We have an action packed Sunday with a host of local derbies taking place across Europe with some really exciting fixtures including Arsenal v Spurs, Lazio vs Roma and Dortmund vs Schalke to name but three. I am looking at games in five different leagues this afternoon so I am splitting my previews into two parts with part one covering that big game in London, as well as action from both the Bundesliga and Eredivisie with my second preview looking at four fixtures from Serie A. I'm also taking a rare look at La Liga and my home town team with Barcelona welcoming Villareal to the Nou Camp. Here are my "Key Facts" and "Suggested Bets" for some of the best of today's action. Premier League
16:00 Arsenal vs Tottenham - Prediction - 2.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @8/13 Key Facts * Arsenal have won 7 of their last 8 PL fixtures including each of the last 5 * Arsenal have scored 16 goals and conceded only 3 in those 5 wins * Arsenal have scored 2 or more in each of their last 5 home fixtures and in 12 of their last 17 PL home fixtures in 2015 * Arsenal have lost only 3 of their last 42 home PL fixtures * Arsenal sit joint top of the table and hold a 5 point advantage over their opponents today * Tottenham have scored 14 goals in their last 5 PL fixtures * Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 10 PL fixtures, including 5 wins from their last 7 * Spurs have scored in 7 of their last 9 away PL fixtures including each of their last 4 * Spurs have scored 31 goals in their 20 away PL fixtures in the last 12 months * 17 of the last 22 meetings between these two London rivals has seen BTTS including each of the last 3 * 4 of the last 6 meetings at the Emirates have also seen BTTS * Tottneham have won only 1 of their last 24 away matches at Arsenal, the most recent in 2010 * Arsenal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings at the Emirates * Arsenal come into this fixture following a 5.1 hammering at Bayern on Wednesday * Tottenham earned a 2.1 home win over Anderlecht on Thursday Final Verdict - Close game likely but both can score Despite the big defeat on Wednesday, Arsenal should be confident coming into this London derby considering both their recent form in the league and recent history against their opponents today but with a lengthy injury list I won't be backing the hosts for the win even if they may just edge it. Laurent Koscielny faces a late fitness test and with Hector Bellerin already ruled out, Arsene Wenger can ill-afford the loss of his inspirational centre-back who is vital in keeping Arsenal defensively sound. Spurs themselves are in pretty good form and this is a fixture that usually produces BTTS with almost 80% of all contests in the last 10 years producing that outcome. With Harry Kane returning to form, I fancy Spurs to score and given Arsenal's form, that would make BTTS pretty much assumed at 8/13 odds with Arsenal always likely to score at home. I do expect BTTS in what should be a closely fought contest and while I fancy Arsenal to maybe nick it, Spurs are in good form and a share of the spoils wouldn't really be much of a surprise so I won't be backing Arsenal at odds on 8/11. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Bundesliga 14:30 Borussia Dortmund vs Schalke 04 - Prediction -3.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 4/5, Dortmund to win and over 3.5 goals @5/4 Key Facts * Dortmund have won 6 in a row in all competitions including their last 3 in the league * Dortmund have scored 2 or more in each of their last 9 home league fixtures and in 11 of their 12 most recent fixtures * Dortmund have scored 3 or more in 5 of their last 6 home Bundesliga fixtures * Dortmund have scored 17 goals in their 5 home league fixtures this season and a remarkable 42 from 10 home fixtures in all competitions this season * Dortmund have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 home fixtures including 3 out of 5 home league fixture * Dortmund have lost only 1 of their 11 league fixtures, a 5.1 loss at champions Bayern * Dortmund have seen BTTS in 14 out of 17 fixtures in all competitions this season * Schalke have failed to win any of their last 5 fixtures in all competitions * Schalke have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 fixtures in all competitions * Schalke have won 3 out of 5 away league fixtures this season * Schalke have conceded 2 or more in 5 of their last 8 away Bundesliga fixtures * 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides in this "Ruhrderby" have seen BTTS * Schalke have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides with Dortmund winning twice and 1 draw Final Verdict - Home win with goals expected in this local derby Dortmund are in sparkling form at home and I fancy them to get 3 or more here in a fixture that is also likely to see BTTS with Dortmund scoring and conceding in almost every fixture this season and with this derby usually keenly contested, Schalke have it in them to score and make a good game of it but the home side have so much attacking quality and 5/6 on 3 or more goals is worth a pop as well. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 16:30 Augsburg vs Werder Bremen - Prediction -2.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @4/7, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 Key Facts * Augsburg have lost 4 out of 6 home league fixtures this season and are without a win in their last 6 league fixtures * Augsburg have conceded 8 goals in their last 3 home league fixtures * Augsburg have conceded 2 goals or more in 5 of their last 6 Bundesliga fixtures * Augsburg have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 Bundesliga fixtures * Augsburg have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 home fixtures * 21 goals were scored in those 5 fixtures * Augsburg have picked up only 6 points from 11 league matches and sit bottom of the table * Augsburg have scored 10 goals in their last 3 fixtures in all competitions (1 league, 1 EL, 1 DFB Pokal) * Augsburg have only 4 clean sheets in their last 18 home league fixtures * Augsburg did beat AZ 4.1 in the Europa League on Thursday * This is Augsburg's 7th fixture in 22 days so fatigue may hit this small squad sooner rather than later * Werder Bremen have seen BTTS in 13 of their last 15 away Bundesliga fixtures including 4 out of 5 this season * Werder have scored in 21 of their last 24 away league fixtures * Werder have won 2 out of 5 on the road, scoring 3 goals in both wins at Hoffenheim and Mainz * Werder sit 4th bottom of the league, 4 points above their struggling opponents * Each of the last 3 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS and at least 4 goals scored * Augsburg have won each of the last 3 home meetings with Werder with all 3 fixtures seeing BTTS and at least 4 match goals Final Verdict - Goals very likely here I expect BTTS and at least 3 goals in this contest based on recent form and history between these two sides and with the hosts struggling to cope with league football while they negotiate the demanding Europa League. Werder are frequent performers in both markets and I would favour them to perhaps edge this one but I'm taking the two suggested goal bets from this fixture. