Domestic football returns this weekend and we kick things off @bobreaksbookies with a lunch time cracker as Liverpool travel to Man City looking to maintain an impressive recent run of form over the Citizens. Elsewhere, I've covered 6 further fixtures from England and Germany as we look for another fine day of winners. #Bolieve Premier League
12:30 Manchester City vs Liverpool - Prediction - 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS @4/7, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6, Liverpool to win or draw @10/11 Key Facts * 11 of the last 13 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * Each of the last 6 meetings between these two sides in Manchester has seen BTTS * Liverpool have won 4 of their last 5 league meetings with Man City Final Verdict You would expect an entertaining contest here in the live lunch time fixture with Liverpool strong enough to claim at least a point in a contest that they have had the better of in recent seasons, winning 4 of their last 5 PL contests with City. Indeed, the visitors have started the season brightly and will fancy their chances of unsettling a Man City side that is still bedding in a number of new defensive signings and for that reason, I expect Liverpool to score at least 1, and with City almost always scoring on their own patch BTTS seems probable @4/7 while Liverpool are hardly solid themselves yet and an entertaining and high scoring draw seems the most likely outcome. BTTS pays short at 4/7 but it looks likely while this fixture usually goes over 2.5 goals with 9 of the last 11 (although not the last 2) seeing at least 3 goals scored. _________________________________________________________________________________ 15:00 Everton vs Tottenham - Prediction - 1.1 Best Bets - Draw @5.2, Under 2.5 goals @3/4 Key Facts * Everton have won 10 of their last 11 home matches in the Premier League. *Tottenham have won 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Premier League). * Everton have seen under 2.5 goals scored in their last 4 home matches against Tottenham in all competitions. * Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 9 matches against Everton in all competitions. * There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Everton's last 6 games (Premier League). * Everton are undefeated in 9 of their last 10 home matches against Tottenham in all competitions * 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides finished level * 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides AT GOODISON also finished level Final Verdict All of those stats suggest a low scoring draw here. ________________________________________________________________________________________ 15:00 Arsenal vs Bournemouth - Prediction - 2.1 Best Bets - BTTS @8/13, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Key Facts * 10 goals were shared in the last 2 meetings between these two sides with Arsenal coming from 3.0 down to draw 3.3 in their most recent contest * Arsenal have conceded 8 goals in their 3 PL fixtures so far this season while losing 2 of those 3 fixtures Final Verdict Arsenal seem to lurch from crisis to crisis and while they should claim the points here, I fancy the visitors to run them close and BTTS has the most appeal @5/6. ________________________________________________________________________________________ Bundesliga 14:30 Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen - Prediction 1.2 Best Bets - BTTS @8/13, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 Key Facts * Each of the last 4 meetings between these two sides in Mainz has seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored. 19 goals were scored in those 4 contests * Leverkusen won 3 of those 4 games * Leverkusen have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 20 away Bundesliga fixtures Final Verdict Goals seem likely here with Leverkusen fairly prolific in the BTTS market but again, my recommendations are to keep the stakes small. Stats are still being taken from last season and with form yet to develop, I am advising caution with all of my picks. ________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Wolfsburg vs Hannover 96 - Prediction 1.1 Best Bets - Hannover or draw @1/1, Draw @12/5 Key Facts * Wolfsburg have won only 5 of their last 18 home league fixtures * Hannover have won their first 2 league fixtures of the season following their promotion * Hannover have drawn 7 of their last 14 away domestic league fixtures (!3 of those in Bundesliga ii) Final Verdict Hannover can avoid defeat here @1/1 odds or if you fancy taking a chance, back the draw @12/5 but I wouldn't advise betting the farm on these early league fixtures. Again, a 4 fold acca should do for both of these picks. ________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction 1.3 Best Bets - Dortmund -1 to win @21/20, Dortmund to score 3 or more @11/8, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @11/10 Key Facts * Dortmund have scored 3 goals or more in 9 of their last 11 meetings with Freiburg * Dortmund have beaten Freiburg by more than 1 goal in 10 of their last 11 meetings * Dortmund have won each of their last 12 meetings with Freiburg, scoring 38 goals in the process * Freiburg have scored in 20 of their last 22 home league fixtures, although 1 of those 2 games was in their last meeting with Dortmund (0.3) * Dortmund have seen BTTS in 13 of their last 14 away Bundesliga fixtures with their only clean sheet during that period coming at Freiburg Final Verdict A comfortable away win is expected here, certainly if previous meetings between these two sides are anything to go on. Dortmund can win with 1 or more to spare @21/20 and they have a chance to get 3 or more at tempting 11/8 odds in a game that also has a chance in the BTTS market as well with Freiburg scoring in 20 of their last 22 home league fixtures Dortmund have started the season well with 2 wins and 7 goals and they can keep that run going here against an opponent that they hold a particularly strong record on over the last 7 years. ________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Borussia M.Gladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Prediction - 2.0 Best Bets - Gladbach to win @5/6 Key Facts * Frankfurt have lost 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga away fixtures * Borussia M.Gladbach are undefeated in their last 6 matches in the Bundesliga Final Verdict Try the home win on a small stakes acca if that's your thing. I just don't like the WDW market so much these days but Frankfurt were a bit rotten on the road last season while Moenchengladbach boast some talent in their attacking ranks and they can claim they win if the likes of Stindl and Hazard find their form. ________________________________________________________________________________________ 15.15 - Valenica vs Atletico - Prediction 1.1 Best Bets - Valencia or draw @4/6, BTTS @10/11 Key Facts * Atletico have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 10 away La Liga fixtures including each of their last 3 * Valencia have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 10 home league fixtures * Atletico are missing key man Antoine Griezmann * Final Verdict A decent contest is expected here with Valencia looking far stronger in their opening two fixtures under new boss Pellegrino, claiming a draw at Real Madrid and following that with a win over Las Palmas. In contrast, Atletico stumbled to a 2.2 opening day draw at Girona while the absence of star striker Griezmann is surely a big loss here. I'm going for Valencia not to lose @4/6 in a fixture that also has a good chance of seeing BTTS @10/11 Saturday Best Bets Man City vs Liverpool - Liverpool or draw @10/11 = NAP Freiburg vs Dortmund - Dortmund -`1 to win @21/20 NB Man City vs Liverpool - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Comments are closed.
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