There are 6 fixtures from Italy throughout the day and I've taken a closer look at four of them including an interesting clash between Lazio and Milan, a fixture you can see live on BT Sport at 19.45. Before all that, we have a battle between the bottom two as Carpi entertain Verona while I'm hoping for goals in games between Genoa and Napoli as well as Udinese and Sassuolo. Here are the previews and suggested bets for Serie A Serie A 14:00 Carpi vs Verona - Prediction - 1.1 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @5/6 Key Facts * Verona have seen BTTS in 10 of their last 14 away Serie A fixtures including 6 of their last 8 * Verona have seen BTTS in 11 of their 14 most recent Serie A fixtures and in 7 out of 10 Serie A fixtures this season. * Verona have not won any of their last 12 Serie A fixtures as well as any of their last 8 away Serie A fixtures * Verona have drawn 9 of their last 16 away Serie A fixtures * Verona have scored in 18 of their last 20 away Serie A fixtures * Verona have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 22 away Serie A fixtures * Verona have just 5 points from 10 game so far and sit joint bottom with their opponents today * Carpi have seen BTTS in 7 out of 10 Serie A fixtures so far this season and in each of their last 4 Final Verdict - Both relegation strugglers need the points. Carpi will fancy their chances against a Verona side that don't win many on the road even if they do have a good habbit of scoring having done so in 18 of their last 20 on the road in Serie A. It might not be a thriller but I fancy BTTS here with Verona pretty good in the market with 70% of their league fixtures seeing BTTS and Capri also seeing BTTS in 70% of their fixtures so far this season as well. Considering Verona's "ability" to concede goals, this one has a good chance of seeing BTTS at decent value odds of 5/6. __________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:00 Genoa vs Napoli - Prediction - 1.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @8/11 Key Facts * Genoa have won 8 of their last 9 home league fixtures * Genoa have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5 league fixtures * Genoa have lost only 3 of their last 20 home league fixtures * Genoa have scored in 17 of those 20 home fixtures * Genoa have scored 17 in their last 8 home league fixtures * Genoa have picked up only 11 points from 10 league fixtures this season * Napoli have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 8 away league fixtures but not in their last 3 * Napoli have won their last 2 on the road having only won 1 of their previous 11 away league fixtures * Napoli have kept clean sheets in their last 3 away games having kept only 1 in the previous 11 * Napoli have won their last 5 league fixture while they are undefeated in 9 * 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS including each of the last 3 * 3 of the last 4 meetings in Genoa have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals with Napoli winning 2.1 in last season's corresponding fixture Final Verdict - Goals look likely here Napoli are in great form with 5 straight wins but Genoa are strong on their own patch and they can push Napoli hard in this fixture and I fancy both sides to hit the net today so I'll be on BTTS @ 8/11. The visitors are good enough to win but Genoa's home form and recent history between these two sides suggests BTTS is the better option with Napoli only 5/6 to win at a side that have lost just 3 in 20 home league fixtures and have scored 17 in their last 8 at home and I expect a decent contest with Napoli possibly just edging it. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:00 Udinese vs Sassuolo - Prediction -1.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS 5/6 Key Facts * Udinese have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 league fixtures * Udinese have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 12 home league fixtures * Udinese have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 19 home league fixtures * Udinese have scored in their last 7 league fixtures * Udinese have lost 6 of their last 10 home league fixtures * Udinese have only 11 points from 10 league fixtures so far * Sassuolo have scored in 16 of their last 19 away league fixtures * Sassuolo have won 5 of their last 8 away Serie A fixtures, keeping clean sheets in 3 * Sassuolo have made a fine start to the season, taking 18 points from 8 fixtures with just 2 defeats this season * Sassuolo have seen 6 of their last 10 on the road finish with BTTS and 12 from 18 going back 9 months * 7 of Sassuolo's last 11 league fixtures have seen BTTS * Sassuolo have seen 2 of their last 4 on the road producing BTTS * Sassuolo have lost their last two away fixtures but they beat Juventus in their last Serie A fixture * Sassuolo have beaten Udinese in both of their last visits to Udine * 2 of the 4 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS Final Verdict - Impressive Sassuolo can continue fine form here Sassuolo are having a fantastic season and while they have lost their two most recent away games, they have won 5 of their last 9 on the road and considering Udinese have lost 6 of their last 10 at home, you would have to give the visitors every chance at a big price of 11/5 here. Still, BTTS looks more likely with Udinese seldom doing clean sheets at home but they themselves have shown signs of improvements so I fancy BTTS @5/6 and I might put Sassuolo in a small stakes line for an away win @11/5. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Lazio vs AC Milan - Prediction - 2.1 - Suggested Bets - Lazio to score 2 or more @1/1, Lazio to win @ 21/20, BTTS @4/5 Key Facts * Lazio have scored 2 or more in 16 of their last 22 home fixtures including each of the last 5 * Lazio scored 3 or more in 9 of those 16 * Lazio have won their last 5 home league fixtures scoring 11 goals in the process with clean sheets in their last 4 * All 5 of those wins came against teams in the bottom half of the table (Bologna, Udinese, Genoa, Frosinone and Torino) * Lazio have not taken that form on the road with 4 defeats in 5 away games with 14 goals conceded. * Lazio have actually won 10 of their last 13 home league fixtures with clean sheets in 9 of those * Lazio sit 6th in the table with 18 points, 2 points above Milan * 10 of the last 14 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS including 4 of the last 5 * 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides in Rome have seen BTTS * Lazio won last season's corresponding fixture 3.1 * Lazio are unbeaten in their last 5 home meetings with Milan * Milan have taken 7 points from their last 3 Serie A fixtures and are showing small signs of improvements * Milan have lost 6 of their last 9 away league games Final Verdict - Home form the key for Lazio Lazio are very much reliant on their home form and they can make it 6 wins in a row here against a Milan side that have yet to convince under new boss Sinisa Mijhalovic although they have won their last two home fixtures against Chievo and Sassuolo but this is a much sterner test against one of the leagues better sides. The Rossinnieri have lost 6 of their last 9 on the road however and usually struggle away from their San Siro home and I like Lazio's chances of winning and scoring 2 or more in the process with the Romans scoring 2 or more in 16 of their last 22 at home. BTTS doesn't stand up particularly well to the statistical analysis but recent meetings between these two sides usually produce that outcome (5 of the last 6 in Rome) and while Lazio have kept 4 clean sheets in a row at home, the standard of their opposition has not been stellar and this is probably their toughest test so far this season with Milan possessing some decent firepower in the likes of Bacca and Adriano and my gut feeling is that Milan will score but Lazio will win. Lazio won last season's corresponding fixture 3.1 and I fancy something similar if perhaps not quite as convincing. The hosts are 21/20 to get the win and while I'm not doing many picks on the WDW market these days, I do fancy a Lazio win here although Milan may have enough in attack to score at the other end as well so BTTS @4/5 is worth a shot as well, perhaps on a low stakes line. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Serie A Suggested Bets Genoa vs Napoli - BTTS @8/11 Carpi vs Verona - BTTS @5/6 Udinese vs Sassuolo - BTTS @5/6 Lazio vs AC Milan - Lazio to win @ 21/20 Lazio vs AC Milan - BTTS @4/5 Lazio vs AC Milan - Lazio to score 2 or more @1/1 Comments are closed.
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