We have 3 games covered in great detail from the Bundesliga on Saturday including a 3rd vs 4th clash as Schalke travel to Moenchengladbach with goals expected while RBL look to get back to winning ways as they host Mainz. Dortmund will expect 3 points when Werder Bremen visit the Westfallennstadion on Saturday in a fixture that has so often produced lots of goals and drama. Here then are your 3 previews from the Bundesliga #BOIlieve Bundesliga
14:30 Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Prediction 3.2 Best Bets - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/6, Over 3.5 match goals @5/6 Current Form * Dortmund have seen BTTS in each of their last 9 league fixtures. 8 of those also went over 2.5 goals * Dortmund have seen over 3.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 7 home league fixtures * Dortmund have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of their last 11 home league fixtures * Dortmund have seen BTTS in 15 of their last 16 matches (all comps) * Dortmund have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 8 home league fixtures * A staggering 38 goals have been scored in Dortmund's last 7 home league fixtures. * Dortmund have scored 3 goals or more in 8 of their last 14 home league fixtures * Dortmund have scored 2 goals or more in 9 of their last 11 home league fixtures * Dortmund have conceded 10 goals in their last 3 home league fixtures * Dortmund have conceded 20 goals in their last 8 fixtures (all comps) * Dortmund have not won any of their last 7 league fixtures while they have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 9 * Werder have seen BTTS in 10 of their last 14 away league fixtures although only in 1 of their last 4 * Werder have taken 6 points from their last 3 league fixtures. They had only picked up 5 points from their previous 14 fixtures since April * Werder have scored in 19 of their last 23 away league fixtures although they have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 on the road Past Meetings * Each of the last 7 meetings between these two sides has seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored * 5 of the last 7 meetings have gone over 3.5 goals * Dortmund scored 3 goals or more in 5 of those 7 matches * Dortmund won 6 of those 7 matches with Werder's win coming back in 2014 * 32 goals were scored in those 7 matches. That's an average of 4.5 goals per match * The last 3 meetings in Dortmund between these two sides produced 17 goals with Dortmund winning 3.2, 3.2 and 4.3 in their most recent meeting in May Final Verdict Goals have to be expected here with a badly out of form Dortmund welcoming Bremen for a fixture that has produced so many goals in recent years. My only concern for these goal selections is the away form of Werder but they do have a great habit of scoring and losing to Dortmund and while their away form is not good this season, Dortmund seem to be in an extremely charitable mood defensively with a staggering 20 goals leaked in their last 8 matches. Dortmund's last 7 home league fixtures have averaged 5.4 goals so we have to be hopeful that we will see over 3.5 goals @5/6 odds and with the last 7 meetings between these two sides averaging 4.5 goals as well, goals seem nailed on for this one with Dortmund the likely winners having won 6 of the last 7 contests with Werder. I have to conclude that another Dortmund win with goals seems pretty likely here, even if Dortmund have failed to win any of their last 7 Bundesliga fixtures. Dortmund are certainly the embodiment of a Jekyll and Hyde team at the moment, but they still have the ability to score goals with 20 in 6 home games so far this season and I fancy they will score 3 or more @10/11, a feat they managed in 3 of their last 5 at home. BTTS and over 2.5 goals is priced @4/6 and considering ALL of those Dortmund stats, and the recent meetings, seems almost nailed on while over 3.5 match goals is shortish @5/6 but surely has every chance with all of those stats pointing us in the direction of goals, goals, and more goals. 14:30 RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Mainz - Prediction 2.1 Best Bets - BTTS @4/5 Current Form * RBL have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 home fixtures (all comps) * 6 of those 8 games also went over 2.5 goals * RBL have lost 2 games in a row this week, first a 4.0 hammering at Hoffenheim and then a 2.1 home loss to Besiktas * RBL have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 18 fixtures (all comps) * Mainz have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 8 league fixtures and in 3 of their last 4 away league fixtures * Mainz have won only 1 of their last 20 away league fixtures * Mainz have scored in 9 of their last 10 league fixtures Past Meetings * Both of their meetings last season saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals. RBL won 3.1 at home and 3.2 in Mainz Final Verdict RBL have had a rotten week and they will be happy to welcome Mainz to Leipzig with the visitors certainly not the strongest on the road with only 1 win in their last 20 away in the Bundesliga. Last weekend, RBL were smashed 4.0 at Hoffenheim and it didn't get much better on Wednesday as they crashed out of the Champions League following their home loss to Besikitas. While their league performances have certainly been affected by Champions League football, RBL remain 2nd in the table and will be confident of beating a side that struggle on their travels. Still, Mainz have been scoring of late and with RBL also floundering defensively, and having had such a poor week, BTTS has a good chance @4/5 odds with the visitors doing reasonably well in away fixtures and scoring in 9 of their last 10 league matches. 17:30 Borussia M.Gladbach vs Schalke 04 - Prediction 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS @8/13, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @21/20 Current Form * BMG have seen BTTS in each of their last 4 home league fixtures. 3 of those 4 also went over 2.5 goals * BMG have seen Over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 league fixtures. 6 of those also saw BTTS * BMG have scored in 17 of their last 19 home league fixtures * However, BMG have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 14 home league fixtures * Schalke have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5 league fixtures including their last 2 fixtures (4.4 @dortmund and 2.2 at home to Koln) * Schalke have scored 2 goals or more in 5 of their last 7 league fixtures while they have scored 8 goals in their last 3 league fixtures * Schalke are 1 point ahead of BMG in the league standings * Schalke have taken 12 points from their last 6 league fixtures. BMG have taken 10 * BMG's last 11 league fixtures have averaged 3.9 goals per game Past Meetings * Each of the last 5 meetings in Gladbach have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored with last season's corresponding fixture finishing 4.2 * Going back further, 8 of the last 9 meetings in Gladbach went over 2.5 goals with BTTS in 7 of those * 4 of the 5 most recent meetings went over 2.5 goals Final Verdict Historically this fixture has been good for BTTS and over 2.5 goals and recent form suggests we should see goals again here with both sides scoring and conceding in recent fixtures. BTTS is definitely the safest of the picks @8/13 while we could also see more than 2.5 goals with MGB seeing that outcome fairly frequently this season although it must be said, more often in away fixtures. I fancy this one to finish level and I'm calling it 2.2 but definitely with the emphasis on the BTTS selection as a 1.1 draw wouldn't surprise me here. Bundesliga Best Bets Dortmund vs Werder - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/6 - 4 stars Dortmund vs Werder - Over 3.5 match goals @5/6 - 3.5 stars Borussia M.Gladbach vs Schalke 04 - BTTS @8/13 - 3.5 stars Borussia M.Gladbach vs Schalke 04 = BTTS and over 2.5 goals @21/20 - 2 stars RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Mainz - BTTS @4/5 - 2 stars Comments are closed.
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