5 games covered from Saturday's action as my old favourites Werder Bremen make another appearance while there is a big game from Anfield with Spurs the visitors against a badly out of form Liverpool side. Here are my Key Facts and Best Bets for your Saturday. #BOlieve 14:30 Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Gladbach
Prediction – 1.2 Best Bets – BTTS @8/15, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @10/11 Key Facts * Werder have seen BTTS in a remarkable 21 of their last 22 home league fixtures * 17 of those 21 games also saw over 2.5 goals scored * Werder scored in all 22 of those games with their sole clean-sheet coming at home to Frankfurt 7 months ago * Werder have seen BTTS in 17 of their last 18 league games (home and away) * 15 of those 17 games also saw over 2.5 goals scored * Exactly 3 goals have been scored in 8 of Werder's last 10 home league fixtures. * Monchengladbach are not specialists in the BTTS market, only 2 of their last 5 on the road have seen BTTS. Both of this matches did go over 2.5 goals as well * Before the winter break, Monchengladbach had won picked up just 5 points from their previous 11 games. However, they have picked up 7 points from 3 games following the break. * Monchengladbach have scored 6 goals and picked up 6 points from their 2 most recent league fixtures. They only scored 5 goals and picked up 6 points from their previous 10! * Each of the last 4 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals. 21 goals were scored in those matches! * Going back further, 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals. 33 goals were scored in those 7 matches. * Going back EVEN further, 9 of the last 10 meetings have seen BTTS. 7 of those 9 also went over 2.5 goals. 42 goals were scored in those 10 matches * Indeed, only 2 of the last 15 meetings did NOT see BTTS * None of those 7 games were drawn with Monchengladbach winning 4 and Bremen 3 Final Verdict When does the Bremen BTTS gravy train come to a halt? I can’t stop backing them, I won’t stop backing them! Every weekend, without fail, Bremen deliver the goods and I am pretty annoyed that I didn’t make them my NAP or NB last Sunday as they achieved yet another BTTS and over 2.5 goal performance in their 3.2 loss at Augsburg. BTTS is short @8/15 but I don’t expect the run to stop here with Monchengladbach improving considerably in their last 2 league outings following the winter break. Remember, this is a team that finished in the top 4 last season and if they can regain some of that form, they should continue to rise up the table during the 2nd half of the season. I expect goals of course, with the visitors probably the likelier to edge the win, certainly on current form with Bremen now losing each of their last 3 and winning only 2 of their last 12. Although the visitors have been awful on the road this season, their last 2 performances suggest an improvement in the side has been achieved during the winter-break and given the home-sides generosity in defence, I can’t avoid BTTS and over 2.5 goals here @10/11 with the short price of 8/15 for BTTS still worth taking for BTTS specialists Bremen. 14:30 RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction – 3.1 Best Bets – Red Bull to score 2 or more @4/7, Red Bull to win and BTTS @9/4, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/4 Key Facts * RBL have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 7 (SEVEN) home league fixtures * RBL have won all 7 of those matches * RBL have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 home league wins (Red Bull to win and BTTS @3/1) * Hamburg have conceded 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 10 away league games, including 4 of the last 6 * Hamburg have lost 7 of their last 10 away Bundesliga fixtures * Hamburg have improved lately, taking 14 points in their last 9 league fixtures. They had picked up only 2 in the previous 10! * Hamburg have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 5 away league fixtures Final Verdict RBL have lost their last 3 away league fixtures but a return to familiar surroundings should see them take the points with a couple of goals likely as they welcome a struggling Hamburg to Leipzig. Leipzig have been tremendous in front of their own support and I expect that to continue as they welcome Hamburg to town in what should prove to be a decent game where I expect a home with at least a couple of goals scored. BTTS is quite possible, given the improvements made by Hamburg and the recent form of RBL but my main pick is the hosts to score 2 or more @4/7 odds. 17:30 Liverpool vs Tottenham Prediction – 1.2 Best Bets – BTTS @7/10, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @6/5, Spurs not to lose @3/4 Key Facts * Liverpool have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 8 home league fixtures including 4 of their last 5 * 5 of those 6 BTTS matches also went over 2.5 goals * Liverpool have scored in 17 of their last 18 home league fixtures, scoring 48 goals in the process * Liverpool have won only 1 of their last 10 matches. They had won 7 of the previous 10. * Liverpool’s form is getting worse with 4 defeats in their last 5 matches * Liverpool have failed to win ANY of their last 5 home fixtures in all competitions, with 3 defeats and 2 draws. They had won 9 of their first 11 matches at home this season, remaining unbeaten during that period. * Spurs are unbeaten in their last 9 PL fixtures, winning 7 and scoring 22 goals in the process. * That run included a tremendous win over Chelsea, as well as a somewhat lucky point at Man City. * However they have only won 2 