I'm much more excited about Sunday's football both in Europe and the UK but we have a few good fixtures across Europe today and I've picked out five of them for my analysis. There are two fixtures from the Bundesliga, two in the Dutch Eredivisie and one from Serie A that have caught my attention with goals once again the sole focus. Here are my "Key Facts" and "Suggested Bets" - All of my "Best Bets" and "Pocket Change Bets" will be posted tomorrow morning. Bundesliga
14:30 Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart - Prediction - 4.2 - Suggested Bets - Over 3.5 goals @6/5, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6, Bayer to score 2 or more @1/2 Bo's Key Facts * Stuttgart have seen BTTS in 8 successive away Bundesliga fixtures. * Indeed all 9 of Stuttgart's most recent away fixtures have seen more than 2.5 goals * Stuttgart have seen 15 of their last 18 Bundesliga fixtures producing BTTS * 12 of their last 15 games on the road have also produced BTTS * Stuttgart have scored in 13 of their last 15 away league games and 12 goals in their last 6 on the road * Stuttgart have conceded 2 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 away league fixtures and in 7 out of 9 fixtures in the Bundesliga this season * Leverkusen were the last team to keep a clean sheet against a visiting Stuttgart side when they won 4.0 in March * Since that defeat, Stuttgart have scored in their next 8 away league fixtures, scoring 14 in the process * Leverkusen have won only 3 of their last 10 fixtures * Only 2 of Leverkusen's last 9 home league fixtures have seen BTTS * Leverkusen played out a remarkable 4.4 draw with Roma on Tuesday evening in the Champions League having lead 2.0 and then trailed 4.2 * 8 of the last 11 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS including 4 of the last 5 at Leverkusen's Bay Arena * Bayer have scored 2 or more in each of their last 9 home fixtures with Stuttgart since 2007 Bo's Final Verdict - Lots of goals in a likely home win I think we might see a real cracker here and I'm going a little bolder with over 3.5 goals @6/5 as I expect the home side to score at least 2 while Stuttgart are more than capable of scoring on the road with 12 in their last 6. When you also factor in Leverkusen's crazy 4.4 draw with Roma on Tuesday, it's possible there are some defensive issues that Stuttgart can exploit but given their own fantastic BTTS record and conceding at least 2 on the road, I'm trying all of the highlighted selections with a fair degree of confidence. ________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Darmstadt vs Wolfsburg - Prediction - 2.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @5/6, Darmstadt not to lose @11/10 Bo's Key Facts * Newly promoted Darmstadt have scored 2 goals in each of their last 4 Bundesliga fixtures and in 5 out of 9 overall * Darmstadt have only lost 2 out of 9 (Bayern and Mainz) in this their first campaign in the Bundesliga in 33 years * Darmststadt have only lost 2 of their last 17 home league fixtures although they did lose to Mainz in their last home outing * Wolfsburg have not won in their last 5 away league fixtures and have only won 2 of their last 10 away Bundesliga fixtures * Wolfsburg have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 6 away Bundesliga fixtures * Wolfsburg have kept only 4 clean sheets in their last 40 away Bundesliga fixtures * Wolfsburg beat PSV 2.0 in midweek Champions League action Bo's Final Verdict - BTTS big @5/6 I like the chances of BTTS here but I also have a sneaky feeling the hosts might get a positive result against a side that have really struggled on the road of late and almost always concede on their travels (4 clean sheets in 40 away BL fixtures) You can back the hosts not to lose @11/10 and that's a pretty good price considering Wolfsburg's current run of away form. ________________________________________________________________________________________ Serie A 19:45 Palermo vs Inter - Prediction 1.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @4/5 Bo's Key Facts * Palermo have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 home fixtures * 10 of their last 14 at home have also produced BTTS (69%) and 9 of those also went over 2.5 goals * Palermo have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 8 home fixtures in Serie A and in 11 out of 17 going back 10 months. * Palermo have scored in 17 of their last 20 home Serie A fixtures * Palermo have taken 10 points from 8 fixtures so far this season (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) * Palermo have lost 6 of their last 10 home league fixtures * Inter have won 5 of their last 7 away league fixtures * Inter have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 away league fixtures. 