The Goal Gods were certainly absent in Italy last weekend but I'm keeping the faith, at least wot some of the fixtures on offer today with the Rome derby the highlight of the action from Serie A. On form Napoli welcome Udinese to Naples in the early evening kick-off while I fancy the Leicester of Serie A, Sassuolo to keep up their fine run of form with a win over struggling Carpi I've picked out four games in total for my analysis and suggested bets today and I will post my final best bets and pocket change selections at some point in the morning. #Bolieve Serie A
14:00 Sassuolo vs Carpi - Prediction - 2.1 - Suggested Bets - Sassuolo to win @8/11, Sassuolo to score 2 or more @5/6, BTTS @10/11 Key Facts * Sass have won 5 of their last 7 home league fixtures, while they have scored 2 or more in 5 of those 7 fixtures as well * Sass have only lost 1 of their last 12 home league fixtures * Sass have only lost 2 of their 16 most recent league fixtures * Sass have had a fine start to the season with 19 points picked up from 11 fixtures * Sass have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 home league fixtures * Sassuolo's last 3 home wins have come against Juventus, Napoli and Lazio. Impressive stuff. * Carpi have conceded 2 goals or more in each of their 5 away league fixtures in Serie A * Carpi have conceded 17 goals in those 5 fixtures * Carpi have seen BTTS in 4 of their 5 away league fixtures this season with all 5 also going over 2.5 goals * Carpi have picked up just 1 point from those 5 away league fixtures and sit bottom with 6 points from 11 fixtures Final Verdict I'm a little bit surprised to see Sassuolo as big as 8/11 to claim the points here and I'm making a rare WDW selection as well as backing the hosts to score 2 or more at a generous 5/6. BTTS is priced @10/11 and considering both sides form in the market, that looks like a good value selection to me. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:00 Roma vs Lazio - Prediction - 3.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @ 8/13, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 1/1, Roma to score 2 or more @ 5/6 Key Facts * Roma have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in their last 7 home Serie A fixtures * Roma have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 Serie A fixtures * Roma have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches in all competitions with a remarkable 49 goals scored in those 11 fixtures. Yes, 49! * Roma scored 29 and conceded 20 in those 8 matches * Roma have scored 16 goals in their last 5 home fixtures * Roma scored 2 or more in 9 of those 11 fixtures and in 8 of their last 10 at home * Roma have kept just 4 clean sheets in their last 18 home Serie A fixtures and only 1 in the last 8 * Roma have scored in 21 of their last 24 games at home in Serie A * Roma have scored 24 goals in their last 9 league fixtures * Roma sit 3rd in the table just 1 point behind leaders Inter and Fiorentina * Lazio have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 away league fixtures and just 4 from 17 going back to November 2014 * Lazio have conceded 16 goals in their last 5 away league fixtures * Lazio have seen their last 6 away fixtures all go over 2.5 goals * Lazio have lost 4 out of 5 away league fixtures this season including a 2.1 reverse at Atalanta in their most recent away match * 6 of the last 9 meetings between these two Roman rivals have seen BTTS with both of last season's fixtures producing that outcome as well as going over 2.5 goals * Roma are unbeaten in their last 4 meetings with Lazio Final Verdict - Roma = Goals, goals, goals I won't stop backing Roma in the goal markets until they let me down and considering recent stats and form, this game looks very likely to see BTTS and I fancy Roma to score 2 or more and take this one over 2.5 goals as well. 49 goals in Roma's last 11 fixtures tells you everything you need to know really and this could be one of the best Roman derbies in recent years with the "home" side really an exciting watch these days. It should be a cracker ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 17:00 Napoli vs Udinese - Prediction - 3.0 - Suggested Bets - Napoli -1 to win @4/6 Key Facts * Napoli have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 10 home league fixtures * Napoli have in fact scored 2 or more in 25 of their last 28 home league fixtures * Napoli are unbeaten in their last 10 league fixtures * Napoli have won 8 of their last 10 home league fixtures * Napoli have scored 21 goals in their last 6 home fixtures in all competitions * 5 of Napoli's last 7 home fixtures have seen BTTS * However Napoli have kept clean sheets in 6 of their last 8 Serie A fixtures * Napoli sit 4th, 2 points behind the league leaders Inter and Fiorentina * Udinese have won only 2 of their last 10 league fixtures * Udinese have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 away league fixtures * Udinese have scored in 8 of their last 9 away league fixtures * 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS Final Verdict - Comfortable home win likely Napoli are likely to score 2 or more but the 3/10 odds are too short for me to include as a best selection so i'm taking them to win on the -1 handicap @4/6 with the Naples men in blistering form ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Sampdoria vs Fiorentina - Prediction - 2.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @8/11 Key Facts * Sampdoria have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 home league fixtures including each of the last 4 * Sampdoria have seen BTTS in 6 of their 7 most recent league fixtures * Sampdoria have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 home league fixtures * Sampdoria have lost only 2 of their last 25 home league fixtures and none of their last 7 * Sampdoria have drawn 11 of their last 20 home league fixtures * Sampdoria have scored 15 goals in 6 home league fixtures so far this season * Sampdoria sit 9th in the table with 16 points from 11 fixtures so far this season * Fiorentina sit top of the table with 24 points from 11 fixtures so far this season * Fiorentina have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 8 away league fixtures * 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 league fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals * Fiorentina have scored in 20 of their last 23 away league fixtures * In contrast to Sampdoria, Fiorentina have not drawn any of their last 21 league fixtures and only 2 of their last 20 on the road * Sampdoria won last season's corresponding fixture 3.1 but given the current form of the visitors, a repeat is unlikely Final Verdict It's hard to pick a winner here with Sampdoria a tough side to beat at home but goals look pretty likely so that's my only selection here with BTTS @8/11 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Serie A Suggested Bets Roma vs Lazio - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 1/1 Roma vs Lazio - Roma to score 2 or more @ 5/6 Sassuolo vs Carpi - BTTS @10/11 Sassuolo vs Carpi - Sassuolo to score 2 or more @5/6 Roma vs Lazio - BTTS @ 8/13 Napoli vs Udinese - Napoli -1 to win @4/6 Sassuolo vs Carpi - Sassuolo to win @8/11 Sampdoria vs Fiorentina - BTTS @8/11 Comments are closed.
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