It's a tough card across Europe today and I've covered plenty of games from your favourite leagues with plenty of action from both the UK and Europe for us to focus on. I see plenty of even looking contests while goals could be hard to find so I am recommending small stakes for today's selections. #BOlieve Premier League
15:00 Bournemouth vs Leicester 1.1 Best Bets - Draw @5/2, BTTS @4/5 Key Facts * 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides have finished in draws Leicesters away record in the PL is quite remarkable. Between April 2015 and April 2016, Leicester won 13, drew 5 and lost just 2. Since then, Leicester have won2, drawn 7 and lost a whopping 15. Quite the downturn in fortunes and while they have had a tough start with fixtures against 4 of the big 6 in their opening 6 fixtures, Leicester have struggled badly in 2017 so I can't back them here against a Bournemouth side that could really use the points following a tough start of their own. Given previous meetings, I expect another low scoring affair although BTTS seems almost inevitable considering both sides defensive weaknesses. I fancy a share of the spoils and a 1.1 draw seems the likeliest score outcome. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 15:00 West Ham vs Swansea - Prediction 0.0 Best Bets - Swansea or Draw @10/11, Draw @5/2 Key Facts * 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides finished level * Swansea have drawn 3 of their last 5 away league fixtures * Swansea are unbeaten in those 5 fixtures, while they have kept clean sheets in each of their last 4 away league fixtures * West Ham have won only 4 of their last 20 PL fixtures and only 3 of their last 10 at home Final Verdict Swansea have improved defensively, especially on their travels and I can see a low or no scoring draw here against a West Ham side that are struggling for wins with only 4 in their last 20 in the Premier League so the draw appeals at 5/2 while Swansea not to lose @10/11 is decent value. Goals should be at a premium and a 0.0 draw wouldn't surprise me either. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 15:00 Manchester United vs Crystal Palace - 3.0 United - 2 @6/5 and to win to nil @4/7 Final Verdict Can't see past a comfortable home win and while Palace have to score eventually this season, it isn't likely to be here. 13/8 on BTTS tells you the story of the visitors form so 4/7 on a home win to nil makes the most sense with Palace likely to be stodgy and defensive under new boss Hodgson. A home win by 2 or 3 to nil looks the likeliest outcome here. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 17:30 Chelsea vs Manchester City - Prediction 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS @8/13, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1, Draw @5/2 Final Verdict I just can't split these two sides and considering past form and recent meetings, goals seem likely with each of the last 5 meetings between these two sides going over 2.5 goals. Both sides are coming into some excellent form so we could well see a thrilling end to end encounter...or a drab 0.0 but that outcome has only occurred once in their previous 30 meetings so I'm backing BTTS and over 2.5 goals in another fixture that could well end up level. City come into this tie with a 3 point advantage on the champions so a point would certainly not be a bad result for the visitors with Chelsea winning 3 of their last 4 contests against City and with Chelsea so strong at the Bridge, Pep's men might well be pleased with a point but this is hardly the outcome they will look for so I expect goals and BTTS @8/13 looks likely. Try the double with over 2.5 goals @1/1. Both managers will have a big part to play in the outcome of this fixture and I would like to see the team news before finalising my selections but I do expect goals for both sides and a draw could well be the final outcome once more. ______________________________________________________________________________________ Bundesliga 14:30 Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction - 1.2 Best Bets - BTTS @3/4 Key Facts * Augsburg have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 11 home fixtures. * Augsburg have scored in ALL of their last 11 home league fixtures, scoring 22 goals in the process * Augsburg are unbeaten in their last 6 home league fixtures, winning 4 * Dortmund saw BTTS in 13 of their last 14 away league fixtures last season. So far this season, they have kept clean sheets in ALL 3 away fixtures * Augsburg have scored in 7 of their last 8 meetings with Dortmund * 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides saw BTTS while both of last season's meetings finished in 1.1 draws. Final Verdict The hosts are in great form, especially at home and you would imagine that Dortmund may well suffer some kind of Euro hangover following their midweek 3.1 home loss to Real Madrid so I'm taking BTS @3/4 with Augsburg doing well in past meetings against Dortmund, scoring in 7 of their last 8 Dortmund doesn't always have it easy with Augsburg and this BTTS looks to have every chance, even if Dortmund have been keeping clean sheets in the league so far this season. