We have plenty of tasty matches from across Europe this weekend and it all gets underway with a humdinger from Naples this evening as champions Juventus visit league leaders Napoli in a fixture that promises goals and plenty of action. Elsewhere, I've picked out contests from Germany, Spain and Italy with the Leverkusen vs Dortmund fixture looking ripe for goals as well. Here then are the best of your Saturday previews as well as this evening's big Italian tie. Serie A
Friday 19:45 Napoli vs Juventus - Prediction 2.1 Best Bets - BTTS @7/10, Napoli to score 2 goals or more @1/1, Over 2.5 and yes @6/5 Key Facts * Napoli have scored 2 goals or more in 9 of their 10 home fixtures this season (all comps) * Napoli have won 28 of their last 34 league fixtures including a stunning 17 of their last 19 * Napoli are unbeaten in their last 26 league fixtures * Napoli have scored 27 goals in their last 9 home league fixtures * Napoli have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 8 home league fixtures including their 2 most recent home contests * Napoli have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of their last 9 home league fixtures * Juventus have conceded 2 goals or more in 6 of their last 9 away league fixtures including 3 of their last 4 * Juventus conceded 16 goals in those 9 away matches * Juventus had only conceded 12 in their previous 16 on the road * Juventus have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 away league fixtures * Juventus have scored 2 goals or more in 9 of their last 10 away league fixtures including each of the last 7 * 8 of the last 9 meetings between these two sides saw BTTS. 7 of those also saw over 2.5 goals scored (1 after extra-time) * Over the last 10 years, Napoli have scored 2 goals or more in 8 of their 11 home fixtures with Juventus * Napoli also managed to win 7 of those 11 contests * Juventus have only won 1 of their last 13 trips to Naples Final Verdict Napoli have a great chance of extending their lead at the top of the table as they welcome a Juventus side that seems to have lost the defensive stability that has made them champions for each of the last 6 seasons. Napoli are in sensational form and you would have to fancy them to score 2 or more @1/1 odds, a feat that have achieved with such regularity at home, and in recent home meetings with Juve. Both are likely to score if past meetings are anything to go by while Napoli will surely feel confident of claiming the spoils having won 17 of their last 19 in the league. I'm going for a home win with goals, but as this fixture falls on Friday evening, I'm not too sure I'll be including it in my best bets for the weekend. Bundesliga 14:30 Hoffenheim vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - Prediction 1.2 Best Bets - BTTS @1/2, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 Key Facts * Hoffenheim have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 home fixtures (all comps). 4 of those 6 also went over 2.5 goals * Hoffenheim have scored in 21 of their last 22 home league fixtures * Hoffenheim have won only 1 of their last 5 home league fixtures. They had won 9 of the previous 10 * Hoffenheim have only lost 1 of their last 24 home league fixtures * However, Hoff have only won 1 of their last 7 league fixtures, conceding 13 goals in the process * Hoffenheim have lost 4 of their last 7 fixtures in all competitions while they have only won 2 of their last 12 * Hoff have lost their 2 most recent matches, conceding 3 goals in both defeats (@Braga and @Hamburg) * RBL have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures (all comps) * RBL have scored 2 goals or more in 7 of their last 11 away league fixtures * RBL have scored 2 goals or more in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures (all comps) * RBL have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 4 matches and in 7 of their last 11 (all comps) * RBL have won 6 of their last 8 league fixture, collecting 19 points in the process. * in contrast, Hoffenheim have won only 2 of their last 8, collecting just 8 points * RBL have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 19 away league fixtures while they concede 2 or more in each of their last 3 away Bundesliga matches * Both of last seasons meetings between these two sides saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored. * Last seasons corresponding fixture finished in a 2.2 draw Final Verdict RBL are favourites for this top 6 clash in Germany with recent form suggesting they can win at an out of sorts Hoffenheim. Still, the home side have only lost 1 of their last 24 