Historically, the last day of the season in Germany has produced open and entertaining games with 27 of the last 36 fixtures played on the last day over the last 4 years seeing BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored. That's a whopping 75% success ratio with with an average of 3.5 goals scored per fixture so with that in mind, I am hoping for plenty of goals in most of our fixtures from the Bundesliga today. Here's what I've come up with for our last day in Germany. 14:30 Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Prediction - 4.2 Best Bets - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @8/13,Bremen to score 2 or more @12/5, Dortmund to win and BTTS @1/1 Bet Confidence - 4 Stars, 1.5 stars, 2 stars Key Facts * Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 37 home league fixtures, with their last home defeat in April 2015! * Dortmund have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 6 league fixtures * Dortmund have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of their last 9 fixtures in all competitions * 33 goals were scored in those 9 fixtures * Dortmund conceded 2 goals or more in 5 of those 9 fixtures * In fact, Dortmund kept only 1 clean sheet in those 9 fixtures * Dortmund have seen BTTS in only 5 of their last 10 home league fixtures * Bremen have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 6 league fixtures * A whopping 30 goals have been scored in Bremen's last 6 league fixtures * Bremen have seen BTTS in 13 of their last 15 away league fixtures * Bremen have scored 14 goals in their last 4 away league fixtures * Bremen have scored in 15 successive away league fixtures with their only failure to score coming on the opening weekend of the season, a 4.0 loss at Bayern * Bremen had won 9 out of 11 league fixtures before losing their 2 most recent games, a 4.3 loss at Koln followed by a 5.3 home defeat by Hoffenheim * Bremen have scored 2 goals or more in 12 of their last 13 league fixtures * Each of the last 6 meetings between these two sides has seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored * The last 2 meetings in Dortmund between these two sides finished in a 3.2 home win * Dortmund have won 10 of the last 11 meetings between these two sides Final Verdict Dortmund come into their final league fixture knowing a win will secure 3rd place and automatic CL qualification but the may also have one eye on next weekend's German cup final and with Werder Bremen the visitors, goals seem utterly inevitable, despite Dortmund being relatively strong defensively on their own patch in recent weeks. You don't go 37 unbeaten at home without being strong at the back but Bremen are such an adventurous team with a strong goalscoring record and I expect BTTS and over 2.5 goals @8/13 odds here. Bremen have scored in all but 1 of their away fixtures and with so many goals scored in their recent matches, I don't expect the pattern to alter here with over 2.5 goals as short as 2/11 so I'm looking for a bit more value, so BTTS and over as a combo at 8/13 looks very solid while Bremen to score 2 or more @12/5 is certainly riskier but worth a punt on a small stakes acca. _______________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Bayern Munich vs Freiburg - Prediction 3.1 Best Bets BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21, Bayern to win and BTTS @6/5 Bet confidence - 1.5 stars, 1 star Key Facts * Freiburg can still qualify for the Europa League but will need to win if Koln beat Mainz *Bayern have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 9 fixtures in all competitions * Freiburg have scored in 11 of their last 14 away Bundesliga games Final Verdict Bayern should win but with goals expected around the country, and with Freiburg having something to play for, I expect the visitors to score and make a decent game of it against a Bayern side that have already wrapped up yet another Bundesliga title. BTTS and over 2.5 goals is fine @5/6 while Bayern to win and BTTS is priced _______________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Hertha Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen - Prediction 2.1 Best Bets - Hertha to win @10/11, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @11/10 Bet Confidence - 2 stars, 1.5 stars Key Facts * Hertha have won 12 out of 16 home league fixtures this season * Hertha need 3 points to guarantee Europa League qualification * Leverkusen have nothing to play for having ensured their survival last weekend * Leverkusen have lost 4 of their last 6 away league fixtures _______________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 FC Cologne vs Mainz 05 - Prediction 2.0 Best Bets - Koln to win @8/13 Bet confidence - 2 stars Key Facts * Mainz are now safe from the threat of relegation * Koln need 3 points to have any chance of sealing 6th place and an automatic place in the Europa League * Mainz have lost 7 of their last 10 away league fixtures Final Verdict Koln need the win and I expect them to get it here against a poor Mainz side. _______________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Hamburger SV vs Wolfsburg - Prediction - 1.0 Under 2.5 goals @17/20 - Hamburg to win @8/5 Bet Confidence - 1.5 stars Key Facts * 8 of the last 9 meetings between these two sides went under 2.5 goals * Hamburg must win to avoid a relegation play-off * Defeat for Wolsfburg could instead see them face a relegation play-off Final Verdict With everything at stake for both clubs here, goals should be at a premium so going under goes against the grain but makes the most sense @17/20 odds with Wolfsburg needing just a point to secure their future. Of course, an early goal could change all and given my dislike for the unders market, I won't make this a best bet for Saturday but at 17/20 odds, it's worth a punt on one of my long shot accas while Hamburg might just have the mental edge to claim the points here in what should be a nervy encounter. _______________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Ingolstadt vs Schalke 04 - Prediction 2.1 Best Bets - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5, Ingolstadt to win @13/8 Key Facts * Ingostadt have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 9 home league fixtures. 