It was a tremendous return for @bobreaksbookies this past weekend with both my weekend NAP's and NB's landing as well as a host of other tips and with that, we move on to an exciting evening of Champions League action and we have 5 huge previews for the best of the action on offer tonight. Game of the night could well come from Seville as Liverpool come to town while goals are expected in Germany as struggling Dortmund host group leaders Spurs. Here then is what I've come up with for a big night of action. #BOlieve *****LIVE UPDATE AT 22.05************* 11 out of 12 winners, 2 correct scores from 5 matches. Another wonderful night @bobreaksbookies. Can anyone find me a better preview then this one tonight? 17:00 Besiktas vs FC Porto - Prediction - 1.1
Best Bets - BTTS @4/5, Draw @11/5 Key Facts * Besiktas have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 CL fixtures since 2016 * Besiktas have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 home CL fixtures * Besiktas have seen BTTS in 3 of their 4 CL fixtures this season * Besiktas have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 8 fixtures (all competitions) * Besiktas have drawn each of their last 4 home fixtures (in all competitions) * Besiktas have lost only 1 of their last 10 CL fixtures * Porto have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 4 fixtures (all comps) * Porto have seen Over 2.5 goals scored in all 4 of their CL fixtures so far this season. 3 of those 4 also saw BTTS * 16 goals were scored in those 4 fixtures * Porto have scored 2 goals or more in their last 3 CL fixtures * Porto sit 2nd in the table, 4 points behind Besiktas and only 2 ahead of 3rd placed RBL Leipzig * Porto have scored in 12 of their last 16 away CL fixtures including 5 goals in their last 2 away fixtures (at Monaco and RBL) Final Verdict Having won 3.1 in Portugal, Besiktas will be confident of claiming the point they need to progress to the last 16 in a tie that has every chance of seeing BTTS with goals not being in short supply in this group with 6 of the 8 fixtures seeing BTTS with an average of just under 3 goals per game. Porto are in good form in their own domestic competition, winning their last 4 while the Turks have drawn their last 4 at home domestically and kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 8 so I fancy BTTS @4/5 while a draw seems quite possible with Besiktas requiring only the 1 point to secure their first-ever passage to the knockout stages. Porto on their part will be hoping that RBL also drop points at Monaco to keep them in pole position heading into their final fixture with Monaco in Portugal so a share of the spoils might suit both teams ultimately and that's my call on this early kick-off in a fixture that offers value in the BTTS market at 4/5 odds. ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Napoli vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Prediction 3.1 Best Bets - Napoli to score 2 or more @2/5, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Key Facts * Napoli have scored 2 goals or more in 12 of their last 13 home fixtures since February (all comps) * Napoli have lost 3 of their 4 CL fixtures so far and have to win here to have ANY chance to qualify * Napoli have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 7 home CL fixtures * Napoli have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in their last 3 home CL fixtures * Napoli have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in ALL 4 CL fixtures this season and in 9 of their 11 most recent CL fixtures * Shakthar have lost 5 of their last 6 away CL fixtures * Shakthar require just 1 more point to secure their passage to the last 16 * Shakthar have failed to score in 7 of their last 9 away CL fixtures although they did win 2.1 at Feyenoord in their most recent outing * Shakthar lost 5 of their last 6 away CL fixtures, failing to score in all 5 losses while they conceded 2 goals or more in 4 of those games Final Verdict Napoli have to win and that's what I expect with Shakthar not the best travellers and the Italians so strong at home and desperate for the 3 points to keep their slim chances of qualification alive. Napoli have been on fire in Serie A, while they have scored 2 goals or more in 13 of their last 14 at home and while the price is short @2/5, you can add that pick to one of my BTTS selections for a tasty 1/1 double. The poor away record of the visitors does give me some concern for the BTTS pick but Napoli have conceded more often than not this season and if they do attack as they need to, there could be gaps for Shakthars dangerous Brazilian forwards Taison, Malcolm and Bernard to exploit so I will try BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 but with less confidence than 1 or 2 other picks today. ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Monaco vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - Prediction 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS @8/15, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 Key Facts * Monaco have seen BTTS in 3 of their 4 CL fixtures this season and in 8 of their 10 CL fixtures in 2017 * Monaco sit bottom of the group, 2 points behind their opponents * Monaco have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 9 home CL fixtures while they have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 6 at home in the CL * Monaco have not won any of their last 6 CL fixtures. They had won 8 of their previous 12 * RBL have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures (in all competitions) * RBL have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 9 away fixtures (in all competitions) * RBL have seen BTTS in 3 of their 4 CL fixtures this season with both of their matches against Porto seeing BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored * RBL have conceded 2 goals or more in each of their last 3 CL fixtures * RBL have conceded 2 goals or more in 5 of their last 6 fixtures in all competitions Final Verdict I expect goals in this contest with Monaco knowing only a win will do if they are to keep their slim chances of qualification alive but they should face a stiff test in the shape of a RBL side that are still very much in the hunt for qualification themselves. Both sides have performed well domestically with Monaco 2nd in Ligue 1 and RBL 3rd in the Bundesliga but Europe has been more of a struggle, in particular for Monaco who sit bottom of the section with only 2 points achieved thus far. Neither side have impressed greatly in this seasons competition though with RBL looking somewhat naive in their first ever foray into the Champions League, leaking 8 goals in their 4 ties although, with 4 points collected, they still have a chance to qualify. Those defensive frailties were on show once more domestically as they managed to throw away a 2.1 lead at Leverkusen this past weekend, despite the hosts being reduced to 10 men. Still, they always have goals in them and that's what I expect here. Meanwhile, Monaco have struggled following the breakup of the talent-ridden team that rode the crest of a wave last season in reaching the semi-finals of the competition. 