It's a tough card ahead on Saturday with very few outright winners standing out and with Man City and Everton letting me down so badly this week, I am making today a GOALS GALORE special and will be selecting only BTTS selections for my bets today having been stung so hard by my supposed home bankers.
There is a full card in Italy where I expect to see goals in Rome, where Lazio entertain Torina and in Parma where Inter come to town. Other fixtures of note include Fiorentina at home to Roma in the evening kick-off which promises to be closely fought. It is however in Germany that the focus of my attention is diverted with old favourites Hoffenheim heading to Bremen and Hamburg hosting Wolfsburg. Quite simply both games have BTTS written all over them both in a historical context and in terms of recent league form. Stastically, Hoffenheim's visit to Bremen screams out BTTS. Ths fixture has seen BTTS in each of their last 8 meetings, while BTTS has occurred in 5 of Hoffeheims last 6 away fixtures, and 5 out of 6 of Bremen's last 6 home games. Those stats are too good to ignore and if you need a little more convincing, there have been 45 goals in Bremen's 15 home fixtures this season and they have the worst defense at home in the league, conceding 29 goals in the process. By contrast, Hoffenheim have the 3rd highest total for away goals in the league, while conceding the 3rd highest amount in the process. Convinced yet? The price of 4/11 is the shortest you are ever likely to see but it looks nailed on and just cannot be ignored, as it would seem In Hamburg with Wolfsburg the visitors. Historically, this fixture has yielded BTTS in each of the last 6 meetings in Hamburg with 10 out of the last 12 resulting in BTTS. Current form would suggest the trend is set to continue with BTTS occurring in each of Wolfsburg's last 6 away matches and in the last 4 of Hamburg's home fixtures. The price of 1/2 reflects this but will not deter me, I also have my eye on a weakened Bayern Munich heading to bottom of the table Brauschweig who despite their lowly position are in tremendous form at home, unbeaten in 5, winning 3 and scoring in each of their last 6 home games. Of course I was stung on picking out a BTTS last week when Bayern incredibly failed to hit the back of the net against Augsburg in their 1.0 defeat. Surely not again? The price of 4/5 on BTTS looks good and is certainly a strong consideration. The fixtures in England are limited at best. I fancy BTTS in the early kick-off between Tottenham and Fulham but with it being an early start, I will leave it out. I would not be surprised to see Fulham take the points, and they are 11/2 to pull of the upset. Under Sherwood Spurs are a comedy and Fulham have improved greatly under the wily Felix Magath and should score and possibly earn a point. Other fixtures include Cardiff hosting Stoke in a last chance saloon encounter for Ole Gunnar Solsjkaer and Aston Villa welcome Southampton minus the injured Jay Rodriguez while Chelsea should see off Sunderland at the Bridge. Newcastle's home tie with Swansea is not worth a bet, but the Swans could well float away with 3 points and finally in the top flight, West Ham host Palace in a sort of dead rubber fixture where goals could be at a premium. Not much stands out from any of those fixtures, even Chelsea who should be nailed on to beat Sunderland at 1/5 but my memory is not that short! Sunderland perform much better against the better teams and might make it tough for Chelsea but given The Blues remarkable home form under The Special One, a home victory with a clean sheet is the expected outcome. There are 1 or 2 fixtures in the Championship to consider but overall it is a day where home wins and bankers are limited and my search for tomorrow is based purely on goals. I will post my final selections later today. A Daily Double, Tasty Treble and Amazing Acca to follow. I will also include a reduced stake Tasty Treble. Early Shortlist Werder Bremen v Hoffenheim BTTS 4/11 Hamburg v Wolfsburg BTTS 1/2 Brauchsweig v Bayern BTTS 4/5 Lazio v Torino BTTS 8/11 Parma v Inter BTTS 4/5 Nottingham Forest v Birmingham BTTS 4/6 Comments are closed.
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