I've picked out three Bundesliga fixtures on Saturday where I like the look of goals and this is what I've come up with following my detailed statistical analysis. Read more... 14:30 Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim - Prediction - 2.1 Suggested Bets -BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6, Wolfsburg to score 2 or more @8/15 Key Facts * Wolfsburg have won 16 of their last 20 home league fixtures. They are unbeaten in 26 home league fixtures going back 18 months. * Wolfsburg have scored 2 or more in 20 of their last 25 home Bundeliga fixtures inclyding 11 of their last 13 * Wolfsburg have won by more than 1 goal in 7 of their last 9 victories in the Bundesliga * Wolfsburg have seen BTTS in 10 of their last 14 home league fixtures * Wolfsburg are in poor form, without a win in 4 in all competitions, losing 3 and drawing 1 * Wolfsburg sit 9th in the table with just 1 win in 5 Bundesliga fixtures * However Wolfsburg have scored in each of their last 34 home Bundesliga fixtures since October 2013 * 10 of Wolfsburg's last 13 home Bundesliga fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals * Hoffenheim have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga fixtures and in each of the last 5 * Hoffenheim have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 8 away Bundesliga fixtures * Hoffenheim have won only 2 of their last 13 Bundesliga fixtures * Hoffenheim have just 1 clean sheet in their last 16 Bundesliga fixtures (at Darmstadt) * Hofffenheim have conceded 3 goals in 6 of their last 13 away fixtures * Hoffenheim have conceded at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 13 on the road including 4 of their last 6 * Hoffenheim won 3.1 at Augsburg in their last away league fixture, their only win in their 8 most recent Bundesligaa fixtures * 10 of the last 11 meetings between these two sides since 2010 have seen BTTS although last season's corresponding fixture finished 3.0 to Wolfsburg. * 14 of their 15 meetings since 2008 have gone over 2.5 goals. 12 of those 15 have seen BTTS Final Verdict - Over 2.5 goals and BTTS very possible here Historically this fixture always delivers in terms of goals and Hoffenheim are still good at scoring on the road while Wolfsburg need to get back to winning ways following a sticky spell and they should be confident of doing it against a side that have lost 4 of their last 6 on the road. Still, Wolfsburg don't keep many clean sheets at home and they haven't been at their best so far this season, particularly in defence and given the history between these two sides in terms of goals, I can't ignore the 5/6 on BTTS and over 2.5 goals as well as Wolfsburg to score 2 or more 8/15. 14:30 Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich - Prediction -0.4 - Suggested Bets - Bayern to score over 2.5 goals @8/11, Bayern -1 @ 8/15, Bayern -2 AH @ 1.95, Lewandowski to score 2 or more @6/4 Key Facts * Bayern Munich have won all 11 fixtures in the league and Champions League so far this season scoring 41 goals in the process * Bayern have scored 3 goals in each of their last 3 away fixtures * Bayern have scored 3 goals or more in 8 of their last 9 fixtures * Bayern have beaten Werder Bremen 11 times in succession. In the last 6 meetings, Bayern have scored a whopping 28 goals * Bayern won last season's corresponding fixture 4.0 with Robert Lewandwoski scoring twice. 2 years ago it was 7.0 to Bayern * Bayern have scored 26 goals in their last 6 fixtures in the Bundesliga and CL, winning all 6 games by 3 goals or more * Robert Lewandowski has scored 15 goals in his last 6 matches for club and country and 21 from 13 fixtures this season * "Lewy" has scored 2 or more in each of his last 4 Bayern appearances * Werder Bremen have lost their last 4 Bundesliga fixtures * Werder Bremen have lost 3 out of 4 home league fixtures this season with two 3.0 losses to Schalke and Leverkusen respectively Final Verdict - How many for Bayern and Lewandowski? Bayern will score 3 or more and Scottish friend Robert "Lewy" Lewandowski can easily make it 17 from 7 games with the Pole 6/4 to score 2 or more or a Leo Messi like short price of 4/11 anytime. The Pole has scored in 11 out of 13 fixtures so far this season and barring injury, he will surely do it again here. Recent history and current form is not on Werder's side and they will do well to prevent a real hammering from a rampant Bayern who are really strutting their stuff now and with Lewandowski in such blistering form, it's hard to see how this won't be another spanking for Werder who have conceded 28 in their last 6 defeats against Bayern. Indeed Werder have lost 11 in a row to their opponents today and their form coming into this one is certainly poor so I'm very comfortable backing Bayern -1 to win @8/15 and Bayern to score 3 or more @5/6 but you could easily try Bayern -2 @13/10, or on the Asian line @1.95 while the 2/1 on Bayern to score 4 or more is tempting considering they have done it in their last two visits to Bremen. This is definitely one of my go to games today in terms of goals as Bayern look absolutely nailed on to give Werder their bi-annual hammering. 17:30 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia M.Gladbach - Prediction - 2..2 - Suggested Bets - BTTS @8/13 Key Facts * Frankurt have won 6 of their last 10 home Bundesliga fixtures * Frankfurt are unbeaten in 14 home Bundesliga fixtures * However 6 of their last 12 at home have finished level * 10 of their last 13 home fixtures have seen BTTS and 6 of their 8 most recent league fixtures * Frankfurt have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 8 league fixtures and only 4 in 19 going back 1 year * Frankfurt have seen BTTS in each of their last 5 home Bundesliga fixtures * Moenchengladbach have won 3 in a row in the league having lost their first 5 * Moenchengladbach have scored in 11 of their last 15 away league fixtures * Moenchengladbach have scored 10 in their last 4 fixtures in the league and in Europe Final Verdict - BTTS @8/13 looks likely Moenchengladbach are coming back into form but Frankfurt are tough to beat at home and this is a close looking contest with both sides dangerous going forward and I fancy goals here while a share of the spoils wouldn't be the biggest surprise. Bundesliga Suggested Bets Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia M.Gladbach - BTTS @8/13 Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich - Bayern to score over 2.5 goals @8/11, Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich - Bayern -1 @ 8/15 Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich - Bayern -2 AH @ 1.95 Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich - Robert Lewandowski to score 2 or more @6/4 Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg to score 2 or more @8/15 Comments are closed.
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