We have another three games covered from across the continent with two ties coming from the Bundesliga as well as Inter's home clash with Udinese in Serie A. In the Bundesliga, Dortmund welcome Hoffenheim to the Westfallen arena in a fixture that has always been good for goals while we round off the action with analysis of Augsburg's home tie with Freiburg. #BOlieve Bundesliga
14:30 Augsburg vs Freiburg – Prediction 2.1 Best Bets – Augsburg to score 2 or more @4/6 – 3 stars, Over 2.5 goals @17/20 – 3 stars, BTTS @4/5 - 2.5 stars Current Form
Final Verdict Both the BTTS and over 2.5 goal selections have decent value with recent stats suggesting this one should see goals and plenty of action. Freiburg are usually a mess at the back on their travels, leaking a whopping 33 goals in their last 10 away league fixtures with 9 of those matches also going over 2.5 goals. With Augsburg seeing that outcome as well in 8 of their last 10, we have to conclude that there is every chance of a similar result here with Freiburg also conceding 3 goals or more in 9 of their last 10 on the road. Given those stats, you would have to fancy the hosts to get at least 2 goals @4/6 odds with Freiburg simply unable to defend in away fixtures over the past 12 months. BTTS is not nailed on @4/5 but Augsburg have seen that outcome in 13 of their last 16 at home and with the visitors scoring 4 at Koln, they will be optimistic of scoring against an Augsburg side that have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 5 at home either. I fancy a home win with the visitors able to hit the net so I’m calling it 2.1 for Augsburg. 17:30 Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim - Prediction 2.1 Best Bets – BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/6 – 3 stars Current Form
Past Meetings
Final Verdict Had this fixture taken place a week or two earlier, it would have been a lock-in for BTTS and over 2.5 goals but with Dortmund changing their head coach and keeping a midweek clean-sheet in their win at Mainz, I am a little less confident of the selection than I otherwise would have been with Hoffenheim also going off the boil themselves lately. Still, historically this fixture has been great for goals with 80% of all their past meetings seeing BTTS and while Hoffenheim have failed to score in their last 2 away fixtures, they have been potent in the BTTS market on the road over the past 12 months and given their history with Dortmund, will fancy their chances of taking something from the game. While Dortmund will surely look to tighten up defensively following the arrival of their new head coach, Peter Stoger, it may not be the easiest of tasks with Dortmund leaking 24 goals in their last 11 fixtures although that midweek clean sheet and victory at Mainz will have certainly lifted spirits given that it was Borussia's first win in the Bundesliga since September. Dortmund are certainly too short @1/2 to win so goals is definitely the safer play here with the hosts not yet to be trusted, despite that midweek win at Mainz while Hoffenheim, despite their recent struggles, are not to be written off and will be confident of testing a defence that has conceded an average of more than 2 goals per game over their last 10 matches. As we mentioned, this fixture has seen BTTS in each of the last 6 but BTTS is too short at just 4/9 odds while over 2.5 goals is also a bit on the lean side @2/5 so I’ll take the double at more reasonable 4/6 odds. We should see goals here with Dortmund the likelier to edge the 3 points. Serie A 14:00 Inter vs Udinese – Prediction 2.1 Best Bets – Inter to score 2 or more @4/9 – 4 stars, Inter to win and BTTS @2/1 – 1 Star Current Form
Past Meetings
Final Verdict Inter should have too much in the tank for an improving Udinese side in a fixture that has so often produced plenty of goals in past seasons. Recent meetings have gone with Inter though, winning each of their last 5 and you would be surprised if they don’t continue that form here given their outstanding performance so far this season, and I expect them to score 2 or more @4/9 odds while Inter to win and BTTS @2/1 is more of a long shot, but has a chance with Udinese scoring in their last 7 away matches and in 5 of their last 6 meetings with Inter. BTTS and over 2.5 goals @13/10 has a good chance as well but as I see it, if that outcome does arise, it will be on the side of Inter so I will take a small punt on a home win with BTTS. Euro Best Bets Dortmund vs Hoffenheim - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/6 – 3 stars Inter vs Udinese - – Inter to score 2 or more @4/9 – 4 stars Augsburg vs Freiburg - Augsburg to score 2 or more @4/6 – 3 stars Augsburg vs Freiburg - Over 2.5 goals @17/20 – 3 stars Augsburg vs Freiburg - BTTS @4/5 - 2.5 stars Inter to win and BTTS @2/1 – 1 Star Comments are closed.
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