It was a decent Saturday for Bobreaksbookies with 4 points of profit achieved from 2 winning bets but there's no time to rest and I've got full previews for the best of the action in Italy this afternoon. Here are today's "Key Facts" and suggested bets from across Italy today. I will try to get my best bets up as soon as possible. 11:30 Genoa vs AC Milan - Prediction 1.2 - Suggested Bets - Milan to win @ 7/5, BTTS @8/11
Key Facts * Milan have won only 3 of 22 away league fixtures going back 1 year. * Milan have lost 5 of their last 7 on the road in Serie A but did win their most recent fixture at Udinese 3.2 to make it 2 wins in a row in the league * Milan have begun the new season with 3 wins and 2 losses. * BTTS occurred in all 3 of those wins. * 9 of their last 14 away games have seen BTTS and in 15 out of 22 going back 1 year - Success rate of 60-65% * There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of AC Milan's last 12 games in Serie A. 8 out of 12 also saw BTTS - 66% * Milan have kept only 3 clean sheets in 25 away Serie A fixtures going back more than 1 year including no clean sheets in their last 7 on the road. * Indeed Milan can't buy a clean sheet with only 1 in their last 12 Serie A fixtures going back to April and just 2 in 18 since February * Genoa have won 6 their last 7 home fixtures, losing only 3 in 18 * However Genoa have lost their last 3 Serie A fixtures, failing to score in all 3 * 3 of their last 6 at home have seen BTTS. 8 out of 13 going back to April * 7 of their last 11 home fixtures have gone under 2.5 goals * Genoa have scored in 15 out of 18 home fixtures * Genoa have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 Serie A fixtures, losing each of those fixtures * Genoa have only 1 win so far this season * 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS with Genoa winning both of last season's fixtures. * Genoa will be without experienced striker Goran Pandev Final Verdict Milan have been steadily improving under new boss Sinisa Mijhalovic and having won two in a row, I fancy them to make it 3 here against an out of form Genoa. Still Genoa usually raise their game against Milan, and at home, and they can score despite the absence of Pandev with Milan still leaking goals in most away fixtures. BTTS @8/11 has a good chance based on recent stats and history but I expect Milan's quality in the final third to edge them to an away win. 14:00 Torino vs Palermo - Prediction 2.1- Suggessted Bets - Torino to win @3/4, Torino to score 2 or more @5/6, BTTS @10/11 Key Facts *Torino have won 5 of their last 6 at home, scoring 13 goals *Torino have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 15 in Serie A *There have been over 2.5 goals scored in s 5 of Torino's last 7 league fixtures but not in their last 2. * Torino have scored 2 or more in each of their last 4 home fixtures. *Torino have kept only 4 clean sheets in 15 home Serie A fixtures however 3 of those were in their most recent 4 home fixtures * Palermo have won 3 of their last 4 away fixtures in Serie A however they had only won 4 of their previous 55 away Serie A fixtures going back 3 years. * Palermo have failed to win any of their last 3 Serie A fixtures * Each of the last four meetings have finished even with both of last season's league fixtures finishing in 2.2 draws. Final Verdict Torino are in good form, especially at home where they have chalked up some impressive results recently and they should do enough to collect another 3 points here against a Palermo side without a win in 3. BTTS has a chance even if the stats don't necessarily make it a compelling selection. Palermo are in good form on the road and are capable of scoring but I fancy Torino to keep their run of form going and 14:00 Sassuolo vs Chievo - Prediction - 1.1 - Sugessted Bets - BTTS @10/11, Draw @5/2 Key Facts * Sassuolo are unbeaten in 10 Serie A fixture, winning 7 and drawing 3 * Sassuolo have lost only 1 in 9 home fixtures and none of their last 5 * Sassuolo have seen BTTS in each of their last 4 home fixtures * Sassuolo have scored at least 2 goals in their last 4 home matches in Serie A * Chievo have only lost 4 of their previous 19 league fixtures * Chievo have seen BTTS in their last 2 away league fixtures * Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last 3 meetings with Chievo, winning 2 and drawing the other * Each of the last 4 meetings have gone under 1.5 goals Final Verdict History tells us that goals are usually at a premium in this fixture but that could change today with both sides in really good form and scoring goals. Sassuolo have surprised everyone with their form, unbeaten in 10 league fixtures and beating Napoli as well as taking a point in Rome to sit 4th after 5 games while the visitors Chievo have already taken a point at Juventus, thumped Lazio, beaten Torino as well as winning at Empoli and they come to Sassuolo in great spirits as well. Both sides have improved markedly in recent months and while I don't see this being a goal fest, I do feel both are capable of scoring at a big price of 10/11 with a draw quite likely. 