So with the World Cup now little more than a beautiful memory, it is time to turn our attention to the new football season which gets under way in the next 2 weeks and with this new season we shall introduce some small changes to Bobreaksthebookies.
With this being our first full season in the business, I will be establishing a set of rules and staking plans to ensure that all of my selections are clear, easy to follow and will be based on an initial starting bankroll of 1000 Euros so at all times it should be clear what our profits are (and losses...yeah right!) I will be using bet365 exclusively for my bets so all prices and selections can be found on their website and as in the last months, I will be looking to cover or “cash out” on potential winners when they are in an acceptable profit range. Remember the end game is profit and not the glory of a 5 game acca coming in at 33/1 (although I’m sure we will have plenty of those too) and while I do not have the resources to provide a live update on when to cash out, I will try to provide some good examples so that it becomes clearer as to when and how we cover our stakes to ensure profit. I will also be using a point’s based system to dictate my stake and strength of the bet. For example, 1 point is = to 1% of the bankroll and represents the lowest confidence in a selection, with 5 points at 5% the highest. IE, if I am tipping Chelsea to win at home with great confidence, then it would be a 5 point selection whereby I am staking 5% of my bankroll and giving it the maximum confidence. Conversely, if I am picking an ambitious 10/1 treble, then it will usually be a 1 point selection. The staking plan is as follows; Starting bankroll – 1000 Euros 1 point = 1% of bankroll i.e. 10 Euros and represents minimum confidence 5 points =5% of bankroll i.e. 50 Euros and represents maximum confidence I will never put more than 5 points on any single bet so it will always be either a 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 point selection and over the course of the week I will endeavour to post selections on most if not all of the days of the week and we will never stake more than 25% of our starting balance in any one week. I will usually post a “Bo’s Best Bet” which will be 1 selection at odds between 1.75 and 2.5 and a “Daily Double” which will be 2 selections with combined odds similar to that of the “Best Bet”. Other selections will include “Bo’s Tasty Treble” which will be 3 selections at odds of between 2.0 and 3.0 and my Amazinng Accas” will be a combination of 4 or more selections at higher odds. Our focus this season will be on the EPL, The Championship (England and Scotland) BUNDESLIGA, LA LIGA, SERIE A, DUTCH EREDIVISIE and the lower leagues in England will also feature heavily in my selections and you can expect the odd left field selection from other leagues across Europe. All of my selections will be researched thoroughly using a variety of different sources and most of the statistical analysis will come from whoscored.com who provide tremendous data which makes breaking the bookies more possible than ever before. The advent of the internet must have been the bookies worst nightmare some years ago as it is hard to imagine that the amount of analysis and research done these days would have been achieved by your regular arm chair punter who would have been stuck using his own knowledge and the local paper to place his bets. But not in the 21st century and certainly not at bobreaksbookies where all of my bets will be analysed in detail. Team news, form, historical comparisons and my own intuition will all be considered when picking my selections and given our form over the summer and in the final 2 months of last season, I am thoroughly confident that this will be a fine season for Bo and all those who chose to follow the tips. Comments are closed.
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