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 - Prediction 1.1 Best Bets - Draw @9/4 * 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides have finished level. Going back further, 7 of the last 12 meetings have finished as draws. * Wolfsburg have drawn 3 of their last 4 home league fixtures * Mainz have lost 12 of their last 15 away league fixtures Final Verdict Mainz have been rotten on the road for the past 12 months and with 3 away losses already, it takes a brave man to back them not to lose here but these two sides have a habit of drawing with 7 of their last 12 contests finishing level and with Wolfsburg struggling for home form, winning only 1 of their last 7 and none of their last 5, this could be another draw. The hosts have won just 3 of their last 15 Bundesliga fixtures so Mainz will be hopeful of claiming a point, despite their own away day blues in recent months. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 17:30 Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen - Prediction 1.1 Best Bets - BTTS @4/6, Draw @11/5 Key Facts * Werder have seen BTTS in 16 of their last 19 away Bundesliga fixtures * Werder scored in 18 of their last 19 away Bundesliga fixtures * Each of the last 4 meetings between these two sides has seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored * None of the last 38 meetings between these sides has finished goalless * 5 of the 9 previous meetings to that did in fact, finish 0-0 * Hamburg have scored 2 goals or more in their last 3 home matches against Werder Bremen Final Verdict Both sides are in poor form and therefore both will see it as a good chance to claim 3 points but BTTS is the selection here based purely on Werder's sterling record in that market in away league fixtures. Hamburg have lost their last 4 without scoring but they will fancy their chances against a Bremen side that have failed to win any of their last 9 away Bundesliga ties and considering their recent record against the visitors, I fancy another 1.1 with BTTS @4/6 not especially generous. ______________________________________________________________________________________ La Liga 15:15 Sevilla vs Malaga - Prediction - 2.0 Best Bets - Sevilla to win to nil @6/5 * Sevilla have kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 7 home wins including each of the last 3 * Malago have lost 6 of their last 10 La Liga away matches. They failed to score in all 6 Final Verdict Sevilla should be far too strong for Malaga and I fancy them to win with a clean sheet at tasty 6/5 odds. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 17:30 Levante vs Alaves - Prediction 1.0 Best Bets - Levante to win to nil @13/8 Final Verdict The hosts have a tremendous home record and they remain unbeaten in 4 home fixtures in La Liga following their promotion from Segunda division and they can claim a narrow home win over a struggling Alaves that have lost all 6 league fixtures so far this season. ______________________________________________________________________________________ Serie A 17:00 Udinese vs Sampdoria - Prediction 1.1 Best Bets - BTTS @4/5 Key Facts * Udinese have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 11 home league fixtures * Udinese have scored in 17 of their last 18 home league fixtures * Udinese have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 7 Serie A fixtures (5 out of 6 this season). 28 goals were scored in those 7 games * Udinese lost 6 of those 7 games. * Sampdoria are unbeaten so far this season, winning 3 and drawing 2 of their opening 5 fixtures * Sampdoria have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 8 away league fixtures although they did draw 0.0 at Verona in their most recent away fixtures * Sampdoria have drawn 4 of their last 6 away fixtures * Sampdoria have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 21 away league fixtures Final Verdict Sampdoria are certainly the side in form but Udinese usually score at home and I can see a score draw here with Samp drawing 4 of their last 6 on the road and Udinese almost always scoring at home. The hosts have not started the season well with 2 home losses from 3 but they have managed to score in 17 of their last 18 at home and considering the visitors form, most recently a fine win over AC Milan, I can see BTTS @4/5 with this one having a decent chance of finishing level although I don't expect a flurry of goals so 1.1 is the call here. Samp are being tipped to win, but with just 1 win in their last 7 on the road, they are priced at 8/5 to claim the win and while they are in good form, I can't back them here so why not try the Uruguayan Zapata to score anytime @9/4 with the former Udinese man in the mood following his winner over Milan on Wednesday. ______________________________________________________________________________________ Other selections Championship 15:00 Nottingham Forest vs Sheffield United - Prediction 1.2 Best Bets - Sheffield United to win and BTTS 15:00 Preston vs Sunderland - Prediction - 2.0 Best Bets - Preston to win @17/20 15:00 Ipswich vs Bristol City- Bristol to win and BTTS Prediction 1.2 15:00 Cardiff vs Derby - Prediction 2.1 Best Bets - Cardiff to win @10/11, BTTS @5/6 Saturday Best Bets GOALS Chelsea vs City - BTTS @8/13 Chelsea vs City - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 Augsburg vs Dortmund - BTTS @3/4 Hamburg vs Bremen - BTTS @4/6 Udinese vs Sampdoria - BTTS @4/5 WIN TO NIL Man Utd to win to nil @4/7 Sevilla to win nil @6/5 Levante to win to nil @13/8 DRAWS Chelsea vs City Hamburg vs Bremen West Ham vs Swansea Udinese vs Sampdoria Bournemouth vs Leicester Wolfsburg vs Mainz WIN AND BTTS Shef Utd to beat Forest Celtic to beat Hibs Cardiff to beat Derby Bristol City to beat Ipswich Comments are closed.
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