2 points from 4 games played is a big disappointment for a side that still have the likes of Falcao, Keita Balde, Jovetic and Fabihno in their ranks. Ultimately I expect both sides to play for the 3 points on offer so goals should be on the cards. BTTS is short but solid @8/15 while BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 is also a favourite of mine for this fixture that could finish as a high scoring draw although a home win with both scoring wouldn't surprise me either. ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Sevilla vs Liverpool - Prediction 2.2 Best Bets - BTTS @1/2, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 Key Facts * Sevilla have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their 6 CL fixtures this season (including qualifiers) * Sevilla have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 home CL fixtures * Sevilla have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in their last 3 home fixtures (in all competitions) * Sevilla have scored in all 20 home Champions League fixtures since they first entered the competition in 2007 * Sevilla have won their last 7 home fixtures (in all competitions) while they have not lost any of their last 25 * However Sevilla have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 8 fixtures (against Cartagena in the Copa Del Rey) * Liverpool have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures (all competitions) * Liverpool have scored 21 goals in their last 6 away fixtures (all competitions) * However, Liverpool have kept just 1 away clean sheet in 10 away fixtures this season * Liverpool have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 4 away CL fixtures with 2 of those going over 2.5 goals * Sevilla have seen each of their last 6 CL fixtures going over 2.5 goals while Liverpool have seen that outcome in 5 of their last 6 Final Verdict Both sides are in great form and with it all to play for here so I expect another entertaining contest with BTTS and overs looking good once more @5/6 odds. Liverpool have only managed 1 clean sheet in 10 away fixtures this season, and that came as they trounced lowly Maribor 7.0 in Slovenia while Sevilla have only managed 1 clean sheet in their last 8, also against weaker opposition in the shape of Cartagena, so BTTS looks nailed on @1/2 All of the stats detailed above certainly suggest both sides should score and with Spartak Moscow still very much in contention just 2 and 3 points behind these two sides, both will certainly play to win, especially Sevilla, considering their head to heard record with the Russians. So, to that end, we should see an open and end to end contest with Liverpool also looking for that win that would book their passage into the last 16 .Therefor, goals are the call again here and I fancy this one to finish in another draw which would leave all 3 sides still in with a chance of progress going into the final round of fixtures. ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 19:45 Borussia Dortmund vs Tottenham - Prediction 1.2 Best Bets - BTTS @8/15, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6, Spurs to score 2 or more @5/4 - Check team news Key Facts * Dortmund have seen BTTS in 11 of their last 12 fixtures in all competitions * 9 of those games also went over 2.5 goals * Dortmund have seen BTTS in each of their last 6 home fixtures (in all comps) * Dortmund have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 7 Bundesliga fixtures. * Dortmund have lost 4 of their last 5 Bundesliga fixtures, while they have won only 1 of their last 9 Bundesliga or CL fixtures * Dortmund have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 home CL fixtures and only 4 in the past 19 * Dortmund have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 CL fixtures including each of the last 6! * 4 of those recent 6 games also went over 2.5 goals * Dortmund sit bottom of the group with only 2 points from 4 fixtures * Spurs have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 CL fixtures. 4 of those also went over 2.5 goals * Spurs have lost only 1 of their last 5 away CL fixtures, scoring in 4 of those matches * Spurs have scored in 9 of their 11 away CL fixtures since 2010 * Spurs won 3.1 in the reverse fixture at Wembley * Spurs have scored 16 goals in 8 away fixtures this season (in all comps) although they failed to score in their last 2 away fixtures at Man United and Arsenal Final Verdict You have to fancy goals here with Dortmund struggling for form and Spurs looking to seal their path into the last 16 as group winners. Considering their previous meeting, and the two relative styles of the sides involved, goals look nailed on and BTTS is short @1/2 but that outcome does seem likely. I also fancy this one to go over 2.5 goals as well with Spurs certainly the likelier to claim the victory, at least on current form. Spurs to score 2 or more @5/4 holds some appeal although I would like to see the teamnews here before settling on my final picks. ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Tuesday Best Bets NAP DOUBLE Sevilla vs Liverpool - BTTS @1/2 = Borussia Dortmund vs Tottenham - BTTS @8/15 = WON Best of the Rest Borussia Dortmund vs Tottenham - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 - NB - WON Napoli vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Napoli to score 2 or more @2/5 - WON Monaco vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - BTTS @8/15 - WON Monaco vs RasenBallsport Leipzig - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 - WON Sevilla vs Liverpool - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @4/5 - WON Besiktas vs FC Porto - BTTS @4/5 - WON Napoli vs Shakhtar Donetsk - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 - WON Borussia Dortmund vs Tottenham - Spurs to score 2 or more @5/4 - WON Draws Besiktas vs Porto - WON Sevilla vs Liverpool - WON Comments are closed.
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