of their last 9 away PL fixtures * Spurs have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 9 away fixtures and in 5 of their last 7 away PL fixtures * Spurs have kept just 1 clean-sheet in their last 10 away fixtures in all competitions * 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * Each of the last 3 meetings at Anfield between these two sides have seen BTTS Final Verdict Spurs don’t have the best of records at Anfield but I expect that to change here as Liverpool, in the midst of a dreadful run, look to win their first home match in 6 attempts against an in-form Tottenham team that are up to 2nd in the league following a 9 match unbeaten run of their own. Liverpool look a pale imitation of the side that was tearing the league up back in Autumn and with only 1 win in 10, you have to fancy Spurs to emerge with a point or better at generous odds of 3/4, especially when you consider just how poor Liverpool have been lately. Spurs have struggled at times on their travels, and they have not found their best form in recent wins over Middlesbrough and Wycombe but they seem the fresher outfit, and I expect them to avoid defeat here in what should be a decent game with plenty of chances at both ends. Liverpool almost always score at home and the chances of BTTS look pretty good to me @7/10 and that, along with Spurs not to lose are my stand out bets here. Goals should come, and we may well go over 2.5 goals so the double with BTTS @5/4 is worth a punt as well. Best of The Rest 14:30 Ingolstadt vs Bayern Munich Prediction 1.2 Best Bets – BTTS @1/1 Key Facts * Bayern have kept only 1 clean-sheet in their last 10 away fixtures (all competitions) and only 1 in their last 7 away league fixtures * Bayern have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 away league fixtures * Ingolstadt have scored in 15 of their last 18 home league fixtures * Ingolstadt have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 home league fixtures * Ingolstadt have won 2 of their last 3 at home. First, a fine 1.0 win over Leipzig followed by a 3.1 triumph over Hamburg * Ingolstadt are definitely improving as the season goes on with 13 points taken from their last 9 games. They had taken just 2 from the first 10 * Bayern won 2.1 in last season’s corresponding fixture Final Verdict BTTS is worth a shot here at a tasty price here, perhaps on a small stakes acca. Bayern are still leaky in defence while the hosts have certainly improved following a dismal start to the season. 17:30 Athletic Club vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction – 2.1 Best Bets – BTTS @19/20 Key Facts * Bilbao have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 home league fixtures. 7 of those games also went over 2.5 goals * Bilbao have kept only 4 clean-sheets in their last 22 home league fixtures since the start of 2016 including only 2 of the last 14! * Bilbao have seen BTTS in 11 of their last 13 home wins. (Bilbao to win and BTTS @11/4) * Bilbao have scored 2 goals or more in 9 of their last 13 home league fixtures * Deportivo have seen BTTS in each of their last 7 away league fixtures * Deportivo have seen BTTS in 10 of their last 12 La Liga matches. * Deportivo have only failed to score once in their last 14 league fixtures * Deportivo have conceded 21 goals in their last 7 away league fixtures * Deportivo have won only 1 of their last 23 away league fixtures. They managed 12 draws as well as 10 defeats during that period * 7 of the last 9 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS * 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two sides in Bilbao have seen BTTS * Deportivo have not failed to score in any of their last 9 visits to Bilbao while they have managed to score in 15 of their last 17 trips to Bilbao! Final Verdict Nice prices when you consider the goal-scoring form here and I’m taking a home win with BTTS a nice outside selection here. BTTS @19/20 looks like good value to me while I expect the hosts to score 2 goals or more @4/6 19:30 Fiorentina vs Udinese Prediction 2.1 Best Bets - Fiorentina to score 2 or more @4/6 Key Facts * Fiorentina have scored 2 goals or more in 11 of their last 12 home meetings with Udinese since 2004 * Fiorentina have won each of their last 9 home league matches with Udinese. They scored 2 or more in all 9 games *Fiorentina have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 5 home league fixtures * All 5 of those games saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals * 11 of Fiorentina's last 12 league fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals * Fiorentina have seen BTTS in each of their last 7 league fixtures ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Saturday Best Bets Bremen v Monchengladbach – BTTS and over 2.5 goals @10/11 - NAP RBL V Hamburg - Red Bull to score 2 or more @4/7 - NB Bremen v Monchengladbach – BTTS @8/15 RBL V Hamburg - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/4 Liverpool vs Tottenham – Liverpool vs Tottenham – BTTS @7/10 Liverpool vs Tottenham – Spurs not to lose @3/4 Fiorentina vs Udinese - Fiorentina to score 2 or more @4/6 Liverpool vs Tottenham – BTTS and over 2.5 goals @6/5 Bilbao vs Deportivo – BTTS @19/20 Ingolstadt vs Bayern - BTTS @1/1
Scott
11/2/2017 11:03:59 am
Ryan,will you post your super six predictions every week so I can put a cheeky pound on them.
Ryan
11/2/2017 02:31:18 pm
Sure thing mate
Scott
11/2/2017 02:55:05 pm
Thanks Ryan,put a pound on them hoping for a cash out offer. Fancy Sunderland at home as well ,Southampton minds are on the final. Comments are closed.
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