on their own patch and won't lie down to a side that have been scoring freely of lately. BTTS looks good here while I also fancy the visitors to score 2 or more in a fixture that could play out into an entertaining and high scoring draw. 14:30 Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/6, Over 3.5 match goals @1/1 Key Facts * Leverkusen have seen BTTS in 15 of their last 18 league fixtures including 6 of their last 7 * Leverkusen have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 7 home league fixtures * Leverkusen have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 7 home league fixtures * Leverkusen have seen OVER 3.5 match goals in 5 of their last 7 home league fixtures * Leverkusen have lost only 1 of their last 11 home league fixtures. They did draw 7 of those 11 games though * Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last 8 league fixtures with 4 wins and 4 draws * Dortmund have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 8 league fixtures * Dortmund have seen BTTS in each of their last 12 fixtures (league and champions league). 10 of those games also went over 2.5 goals * Dortmund have failed to win any of their last 6 league fixtures * Dortmund have seen 5 of their last 6 league fixtures go OVER 3.5 match goals * Dortmund drew 4.4 in their most recent league fixture with Schalke. * Dortmund's last 10 league fixtures have averaged a staggering 4.8 goals. Leverkusen's last 10 have averaged 3.2 * Just 1 point separates these two sides in the league table Final Verdict Goals. Lots of them. Surely? All of the stats on offer suggest we should be in for a goal-fest here and I can't see any other outcome with Leverkusen slight favourites against a flakey Dortmund side that will be reeling from their 4.0 surrender against Schalke last weekend. Leverkusen have improved in the last 2 months, going 8 unbeaten but they are still notoriously good at scoring and conceding so this one looks a stick on for goals with Dortmund averaging a staggering 4.8 goals in their last 10 league fixtures. I'm trying over 3.5 match goals @1/1 while BTTS and over 2.5 goals is the obvious pick @4/6. It's short but I'll be really surprised if this match delivers anything less than 3 goals while a clean-sheet for either side seems highly unlikely. 17:30 Schalke 04 vs FC Cologne - Prediction 2.0 Best Bets - Schalke to win @1/2, Schalke to score 2 or more @8/15 Key Facts * Schalke have scored 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 6 league fixtures including their 2 most recent fixtures * Schalke scored 4 in their sensational 4.4 comeback draw at Dortmund in their most recent outing * Schalke are unbeaten in their last 7 league fixtures, winning 4 and drawing 3 * Koln have only collected 2 points all season! * Koln have conceded 2 goals or more in 10 of their last 14 away league fixtures * Koln have conceded 2 goals or more in 8 of their 13 league fixtures this season * Koln also lost 10 of those 14 matches * Koln are missing 10 first team players due to injury Final Verdict Koln have had a truly dismal start to the season with 2 draws all they have to show for 3 months of domestic league action as they have struggled to marry their European and domestic commitments. Indeed Koln have actually taken more points in the Europa League than the Bundesliga which leaves this once great side staring relegation in the face with December only a few hours old. 2 points from 13 games is desperately poor for a side that finished in the top 7 last year. Still, they did manage to beat a weakened Arsenal in the Europa League 10 days ago. Schalke, on the other hand, are improving all the time and will have taken incredible encouragement from their stunning comeback draw at Dortmund last weekend and I expect them to pick up from where they left off in beating a Koln side that has shown little sign of improvement and considering their lengthy injury list, I can't see anything other than a comfortable home win here. Schalke welcome back their inspirational midfielder Leon Goretzka for this match and his influence should the hosts to a standard home victory over a poor Koln. Schalke are odds-on 1/2 to win and 8/15 to score 2 or more. I fancy they will get both. Serie A 19:45 Torino vs Atalanta - Prediction 1.1 Best Bets - BTTS @8/13, Draw @12/5 Key Facts * Torino have seen BTTS in 19 of their last 23 home league fixtures including 4 of their last 5 * Going back further, Torino have actually seen BTTS in a staggering 25 of their last 30 home league fixtures. That's 83% of all home games seeing BTTS since February 2016 * Torino