I'm quite happy it's a quiet Monday and there are only 2 games to look at from the major leagues across Europe with 1 fixture in Serie A and another in La Liga. There are fixtures from the lower leagues across Europe, and It does amaze me that some people are willing to gamble on football that they surely have no first hand knowledge of. That's why I stick to the leagues that I have a real knowledge of, rather than plucking an over 2.5 goals stat from some footballing outpost. I even read a post from 1 chap who said that he loved a bet on Czech under 21 football. The mind boggles. Anyways, I like the looks of the fixture in Serie A between Fiorentina and Verona and that will be my main pick for today wtih Elche and Sociedad not really appealing. 20.45 – Fiorentina v Verona – Prediction 2.1- Best Bet – Fiorentina to win and BTTS @7/4, Fiorentina to win and Over 2.5 goals @21/20 I have one bet for this match that will be my sexy single for today and it stands up to statistical analysis. You wouldn’t call this a banker but I do think it has a good chance of coming in. Firstly the possibility of BTTS is strong with 6 of Fiorentina’s last 7 home fixtures in the league finishing that way, of which Fiorentina won 3 with BTTS in all 3 and with 6 of their last 7 wins seeing BTTS it’s obvious that they have a habit of leaking goals lately. Fiorentina have won 13 games in the league this season and 10 of those wins saw over 2.5 goals and I fancy that to become 14 after tonight. Verona’s form as the loser in this market is quite good as well although they won’t be a pushover for the home side tonight. Verona have lost 13 times this season though, with 9 of those games seeing BTTS which in itself is a pretty good stat. When you also consider that they have scored in 9 out of their last 12 on the road (scoring 15 in those 9 games), it is obvious that BTTS has a very good chance here and the market has occurred in 4 of Verona’s last 5 away games. The only teams they couldn’t score against on the road in those 12 games were the divisions top 2 sides (Juventus and Lazio) and Empoli so the chances of them scoring against a leaky Fiorentina are quite high. The last 3 fixtures between these 2 sides finished 2.1, 4.3, and 5.3 in favour of Fiorentina and I like the chances of a repeat tonight as well as Fiorentina to win and over 2.5 goals. BTTS is a reasonable 8/11 but I fancy taking a chance on Fiorentina to win and BTTS @7/4 with stats, history and current form backing it up and also on the home win with over 2.5 goals @21/20. Bo's Sexy Single Total Staked - 2.5 Points Potential Returns = 6.8 Points Fiorentina to win and BTTS @7/4 Comments are closed.
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