It's the final day of the Serie A season in Italy and the final set of fixtures from our top leagues in Europe (awww) which means bobookies will need to find something else to do for the next 2 months! But of course that's not true as I will be here during the summer to cover the Copa America, the UEFA U21's and any other action we can find some winners on but first things first, let's take a look at our final day in Italy and there are still some major issues to be resolved. It should be a cracker in Naples as Lazio travel to face Napoli knowing that a point will secure them a 3rd position finish and subsequent qualification to next season's Champions League qualifiers while a defeat would allow Napoli to sneak in the back door. It has the makings of a really juicy contest while Genoa and Fiorentina are still fighting to see who will qualify for the Europa League (much less juicy). Serie A
20:45 Torino vs Cesena - Prediction 3.1- Best Bet - BTTS @4/7, BTTS and over 2.5 @4/5, Torino to win @2/5 Already relegated Cesena have been good value for goals lately with 5 of their last 6 away games seeing BTTS and 11 from 14 over the longer period. Torino aren't especially prolific although 7 of their last 11 at home have seen BTTS. This season's first meeting between the 2 sides saw Torino win 3.2 so goals could be on the order again today. Torino could yet steal a Europa league place should Sampdoria be denied a Licence to compete in Europe and Inter fail to beat Empoli at home so I expect a home win here as well. 20:45 Fiorentina vs Chievo - Prediction 2.0 - Best Bet - No bet It's a dead rubber fixture and I don't really fancy much here. Fiorentina are pretty strong at home but Chievo can be a stubborn little side to beat so for me, it's a no go. 20:45 Inter vs Empoli - Prediction 2.1- Best Bet - BTTS and over 2.5 @4/5 Goals are expected here with both sides seeing 5 of their last 6 fixtures resulting in BTTS while it's actually 6 in 7 for the visitors who are often a thorn for some of the bigger teams in the league. Inter need to win to have a chance of qualifying for the Europa league and I expect them to manage it narrowly in a game that doesn't guarantee goals, but may well produce them. 20:45 Sassuolo vs Genoa - Prediction 1.2- Best Bet - BTTS and over 2.5 @8/13, Genoa to score 2 or more @8/11, Genoa to win @13/10 I like this game the most in terms of goals with Sassuolo on a bit of form and 6th placed Genoa still looking to try to catch 5th placed Fiorentina. Due to issues with their stadium, Genoa have been denied a licence to compete in Europe next season, a decision which they have appealed and while that is not expected to go in their favour, they will still be motivated to finish the season in the best possible style and hope that events elsewhere go in their favour. Genoa are in great form, winning 5 of their last 6 and scoring 3 or more in all of those while the home side are also in good form, winning their last 3 in the league. Goals are surely on the cards with 6 of Genoa's last 7 seeing BTTS and 5 of their ast 7 away also seeing BTTS. The numbers for Sassuolo are decent as well with 5 of their last 8 seeing BTTS. I'm more swung by the good form of both sides and I expect a decent encounter with BTTS and over 2.5 goals @8/13. I also fancy Genoa to win @13/10 with Sassuolo only having pride to play for, and Genoa to score 2 or more @8/11, a feat they have managed in 7 of their last 9 fixtures. With 18 goals in their last 6, they are clearly in their best form of the season and can breach a Sassuolo defence that has just 2 clean sheets in their last 11 home fixtures to finish their excellent season on a well deserved high. 20:45 Napoli vs Lazio - Prediction 3.2- Best Bet - BTTS @4/6, BTTS and over 2.5 @21/20, Higuain to score anytime @11/10, Napoli to score 2 or more @5/6 The biggest match of the night with Napoli needing a win to snatch 3rd place from Lazio and the Champions League position that comes with it. This is going to be an intense encounter from the outset and I expect goals with Napoli sure to attack Lazio from the off and their home record suggests this crucial fixture will see goals. Napoli have scored at least 2 goals in 15 out of 17 home matches this season and with 44 goals in those 17 games, we can be confident they will do so again tonight in Rafa Benitez's last match in charge. Napoli are 5/6 to score 2 or more. I do fancy BTTS here with 7 of Napoli's last 10 at home seeing that outcome and with Lazio scoring in 15 out of 18 away ties this season, we can be confident in their fire power to hurt Napoli. Lazio are strong in defence but I doubt they can keep a clean-sheet here so we may well see an end to end ding dong encounter with everything on the line. Both sides will probably score and I expect at least 3 goals in a fixture that in previous season has seen two 4.2's and one 4.3 as well as a couple of low scoring encounters but tonight should be different. BTTS is 4/6 and I'll be on that as well as BTTS and over 2.5 @21/20 which has appeared oin all 7 of those BTTS home fixtures involving Napoli. One final note is that Gonzalo Higuian has 6 goals in his last 5 against Lazio and you can back the Argentine at 11/10 to score anytime andcontinue that form tonight. 20:45 Roma vs Palermo - Prediction 1.0- Best Bet - Under 2.5 goals @6/4 Theres nothing to play for here and I don't see too much that I fancy in a game that Roma should just edge. Palermo are pretty dull on the road, with 5 of their last 6 only seeing a maximum of 1 goal, and I don't see that changing here against a Roma whose home fixtures rarely go over 2.5 goals. Only 1 of their last 8 at home (their most recent fixture) has seen more than 2.5 goals (only 6 from 18 this season) and with only 1 of Palermo's last 6 away games going over, the 6/4 on offer for under 2.5 goals looks to be the value bet here. It's been a weird season for Roma, especially at home. They won their first 7, drew their next 6, before losing their first of the season, only to rebound with 3 wins from their last 4. Therefore, backing them at 1/2 isn't a gamble I like. 20:45 Sampdoria vs Parma - Prediction - Best Bet - No bet I don't fancy anything at all here with Samp too short to back even against a woeful Parma side. Bo's Best Bets Torino vs Cesena -BTTS @4/7 Torino v Cesnea - BTTS and over 2.5 @4/5 Torino to win @2/5 Inter vs Empoli - BTTS and over 2.5 @4/5 Sassuolo vs Genoa - BTTS and over 2.5 @8/13 Genoa to score 2 or more @8/11 Genoa to win @13/10 Napoli vs Lazio - BTTS @4/6 Gonzalo Higuain to score anytime @11/10 Napoli to score 2 or more @5/6 Roma vs Palermo - Under 2.5 goals @6/4 Comments are closed.
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