derby match and while Koln are not particularly strong in my goals markets, visitors Leverkusen are and I expect the contrasting styles of these two sides to produce an entertaining and hotly contested local encounter. I'm backing BTTS @3/4 with a strong level of confidence while the 5/4 on BTTS and over 2.5 goals does tempt with Leverkusen so consistent in these markets lately. The visitors are struggling for form and I fancy they could be taken down by the hosts with BTTS @3/4 the main pick from this one. Best Bets BTTS @3/4 BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/4 NAP - Hoffenheim v Werder - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 NB - Inter v Lazio - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @10/11 Koln v Leverkusen - BTTS @3/4 Comments are closed.
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