We have 2 Semi-finals tonight from the Europa League as Dnipro welcome Napoli to Ukraine with their tie poised at 1.1 from the first leg while Sevilla should have little trouble in protecting their 3 goal first leg advantage as they visit Florence. I expect a real battle in Ukraine with Dnipro earning a surprise 1.1 draw in Naples last week while Sevilla's task is considerably easier following their 3.0 win in Spain last Thursday. Here are my previews for the action tonight. 2105 - Fiorentina v Sevilla - Prediction 2.2- Best Bets - BTTS @ 1/2 and BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5
Fiorentina have it all to do tonight as they require at least 3 goals to stand a chance of making the final in Warsaw in 2 weeks time. With their need so desperate, Fiorentina will absolutely look to attack from the first minute and I do expect them, much like Bayern on Tuesday to at least make a game of it. The hosts have found the net in 14 of their last 16 home games and I expect them to do so again tonight but probably at the expense of a clean sheet and BTTS has a good chance here at 4/5 odds. Sevilla are pretty good in the BTTS market with 13 of their last 15 away days resulting in this outcome including their last 3 in Europe and in 6 of their last 7 in all comps. With Fiorentina sure to attack and Sevilla pretty ropey at the back, I fully expect BTTS here @ 1/2 odds while BTTS and over 2.5 goals also looks likely with the nature of the game and in the stats which shows that each of Sevilla's last 6 fixtures in the Europa League have all resulted in over 2.5 goals. BTTS and over 2.5 goals is 4/5 and will be my favourite bet of the night. i believe Sevilla have much the better team and more quality in the final 3rd of the pitch and I feel they are capable of scoring at least 2 goals @11/8 odds. They have scored 2 or more in 8 of their last 11 away games and in each of their last 3 away games in Europe and this will be my 2nd selection from this game with the stats making the 11/8 price seem generous to Bo. I don't doubt Sevilla will qualify and I expect goals to be the order of the day in Florence. 2105 - Dnipro v Napoli - Prediction 1.1- Best Bets - BTTS @5/6, Dnipro to qualify @6/4 Despite a first leg 1.1 draw in Naples, it is Dnipro who come into this tie as underdogs with the bookies expecting Napoli to get the result they need to qualify @1/2 odds. Even with a vital away goal, the hosts are not considered favourites and are priced at at 6/4 against to qualify and that seems like a pretty good price on a an under-rated outfit who have a good record on their own patch. Dnipro have won each of their 4 previous ties at home in the Europa League with wins over St Etienne, Ajax, Bruges and Olympiakos all coming without the loss of a single goal and they will surely be a tough nut for Napoli to crack. Napoli do have a stronger team on paper of course and won their last away tie in the competition at Wolfsburg by 4 goals to 1 but considering the hosts form at home and that Napoli do need a high scoring draw or away win to qualify then I feel the 6/4 on offer for the home side to qualify represents decent value. Napoli have won just 2 of 9 previous away games in all comps and while I'm not convinced they will be eliminated here, I do feel the value is there for Dnipro in what feels like a 50/50 contest to me although with Rafa Benitez something of a specialist in this tournament with 2 previous wins to his name it may well be that Napoli make it to the final. You would expect Napoli to score of course and I have a feeling this tie could be decided by extra time so I'm going with BTTS @ 5/6 even if the stats don't necessarily make it an obvious choice and while I'm backing Dnipro to cause an upset @6/4, I wouldn't put your house on it. Bo's Best Bets Fiorentina v Sevilla - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 Dnirpo v Napoli - BTTS @5/6 Dnipro to qualify @6/4 Sevilla to score 2 or more @11/8 Comments are closed.
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