It's another busy day across Europe and I've covered 5 of the games on offer with the Bundesliga once again the source of my focus. Don't forget, I will make a 3rd and final post detailing my final selections on Saturday morning. #BOlieve Bundesliga
14:30 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen - Prediction 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS @4/7, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 Key Facts * Frankfurt have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of their last 9 home league fixtures, including each of their last 4 * 13 goals were scored in those 4 most recent home fixtures * Frankfurt have seen BTTS in each of their last 7 league fixtures. 5 of those also went over 2.5 goals * Frankfurt are unbeaten in their last 6 league fixtures, winning 3 and drawing 3 * Frankfurt have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 13 home league fixtures * Leverkusen have seen BTTS in 15 of their last 17 league fixtures * Leverkusen have seen BTTS in each of their last 9 away league fixtures. 6 of those games also went over 2.5 goals * Leverkusen have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 25 away league fixtures * Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last 7 league fixtures, winning 3 and drawing 4 * 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides saw BTTS * Each of the last 3 meetings in Frankfurt saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored Final Verdict Goals look highly likely here and the BTTS price of 4/7 does reflect that but I'm still happy to take it with all of the stats above suggesting that BTTS has every chance of landing in this mid-table Bundesliga clash. Both sides are in good form, so I expect an entertaining back and forth contest that is also likely to go over 2.5 goals with Leverkusen so prominent in these markets in the last 6 months. With both sides drawing a fair share of their recent fixtures, and given their proximity in the table, a high scoring draw is my tip here although given that only 1 of their last 14 meetings has finished level, I won't be adding the draw to my final selections. Extra confidence in our goal picks can be taken from the last 3 meetings between these sides in Frankfurt which have produced BTTS and over 2.5 goals in all 3 contests and with Leverkusen so hot in these markets, and Frankfurt doing well at home, these are two of my more confident selections of the day. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 Augsburg vs Wolfsburg - Prediction 1.1 Best Bets - BTTS @4/5, Draw @11/5 Key Facts * Augsburg have seen BTTS in 4 of their 6 home league fixtures this season. * Going back further, Augsburg have seen BTTS in 11 of their last 14 home league fixtures since February * Augsburg have scored in each of their last 14 home league fixtures * Augsburg have won only 1 of their last 7 league fixtures * Augsburg have seen BTTS in 4 of their 6 most recent league fixtures * Wolfsburg have seen BTTS in each of their last 8 league fixtures * Wolfsburg have seen BTTS in each of their last 3 away league fixtures * Wolfsburg have drawn 7 of their last 8 league fixtures including their last 3 away fixtures * Wolfsburg have scored in 10 of their last 12 away league fixtures * These two sides are separated by only 2 points in the league table Final Verdict I don't expect a goal-fest here but recent form suggests both can score @4/5 while a share of the spoils seems the likeliest outcome with Wolfsburg developing a liking for draws with 7 in their last 8, including 3 in a row on the road, and Augsburg drawing 4 of their 12 fixtures so far this campaign. Augsburg have slipped in recent weeks following a bright start to the season but they have scored in 14 successive home league fixtures while Wolfsburg have improved lately, drawing their last 3 on the road with BTTS in all 3. I expect the same here. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ 14:30 RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Werder Bremen - Prediction 2.1 Best Bets - BTTS @4/7. BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Key Facts * RBL have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their 5 home league fixtures this season * RBL have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 15 fixtures (all competitions) * RBL have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 fixtures (all competitions) * RBL have scored 2 goals or more in 5 of their last 6 home league fixtures and in 15 of their last 20 since September 2016 * Bremen have seen BTTS in 12 of their last 16 away league fixtures * Bremen have scored in 19 of their last 22 away league fixtures * Bremen scored in 16 of their 17 away fixtures last season, scoring 33 goals in the process. * Bremen bounced back to form in their last league outing, a 4.0 home thrashing of Hannover * RBL won 3.1 in last seasons corresponding fixture between these two sides Final Verdict RBL are odds-on @1/2 to collect the 3 points but Bremen can make an issue of that and I fancy goals here with BTTS and over 2.5 goals on the cards. Given the hosts form, you would expect them to get 2 or more goals, having done so in 75% of all home league fixtures over the past year (although they did fail on the 2 occasions when I backed them to do just that!!) while they will be full of confidence following their crushing 4.1 win over Monaco on Tuesday which keeps alive their chances of an appearance in the last 16 of the Champions League, in this, their debut season in the competition. Bremen, on the other hand, have struggled for goals this season but the return to form and fitness of the talismanic Maz Kruse, who bagged a hat-trick last weekend, gives me the confidence that Bremen can return to their goal-scoring ways on the road which saw them score in 16 out of 17 away fixtures last season. Indeed, with RBL not keeping many clean sheets this season and Bremen scoring 4 last weekend, and having the extra days to prepare, I fancy the visitors can score and give as an entertaining contest with goals likely at both ends. BTTS is the call @4/7 while I expect the hosts should do enough to score 2 or more and that makes the BTTS and over 2.5 goals double my second selection from Leipzig. