It's been a busy and tough weekend of action across Europe and there is still plenty of Easter football on offer later today with a full card in the Football League to consider with my focus turning to The Championship. .
The Easter weekend has always been a manic time of the year in England with teams playing twice in the space of 48 hours and this has to be factored in when considering the markets today. There are seldom any bankers in The Championship and with the lack of recovery time to be factored in, the logical conclusion is to again look for goals and not winners. There are 1 or 2 teams I expect to win tomorrow, including Brighton at home to a desperate Barry Ferguson lead Blackpool, and Derby at home to relegation threatened Barnsley. I also fancy Watford to take the points in their trip to QPR.but caution will be heeded with surprises likely across the board. However as I mentioned, goals will be my focus again today and there are 3 games which look highly promising based on the statistical analysis. Firstly, Ipswich play host to Bournemouth in what is bound to be a cup tie style encounter with both sides still holding ambitions on reaching the final playoff position and the recent stats would seem to back up the likelyhood of BTTS at 8/13. Ipswich have had BTTS in 12 of their last 16 home matches while Bournemouth have seen BTTS in their last 6 outings in the division. Both sides are desperate for the points and I can see an open, exciting, end to end battle and BTTS has to have a good chance. Next on my agenda is the tie between Birmingham and Blackburn at St Andrews. Historically, these teams have produced a BTTS match on 11 out of 12 previous meetings while current form suggests this trend can continue today with Blackburn's last 4 away games producing 22 goals and BTTS in all 4. Indeed 7 of their last 10 on the road have had BTTS. Birmingham meanwhile have had 7 of their last 8 games resulting in BTTS with each of their last 6 at home having the same outcome. BTTS is priced at 8/13 and once again would seem to have a very good chance. Finally, Leeds against Forest is one that I am slightly less confident in but history again suggests this is a match that guarantees goals. In their last 5 encounters, BTTS has occurred on each occasion with a remarkable 27 goals in those encounters including 18 in the last 3 meetings at Elland Road. Indeed 9 of their last 10 meetings have had BTTS. Current form would also suggest BTTS has a very high likelyhood with 7 of Forest's last 10 away fixtures ending with BTTS and 4 of Leeds last 6 at home. The price of 4/7 is still good value for what looks like a possible goal fest in Leeds and I fancy Forest to win as well. BTTS and away win is 15/4 There are plenty of other fixtures to consider, and I will post my final selections later on today but I will more than likely ignore the encounter between Man City and West Brom which looks like a home win all day long but I am pretty sure we had the same feeling last Monday! *One final point, i will be adding (for fun) some BTTS and win selections. This is a very exciting and popular market as 3 selections or above can yield a high return. Similar to my "Bonkers Bet" this will be a purely for fun selection and I will post an example for tomorrow below. Happy Easter Monday BTTS Shortlist Leeds v Forest Ipswich v Bournemouth Birmingham v Blackburn Top Home Selections Derby Millwall Brighton Peterborough Top Away Selections Nottingham Forest Watford BTTS and Win (Here we are predicting matches with BTTS and the winner of the match) Forest to beat Leeds and BTTS - 15/4 Ipswich to beat Bournemouth and BTTS - 10/3 Millwall to beat Doncaster and BTTS - 10/3 Treble pays at 76/1 Comments are closed.
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