16:30 Southampton vs Liverpool - Prediction 1.2
Current Form * Saints have seen BTTS in each of their last 7 home league matches * Saints have seen BTTS in 12 of their last 14 PL matches * Saints have scored at least 1 goal in 9 of their last 10 home league matches * Saints won their last PL fixture, 3.2 at WBA. That was their first win in 13 PL matches * Saints are unbeaten in their last 6 matches in all competitions (3 wins, 3 draws) * However, Saints have won only 3 of their last 19 home PL matches and none of their last 6 * Liverpool have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 8 matches (all competitions) * Liverpool have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 11 away PL matches. 6 of those also went over 2.5 goals * There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Liverpool's last 9 away PL games * Liverpool have scored 2 goals or more in 7 of their last 8 away PL matches * Liverpool actually scored 3 goals or more in 6 of those 8 matches * Liverpool have scored 24 goals in those 8 matches * Liverpool also managed to win 6 of those 8 matches, drawing 1 and losing 1 * Liverpool have scored 2 goals or more in 8 of their last 9 PL matches * Liverpool have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 13 away PL matches * Liverpool sit 3rd on 51 points. Saints are 15th with 26 points Past Meetings * None of the last 5 meetings have seen BTTS * Only 5 goals were scored in those 5 matches * Liverpool have failed to win on their last 3 visits to St Mary's * Saints have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides. Liverpool managed just 1 win. Final Verdict Liverpool have a pretty poor recent record against Southampton but you would still expect them to get the job done on Sunday with the home side really struggling for form this season and especially in front of their own fans with no wins in their last 6 at St Mary's. Still, things have improved recently for Southampton, going 6 unbeaten in all competitions and they should put up a good fight against a Liverpool side that are always good for a goal, scoring 3 or more in 6 of their last 8 on their travels. Recent meetings have been low scoring, with Saints certainly holding the edge having lost only 1 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides but you would still fancy Liverpool to be too strong considering their excellent recent form. Liverpool to score 2 or more @4/6 is my best bet here in a fixture that seems likely to see BTTS with Saints netting in 9 of their last 10 at home. Indeed, Southampton have been regulars in the BTTS market recently with 12 of their last 14 PL matches finishing with that outcome. Given that Liverpool have only kept 3 away clean sheets in their last 13 away PL matches, BTTS looks good @4/6. Southampton will certainly have been lifted by their last fixture, a come from behind away win at WBA, their first victory in 13 PL matches and I expect them to push Liverpool all the way, especially given their recent performances against the Reds but ultimately, I expect the visitors to have the edge and score 2 or more @4/6 with BTTS also appearing @4/6. Best Bets Liverpool to score 2 or more @4/6 - 3.5 stars BTTS @4/6 - 3 stars BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 - 2.5 stars 14:00 Sampdoria vs Verona - Prediction 2.1 Current Form * Verona have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 9 away league matches * Verona scored 2 goals or more in 5 of their last 9 away league matches * Sampdoria have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 9 home league matches * Going back further, Samp have seen BTTS in 15 of their last 20 home league matches (75%) * Samp have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 21 home league matches * Verona won 4.1 at Fiorentina in their last away fixture * Verona have taken more points and scored more goals in away matches than home matches this season (7 points at home, 9 points away. 9 goals at home, 13 goals away) Final Verdict Not the safest of the BTTS picks this weekend but recent form suggests a home win is likely @9/20 but Verona will travel with renewed confidence following their shock 4.1 win at Fiorentina in their last away outing. The hosts are in good form though but have only managed 3 clean sheets on their own patch this season while Verona do their best work when playing away from Venice. Something to do with the water? In any case, Samp should be too strong but BTTS @4/5 is decent value and that's my selection from this mid-afternoon kick-off from Genoa. Best Bets BTTS @8/13- 2.5 Stars 14:00 Torino vs Udinese - Prediction 2.2 Current Form * Torino have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 10 home league matches * Udinese have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 11 away league matches * Both sides have 33 points and a plus 4 GD * Udinese have won 5 and drawn 1 of their last 7 AWAY league matches * Torino have lost only 3 of their last 22 home league matches * Torino are unbeaten in their last 6 league matches * Torino have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 home league matches Past Meetings * 5 of the last 6 meetings saw BTTS and over 3.5 goals scored * 2 of the last 4 meetings finished as 2.2 draws Final Verdict This fixture has proved to be very entertaining over the last 3 years with 25 goals scored in the last 6 meetings between these two sides. Both sides have improved their form following managerial changes and current form suggests a draw has every chance with Udinese doing really well on the road lately, winning 5 of their last 7 and Torino losing only 3 of their last 22 at home. With both sides locked together on 32 points, it's clear we have two evenly matched sides and I expect another decent contest with BTTS @4/6 the main selection here. Best Bets BTTS @4/5 - 3 stars Draw @13/5 - 1.5 stars 20:00 Lyon vs Rennes - Prediction 3.1 Current Form * Rennese have seen BTTS in 10 of their last 12 away league matches including each of the last 6 * 8 of those 10 also went over 2.5 goals including 5 of the last 6 * Rennese have scored at least 1 goal in 13 of their last 15 away league matches * Rennes have lost 7 of their last 9 matches * Lyon have won 6 of their last 9 matches * Lyon have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 5 matches (all comps) * Lyon have seen BTTS in 12 of their last 15 matches * Lyon have seen BTTS in 11 of their last 15 home matches. 10 of those 11 also went over 2.5 goals * Lyon have conceded 9 goals in their last 4 matches (all competitions) Past Meetings * 4 of the last 5 meetings have seen BTTS. 3 of those went over 2.5 goals Final Verdict A home win with goals at both ends seems the likeliest outcome here with both sides seeing plenty of BTTS matches in recent weeks and months. Best Bets BTTS @4/6 - 3 stars BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 - 2.5 stars Lyon to win and over 2.5 goals scored @21/20 - 2.5 stars Lyon to win and BTTS @15/8 - 1.5 stars 17:00 Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg - Prediction 0.0 Final Verdict A drab draw looks a distinct possibility given recent form for Werder at Home and Wolfsburg away. I think this one should finish level and it wouldn't surprise me if a goalless draw was on the cards. Best Bets - Draw @12/5 Comments are closed.
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