6 of those 7 games also went over 2.5 goals * 20 goals have been scored in Ingolstadt's last 5 home league fixtures * Ingolstadt have lost only 1 of their last 5 home league fixtures * Schalke have lost 4 of their last 6 away league fixtures * Schalke have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 10 away league fixtures Final Verdict Relegated Ingolstadt will be looking to go out with a bang and they might just do it against a poor Schalke side that have won only 3 of their 16 away fixtures this season. Goals are likely with neither side having anything to play for and with the hosts in better form, I fancy them to edge to victory in a fixture that seems likely to see BTTS. As I mentioned earlier, historically, the last day of the season in Germany has produced open and entertaining games with 27 of the last 36 fixtures played on the last day over the last 4 years seeing BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored with an average of 3.8 goals per fixture and this looks like a good contender for goals as well so I'll be taking BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 as well as the home win @13/8 with my gut telling me that the hosts will give their fans something to cheer before they embark on their Bundesliga ii campaign next season. _______________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Hoffenheim vs Augsburg - Prediction 2.1 Best Bets - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5, Hoffenheim to win and BTTS @6/4 Bet Confidence - 2 Stars, 1.5 stars Key Facts * Hoffenheim have won their last 7 home matches in the Bundesliga * Hoffenheim remain unbeaten in their 16 home league matches this season * Hoffenheim can still finish 3rd if they win and Dortmund slip up at home to Werder * Hoffenheim have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 league fixtures * Augsburg need a point to guarantee their survival although they could survive even with a defeat, depending on the outcome of the Hamburg vs Wolfsburg match Final Verdict Hoff are a bit short @4/11 to back for the win so i'll continue the goals theme with BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5. _______________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Eintracht Frankfurt vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - Prediction - 1.4 Best Bets - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21, RBL to win @5/6, RBL to win and BTTS @6/4, RBL to score 2 or more @8/11 Bet Confidence - 2.5 stars, 3 stars, 1.5 stars, 3 stars Key Facts * RBL have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 6 away league fixtures * 14 goals have been scored in RBL's two most recent league fixtures * RBL have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 11 away Bundesliga fixtures * Frankfurt have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 6 league fixtures including 2 of their last 3 at home * Frankfurt have lost 10 of their last 16 league fixtures and are now out of contention for a Europa League place * Frankfurt conceded 2 goals or more in 4 of their last 6 league fixtures * RBL have seen BTTS in each of their last 5 away league wins * RBL have scored 4 goals or more in 4 of their last 8 league fixtures Final Verdict Goals and a handsome away win are on the cards here with Frankfurt struggling for form and with nothing to play for against RBL who will look to finish their incredible debut season in the Bundesliga with yet another win. I'm backing the visitors to win, to score 2 or more, and for the hosts to get one as well with RBL not keeping a clean sheet in any of their last 11 on the road in the league. Saturday Best Bets Goals Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @8/13 -NAP Ingolstadt vs Schalke 04 - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 Hoffenheim vs Augsburg - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 Eintracht Frankfurt vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 Bayern Munich vs Freiburg - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 Hertha Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen -BTTS and over 2.5 goals @11/10 Hamburger SV vs Wolfsburg - Under 2.5 goals @17/20 WDW FC Cologne vs Mainz 05 -Koln to win @8/13 Eintracht Frankfurt vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - RBL to win @5/6 Hamburger SV vs Wolfsburg - Hamburg to win @8/5 Ingolstadt vs Schalke 04 - Ingolstadt to win @13/8 Hertha Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha to win @10/11 BTTS and Win Hoffenheim vs Augsburg -Hoffenheim to win and BTTS @6/4 Eintracht Frankfurt vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - RBL to win and BTTS @6/4 Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Dortmund to win and BTTS @10/11 Bayern Munich vs Freiburg - Bayern to win and BTTS @6/5 2 Goals or more Eintracht Frankfurt vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - RBL to score 2 or more @8/11 Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Bremen to score 2 or more @12/5 Comments are closed.
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