have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 23 home league fixtures * Torino have drawn 7 of their last 12 home league fixtures including 3 of the last 5. * 4 of those 7 draws finished 2.2. The other 3 were 1.1 * Torino have drawn 7 of their 14 league games so far this season while Atalanta have drawn 4 * Atalanta have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 10 away fixtures (all competitions) * Atalanta have scored in 19 of their last 21 away league fixtures but not in their most recent outing at Inter * Atalanta scored 5 in their most recent away fixture at Everton * Atalanta have scored in 19 of their 20 away fixtures (all competitions) in 2017 * Atalanta have yet to win an away league fixtures this season, drawing 2 and losing 4 * Atalanta have drawn 1.1 in 4 of their last 9 away league fixtures * 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides has seen BTTS * Last seasons meetings in Turin also finished in a 1.1 draw * Both sides have 19 points after 14 games to sit 10th and 11th respectively in the table Final Verdict BTTS looks to have every chance with both sides knowing their way to goal at home and away respectively. Torino almost always scores at home, and Atalanta almost always on the road. Therefore, BTTS seems pretty logical @4/6 odds while the draw seems the likeliest outcome based on both sides recent form and pattern of draws. La Liga 17:30 Sevilla vs Deportivo La Coruna - Prediction 3.1 Best Bets - Over 2.5 goals @8/15, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21, Sevilla to win and BTTS @7/4 Key Facts * Sevilla have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in their last 4 home La Liga and Champions League fixtures * Sevilla scored 2 goals or more in 9 of their last 10 home fixtures and in 8 of their last 11 home league fixtures * Sevilla are unbeaten in their last 19 home league fixtures, winning 14 and drawing 5, while they have won 9 of their last 11 "en casa" * Sevilla have seen over BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 6 fixtures (League and CL) * Sevilla have scored 2 goals or more in 7 of their 8 most recent fixtures (all comps) * Sevilla have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 8 La Liga fixtures * Sevilla have seen an average of 4.1 goals per match in their last 10 fixtures (all comps) * Depor have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their 6 away league fixtures this season * Depor have scored 9 goals in those 6 games, only failing to net @Eibar * Going back further, Depor have seen BTTS in 15 of their last 21 away league fixtures since October 2016 * Depor have scored 2 goals or more in in 3 of their last 4 league fixtures * Depor have conceded 2 goals or more in 10 of their last 15 away league fixtures * 9 of the last 10 meetings between these two sides saw BTTS including each of the last 7! * 5 of those 7 also went over 2.5 goals including their 2 most recent contests * Sevilla scored 3 goals or more in 5 of those 7 matches * Sevilla won 4.2 and 3.2 in their two matches with Depor last season * Sevilla are unbeaten in their last 13 meetings with Depor Final Verdict A home win with goals at both ends seems quite possible here with these two sides usually producing entertaining contests over recent seasons. Sevilla have seen plenty of goals in their matches of late, while Depor have a good habbit of scoring on the road and I expect Sevilla to score at least 2 @4/9 or quite possibily 3 or more @5/4. Depor tend to struggle defensively on the road, and in meetings with Sevilla and recent form suggests we should see something similar again here. I fancy a comfortable 3.1 home win so I'm trying BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 and Sevilla to win and BTTS @7/4. If you want a safer bet, Sevilla to score 2 or more is pretty solid on the markets, if a bit short @4/9. Euro Best Bets Leverkusen vs Dortmund - BTTS and over 2.5 goals 4/6 Hoffenheim vs RBL - BTTS @1/2 Hoffenheim vs RBL - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 Leverkusen vs Dortmund - Over 3.5 match goals @1/1 Torino vs Atalanta - BTTS @8/13 Sevilla to score 2 or more @4/9 Schalke vs Koln - Schalke to win @1/2 Schalke vs Koln - Schalke to score 2 or more @8/15 Other Selections Sevilla vs Depor - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 Sevilla vs Depor - Sevilla to win and BTTS Torino vs Atalanta - Draw @12/5 Napoli vs Juventus - Napoli to score 2 or more @1/1 Napoli vs Juventus - BTTS @7/10, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @6/5 Comments are closed.
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