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Eredivisie 12:30 PSV vs Utrecht - Prediction -3.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @8/13, PSV to win and over 3.5 goals @13/10 Key Facts * Both sides have seen BTTS in 9 out of 11 league fixtures this season * PSV have seen BTTS in 3 out of 4 home league fixtures this season and in 9 of their last 12 home league fixtures since January * PSV have won 20 of their last 22 home league fixtures but were held to a 1.1 draw by Excelsior in their last home fixture * PSV have scored 2 goals or more in 19 of their last 22 home league fixtures * PSV have 24 points from 11 fixture and sit 4th in the table, 4 points behind leaders Ajax * PSV claimed a fine 2.0 home win over Wolfsburg in their most recent fixture * Utrecht have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 away league fixtures and over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 6 fixtures * Utrecht have scored in 18 of their last 21 away league fixtures * Utrecht have scored 11 goals in their last 3 fixtures in all competitions * PSV won last season's corresponding fixture 3.1 * 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * PSV won all 6 of those fixtures * PSV have won their last 18 home fixtures with Utrecht Final Verdict - Good chance of BTTS and a home win here ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 15:45 Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction - 3.1 - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @8/11, Vitesse to win @1/2, Vitesse to score 3 or more @6/5 Key Facts * Vitesse have won 5 or their last 6 at home in the league with only one loss in their last 13 home league fixtures * Vitesse have scored 21 goals in their last 6 home league fixtures and 36 in their last 13 at home since * Vitesse have scored 14 goals in their last 4 league fixtures * Vitesse have scored 2 or more in 10 of their last 13 home league fixtures * Vitesse have scored 3 or more in 8 of their last 11 home league fixtures including 5 of their last 6 home league fixtures * Vitesse have won 10 of their last 14 home league fixtures * Vitesse have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 12 home league fixtures * Vitesse sit 5th with 20 points, 8 points and 8 positions ahead of their opponents today * AZ have won only 1 of their last 7 fixtures in all competitions with 4 losses in their last 5 * AZ have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 league fixtures * AZ have scored in 16 of their last 17 away league fixtures, scoring 31 goals in the process * AZ have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 13 league fixtures and only 1 in their last 10 away league fixtures * AZ have conceded 24 goals in their last 10 away league fixtures since March * AZ have conceded 11 goals in their last 4 fixtures in all competitions * AZ have conceded 2 goals or more in 3 out of 5 away league fixtures this season * Vitesse won last seasons corresponding fixture 3.1, their first win in their last 11 meetings between these two sides * 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * 4 of the last 5 meetings in Arnhem between these two sides have seen BTTS Final Verdict - Home win with goals looks very likely Vitesse can take advantage of an Alkmaar side that haven't travelled at all well this season and come into this one having lost 4.1 at Augsburg in Europa League action on Thursday. Vitesse should take the points @1/2 while this game is likely to see BTTS and over 2.5 goals although 8/11 is a skinny price so I am also looking at an form Vitesse to score 3 or more @6/5 as well. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ La Liga 15:00 Barcelona vs Villareal - Prediction - Suggessted Bets - BTTS @5/6, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @11/10 Key Facts * Barcelona have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 home league fixtures * Barcelona have scored 2 goals or more in 17 of their last 19 home league fixtures * Barcelona have 24 points from 10 games and sit level at the top with rivals Real Madrid * 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals * Barcelona won last season's corresponding fixture 3.2 * Villareal have scored in 7 of their last 8 visits to the Nou Camp * Barcelona have won each of the last 6 meetings between these two sides Final Verdict - BTTS overpriced at 5/6 Barcelona have kept clean sheets in their last 3 fixtures in all competitions but Villareal have a terrific record of scoring at the Nou Camp and I'm backing BTTS @5/6 with Villareal seeing that outcome in 7 of their last 8 trips to the Nou Camp. Obviously the hosts will score, even without the absent King Leo, and they should get at least 2 so I expect this one to go over 2.5 with BTTS @11/10 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Suggested Bets Arsenal vs Tottenham - BTTS @8/13 Borussia Dortmund vs Schalke 04 - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 Borussia Dortmund vs Schalke 04 - Dortmund to win and over 3.5 goals @5/4 Augsburg vs Werder Bremen - BTTS @4/7 Augsburg vs Werder Bremen - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 PSV vs Utrecht - BTTS @8/13 PSV vs Utrecht - PSV to win and over 3.5 goals @13/10 Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @8/11 Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse to win @1/2 Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse to score 3 or more @6/5 Barcelona vs Villareal - BTTS @5/6 Barcelona vs Villareal - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @11/10 Comments are closed.
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