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ La Liga 17:00 Real Betis vs Girona - Prediction 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS @4/7, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @10/11 Key Facts * Betis have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 6 home league fixtures * Betis have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 8 home league fixtures. 5 of those also went over 2.5 goals including 4 out of 6 so far this season * 32 goals were scored in those 8 most recent home league fixtures * Betis have won only 1 of their last 6 league fixtures, conceding a whopping 18 goals in the process * Betis suffered a heavy 5.0 loss away to Eibar in their most recent league fixture * Betis have only failed to score in 3 of their last 20 home league fixtures while they have scored in each of their last 9 at home * Girona have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 3 away league fixtures * Girona have collected 10 points from their last 4 league fixtures * Girona have only lost 1 of their first 5 ever away La Liga fixtures * Girona have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 3 away league fixtures * Girona have seen BTTS in each of their last 6 league fixtures Final Verdict Catalunya's second biggest club has made a wonderful start to life in La Liga and they will be hopeful of collecting at least a point as they travel to Betis in a fixture that could well produce that most cherished of outcome; Goals Man City light, or Girona as they are known to the locals, have made a truly remarkable start to their debut season in La Liga having already beaten Real Madrid on their way to an unlikely league position of 11th after 12 games played and they can aim for more points here against a Betis side that have been leaking goals lately with 18 conceded in their last 6. However, with Betis also scoring 2 goals or more in each of their last 6 at home, and Girona keeping only 2 clean sheets so far this season, goals should be expected at both ends and the bookies see it that way as well, pricing BTTS @4/7. Short but fair considering the recent form of both sides. Girona have collected 10 points from their last 4, and I fancy them to come away with another point here with both sides likely to find their way to goal at some stage during the proceedings. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Serie A 19:45 Cagliari vs Inter - Prediction 1.2 Best Bets - BTTS @7/10, Inter to score 2 or more @8/13 Key Facts * Inter have scored 2 goals or more in 8 of their last 12 AWAY league fixtures including 5 of the last 7 * Inter have scored 2 goals or more in 11 of their 15 most recent league fixtures * Inter remain unbeaten in Serie A with 10 wins and 3 draws so far this season * Inter have won 5 of their last 7 away league fixtures * Inter have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 12 away league fixtures with only 2 clean sheets in those fixtures * Inter have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 away games including 3 of their last 4 against Benevento, Bologna and Verona * Cagliari have scored 2 goals in each of their last 3 home league fixtures * Cagliari have won 7 of their last 10 home league fixtures * Cagliari have scored in 10 of their last 12 home league fixtures * Cagliari have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 3 home league fixtures * Inter have scored 11 goals in their last 4 meetings with Cagliari * Inter scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 4 meetings with Cagliari and on their last 3 trips to Sardinia * 9 of the last 11 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * 4 of the last 5 meetings at Cagliari saw BTTS * Cagliari have only failed to score in 2 of their last 13 home league fixtures with Inter * Cagliari are unbeaten in their last 4 away Serie A fixtures at Inter. They have however lost their last 2 at home to the Milanese giants * Inter have won 5.1 and 2.1 on their last 2 trips to Cagliari Final Verdict Inter have been in tremendous form this season and they will expect another 3 points when they travel to Sardinia to face a Cagliari side that has given them problems in recent years, especially though at the San Siro which, unfortunately for Cagliari, is not the loaction of Saturday night's live Sky Calcio match-up. BTTS is a common feature of these two sides recent contests while Inter usually manages to score at least 2 goals so those are my two picks here with Inter performing well on the road but still prone to conceding against supposedly weaker opponents. Indeed Inter have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 12 on the road and with Cagliari finding their shooting boots recently at home, I fancy this contest will see BTTS @7/10 with Inter scoring 2 or more @8/13. BTTS and over 2.5 goals is priced @6/5 and is certainly worth a look as well. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Best Bets Frankfurt vs Leverkusen - BTTS @4/7 - NAP RBL vs Werder Bremen - BTTS @4/7 Augsburg vs Wolfsburg - BTTS @4/5 Betis vs Girona - BTTS @47 Cagliari vs Inter - Inter to score 2 or more @8/13 Cagliari vs Inter - BTTS @7/10 Over 2.5 and YES Frankfurt vs Leverkusen - 20/21 - NB RBL vs Werder - 5/6 Betis vs Girona - 10/11 Comments are closed.
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