Here are Sunday's picks. 14:00 Lazio vs Roma Prediction 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @10/11 Key Facts * Lazio have seen BTTS in each of their last 6 league fixtures and in their last 4 home league fixtures * Each of their last 3 at home saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals * Lazio have only failed to score in 1 of their last 12 home league fixtures * Roma have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 league fixtures * Roma have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 away league fixtures! * Roma have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 29 away league fixtures * While both sides share the same stadium, home advantage does play a factor in the outcome of these matches * Roma have won the last 3 meetings between these two sides, scoring 2 or more in each of the last 4 contests * 3 of the last 4 derbies have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals * In the last 9 derbies hosted by Lazio, 7 saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals * Both sides are in form with Lazio unbeaten in 9 league fixtures and 1 point behind their rivals Roma in 2nd. Final Verdict Both sides are in good form and I expect an exciting contest with both fighting at the top end of the table and in real contention to challenge for the title. Roma are particularly strong in these goal markets and I expect that to carry this fixture to that outcome with Lazio more than capable of scoring and perhaps winning their first derby in 7 attempts. 14:00 Sampdoria vs Torino Prediction - 2.1 Best Bets - BTTS @ 4/6, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @21/20 Key Facts * Sampdoria have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 9 Serie A fixtures * Samp have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 6 at home * Samp have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 9 home league fixtures * Torino have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 9 Serie A fixtures and in 16 of their last 20 since April * All 8 of those BTTS matches also went over 2.5 goals * Torino have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 away league fixturs. All of those 8 also went over 2.5 goals. * Torino have kept only 4 clean sheets in their last 30 away league fixtures nad just 3 in 2016 * 4 of the last 5 meetings in Genoa saw BTTS including last seasons corresponding fixture which finished 2.2 Final Verdict With Joe Hart in goal, Torino are always likely to concede but in all seriousness, the men from Turin are pretty prolific in the BTTS market of late and with Sampdoria also producing good numbers in the market, I'm taking both the BTTS and over 2.5 goals selections here. Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction- 1.2 Best Bets - BTTS @ 4/6, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 Key Facts * Liverpool have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goal in 7 of their last 10 PL fixtures and in 8 of their last 12 on the road in the PL * Liverpool have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 away league fixtures * Liverpools clean sheet at Southampton last weekend was only their 2nd in their last 16 away PL fixtures * Bournemouth have scored in 8 of their last 9 league fixtures at home * Both of the last two meetings at Bournemouth between these two sides saw Liverpool winning with BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in the match Final Verdict While Bournemouths stats in the BTTS market don't make this a nailed on selection, I do expect my favourite outcome here with goalson the cards when these two sides have met here in the last two season. The hosts have shown some real quality this year but inconsistency as well and with Liverpool still quite vulnerable at the back, this is a game that could produce quite a few goals but getting an early one could be essential to that outcome. I fancy Bournemouth to put up a strong showing and they can certainly score against a Liverpool team that while dynamic and exciting at the back, are still largely suspect at the back, despite 2 clean sheets in their last two fixtures. I expect a narrow away win for the visitors who should score at least 2 while Bournemouth are more than capable of scoring, especially with Jack Wilshere and Calumn WIlson both impressing in recent weeks following lengthy injury lay-offs last season. I'm going for BTTS and over 2.5 goals here. Best bets in order of confidence Lazio v Roma - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 NAP Sampdoria v Torino - `BTTS @ 8/13 NB Bournemouth v Liverpool - BTTS @ 4/6 NB Comments are closed.
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