14:00 Verona vs Lazio - Prediction 2.1- Suggested Bets - BTTS @8/11, Verona to score 2 or more @2/1, Verona Double Chance (not to lose) at 4/5 Key Facts * Verona have drawn 7 of their last 11 league fixtures including their last 3 at home against heavyweight;s Juventus, Roma and Torino. * Verona have lost only 2 of their last 10 at home. * Verona have scored 2 or more in 6 of their last 9 home league fixtures * Lazio have conceded 2 or more in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures. * Verona have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 11 home league fixtures including their 4 most recent home fixtures * Verona have scored in 22 of their last 25 home league fixtures with 17 of those seeing BTTS - that's 68% of all home fixtures * Verona have just 1 clean sheet in 11 home league fixtures and in none of their 12 most recent league fixtures * Verona have yet to win this season, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures while Luca Toni has been ruled out for 2 months * Lazio have lost both of their away league fixtures so far, conceding 9 and scoring 0 in shock 4.0 and 5.0 losses to Chievo and Napoli respectively. * Lazio have leaked 14 goals in 5 away games in all competitions and have just 1 clean sheet in 10 away fixtures * Lazio have won just 2 of their last 10 away fixtures in all competitions * Lazio did get a home win over Genoa in their last league outing * 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS including the last 3 fixtures in Verona * Lazio have never won in Verona in 6 Serie A fixtures going back 18 years Final Verdict - Verona to get a positive result with goals likely History and form are both on our side here as Verona welcome a struggling Lazio to the north having never lost at home to the Romans who are leaking goals and struggling badly on their travels in recent fixtures. I really like the home side not to lose here, given their own strong home form against some of the top teams in Italy and I fancy they can breach a Lazio defence that has been porous in the opening weeks of the season. Verona can score 2 or more at a big price of 2/1 having done so in 6 of their last 9 at home and Lazio conceding 2 or more in 5 of their last 6. It's a big price for a decent chance and while BTTS is my best bet here, I do expect Verona to get at least a draw in a fixture that usually produces goals. 19:45 Inter vs Fiorentina - Prediction 2.1- Sugessted Bets - Inter to win @17/20 Key Facts * Fiorentina have seen 5 of their last 7 on the road produce BTTS and over 2.5 goals * Fiorentina have won 9 of their last 10 Serie A fixtures going back to April * The Viola have just 4 clean sheets in 18 away serie A games * Fiorentina have conceded 19 goals in their last 8 away league fixtures * However they have kept clean sheets in their last 3 league fixtures and in 4 wins out of 5 so far this season. * Fiorentina have Scored in 16 out of 19 away games - 84% hit rate * They have won 4 out of 5 fixtures so far in this campaign, with their only loss a 3.1 defeat at Torino * 6 of Fiorentina's last 9 away wins have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals * Fiorentina have scored 2 or more in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures and in 9 of their last 16 away. * Inter have won each of their last 6 Serie A fixtures, including their first 5 in the new campaign all by a 1 goal margin * Inter have only conceded 1 goal in the league so far this season. Final Verdict - Narrow home win likely The top two in the division go head to head in the San Siro this evening in what should be a closely fought contest between the two bet defences so far this season. Inter are in great form with 5 wins from 5 so far and I fancy they can get the better of an opponent that concedes goals on the road despite an improved defensive record of late. Fiorentina struggled to a narrow win at Carpi having lost 3.1 at Torino in their other away fixtures this season and I feel their poor away record will come into play tonight with Inter looking very solid so far. BTTS has a decent chance even if Inter aren't conceding with Fiorentina scoring in 10 of their last 12 away but this could be a tight contest and I prefer the odds of Inter to win here. Suggested Bets Inter vs Fiorentina - Inter to win @17/20 Genoa vs AC Milan - Milan to win @ 7/5 Genoa vs AC Milan - BTTS @8/11 Torino vs Palermo - Torino to win @3/4 Torino vs Palermo - Torino to score 2 or more @5/6 Torino vs Palermo - BTTS @10/11 Verona vs Lazio - BTTS @8/11 Verona vs Lazio - Verona to score 2 or more @2/1 Verona vs Lazio - Double Chance (not to lose) at 4/5 Sassuolo vs Chievo - BTTS @10/11 Comments are closed.
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