4 of those 6 also went over 2.5 goals * Inter have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 fixtures so far this season * Last season's corresponding fixture finished 1.1 * 9 of the last 12 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * Inter have won only 1 of the last 5 meetings in Palermo * Inter have only kept 2 clean sheets in theri last 12 away fixtures in Serie A Bo's Final Verdict - BTTS has every chance here Palermo have a great record of scoring at home and I like their chances of scoring here even if Inter have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 league fixtures this season. The Milan side usually have a tough time in Sicily and while they should do enough to get the win, I like the chances of BTTS @4/5. ________________________________________________________________________________________ Eredivisie 18:45 De Graafschap vs Heracles - Prediction - 1.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @8/15, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Bo's Key Facts * Heracles sit 4th with 18 points having won 6 in 9 with 3 defeats * De Graafschap are bottom having lost their first 6 but they have managed 2 draws in their last 3 to give them 2 points after 8 games. * Heracles have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 8 away league fixtures * De Graafschap have seen BTTS in each of their last 3 home league fixtures and in 4 of their most recent 5 fixtures in the league * Heracles have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 27 away league fixtures * De Graafschap have conceded 2 or more in 7 out of 9 league fixtures this season * Heracles have won 5 of their last 8 away league fixtures * Heracles have not drawn an away league fixture since February 2014, 25 fixtures ago * Heracles have only drawn 5 of their last 52 league fixtures since 2013 * 10 of Heracles last 13 away wins since 2013 also saw BTTS Bo's Final Verdict Heracles should have enough to win here but I expect BTTS with the home side showing small signs of improvement lately with 2 draws in their last 3. Today's hosts conceded 16 in their first 6 league fixtures but only 5 in the next 3 and with BTTS in 4 of their last 6 and 3 of their last 3 at home, I feel they can breach a Heracles defence that does concede more often than not. The visitors have not drawn an away fixture in a long time and I fancy this will be another of their BTTS and away wins which they have achieved in 10 of their last 13 away wins. BTTS is short @8/15 but I like the overs market as well so the combo @5/6 is fine while Heracles to score 2 or more @8/11 has a good chance with De Graafschapp concedinng plenty since their promotion to the Eredivisie this summer. An away win seems likely and I might try this on my BTTS and win coupon for Heracles @12/5 ________________________________________________________________________________________ 18:45 Twente vs PSV Eindhoven - Prediction 2.2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @4/7, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Bo's Key Facts * Twente have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 10 Eredivisie fixtures * 6 of the last 9 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS but not in the last two * PSV won 5.0 in last season's corresponding fixture held in April of this year * PSV have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 away league fixtures. Going back even further the record is 17 of their last 23 on the road seeing BTTS * PSV were beaten 2.0 by Wolfsburg on Wednesday, increasing the possibility of the "European hangover" effect. * PSV have scored 2 or more in 10 of their last 13 away league fixtures * PSV have scored 2 or more in each of their last 4 meetings with Twente * PSV have seen 10 of their last 11 away league fixtures go over 2.5 goals * Twente have seen 5 of their last 7 home league fixtures go over 2.5 goals * PSV have scored in 26 of their last 28 away league fixtures, scoring 2 or more in 2o of those fixtures * PSV have only won 2 of their last 7 away fixtures in all competitions, losing 3 of the last 4 * Twente have scored in 34 of their last 37 home league fixtures * Twente have lost only 1 of their last 5 in the league having lost 3 of their first 4 Bo's Final Verdict - Goals very likely in Enschede I fancy the hosts to put PSV under some pressure here with the visitors likely to feel the effects of a tough 2.0 loss at Wolfsburg on Wednesday. Both sides have fantastic records of scoring at home and away respectively so BTTS @4/7 looks very likely while I expect this one to go over 2.5 goals so I'll try that as a combination @5/6 ________________________________________________________________________________________ Euro Suggested Bets Twente vs PSV - BTTS @4/7 De Graafschapp vs Heracles - BTTS @ 8/15 Twente vs PSV - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 5/6 De Graafschapp vs Heracles - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Palermo vs Inter - BTTS @8/11 Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart - Over 3.5 goals @6/5 Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart - Bayer to score 2 or more @1/2 Darmstadt vs Wolfsburg - BTTS @5/6 Darmstadt vs Wolfsburg - Darmstadt not to lose @11/10 Comments are closed.
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