17:00 Borussia M.Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction 1.3
Current Form * Dortmund have seen BTTS in 80% of away matches over the last 16 months * Dortmund have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 8 away Bundesliga matches. 5 of those 7 also went over 2.5 goals * Dortmund scored 2 goals or more in 6 of their last 9 away league matches * Dortmund have won 4 and drawn 3 of their last 7 league matches. They had failed to win any of the previous 7 * Dortmund scored 2 goals or more in 5 of those 7 matches * BMG have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 8 home league matches * BMG have lost 6 of their last 9 league matches including 4 of the last 5 * BMG have failed to score in their last 3 league matches * Dortmund sit 3rd in the table, 6 points ahead of BMG in 10th Past Meetings * Dortmund have scored 3 goals or more in each of their last 5 matches against BMG * Dortmund won all 5 matches, scoring a total of 20 goals * Over 2.5 goals were scored in each of the last 6 meetings. 5 of those also saw BTTS * Each of the last 3 meetings in Moenchengladbach saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored * 7 of the last 8 meetings went over 2.5 goals Final Verdict Current form and past meetings both suggest an away win for Dortmund is likely with goals at both ends also a strong possibility. BTTS is awfully short at just 1/2, especially considering BMG are without a goal in their last 3 league outings but Dortmund have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 8 away in the league and with the hosts also seeing that outcome in 6 of their last 8 at home, you would have to say that BTTS is more likely than not. Dortmund have both the edge in current form and past meetings and having scored 3 goals or more in their last 5 against BMG, I'm confident that can grab 2 or more @5/6 odds. BMG have a solid home record, even beating Bayern in November but they have looked poor recently, losing 4 of their last 5 in the league and Dortmund can take advantage having gone unbeaten in 7, with 4 wins and scoring 2 goals or more in 5 of those 7 fixtures. It says a lot about the competitiveness of the Bundesliga that only 6 points separate these two sides with BMG 7 places behind Dortmund in the league standings and we should expect a keenly fought fixture here, even if Dortmund have been dominant in recent years, scoring 20 goals in their 5 recent wins over BMG. Ultimately I do expect goals so BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 is short but likely, while Dortmund to score 2 or more @5/6 is based on their current improvements and that fantastic recent record over their opponents here. Best Bets BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6 - 2.5 stars Dortmund to score 2 or more @5/6 - 2.5 stars 14:00 Benevento vs Crotone - Prediction 2.1 Current Form * Benevento have scored at least 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 home league matches with their only blank coming against Napoli * Benevento have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 home league matches * Benevento have kept just 1 clean sheet in 12 home matches this season * Benevento are bottom of the table and have taken only 7 points this season * Crotone have scored in 6 of their last 11 away league matches * Crotone failed to score at Juventus (2nd), Roma (4th), Lazio (5th), Sampdoria (6th) and Milan (7th) * Crotone have drawn their last 3 league matches. All those matches finished 1.1 Past Meetings * Crotone won 2.0 in this season's first meeting between these two sides in Serie A Final Verdict Lowly Benevento take on Crotone this Sunday afternoon and goals at both ends has every chance with the hosts likely to take the game to the visiting side who sit 2 places but 14 points ahead of the opponents here. While BTTS is not an obvious choice, I do expect chances at both ends with Benevento desperate for 3 points but unable to do clean sheets at home with just 1 all season and while Crotone are hardly prolific on the road, they have managed to score in 6 of their last 11 away and with Benevento showing some signs of fight in recent weeks, even if they have lost their last 4, I expect the home side to score, having done so in 6 of their last 7 at home. Best Bets - BTTS @4/5 15:45 PEC Zwolle vs Ajax - Prediction 1.3 Current Form * PEC have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 9 home league matches including 4 of the last 5 * PEC have scored at least 1 goal in 21 of their last 22 home matches (all comps) * PEC have lost 3 of their last 4 league matches * PEC have conceded 16 goals in their last 7 league matches * PEC conceded 2 or more in 6 of those 7 games * Ajax have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 7 away league matches * Ajax have kept only 4 clean sheets in their last 16 away league matches * Ajax have scored a whopping 28 goals in their last 8 away league matches * Ajax scored 2 goals or more in 7 of those 8 matches, and 3 more in 6. * Ajax are unbeaten in 10 away league matches, winning 7. * Ajax have scored 2 goals or more in 15 of their last 17 league matches * Ajax actually scored 3 goals or more in 12 of those 17 matches Past Meetings * Ajax have won the last 5 meetings against PEC * Ajax scored 3 goals or more in each of their last 4 meetings * 2 of the last 3 meetings saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored * Ajax won 3.1 in their last meeting in Zwolle * PEC have scored at least 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 home matches against Ajax * 5 of those 7 matches saw BTTS Final Verdict Ajax will be confident of taking another 3 points in Zwolle on Sunday afternoon having won each of their last 5 against PEC. The visitors are in rampant goal-scoring form and they should score at least a couple here against a PEC side that aren't in the best of form, losing 3 of their last 4. Still, the hosts usually manage to score a goal, and with Ajax conceding at least 1 goal in 12 of their last 16 on the road, I fancy BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 with Ajax possibly able to score 3 or more @6/5 odds having done so in 6 of their last 8 away league matches and in their last 4 meetings with PEC. Best Bets BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21 - 2.5 stars Ajax to score 3 or more @6/5 - 2.5 stars 20:00 Marseille vs Bordeaux - Prediction 2.2 Current Form * Marseille scored 2 goals or more in 8 of their last 9 home league matches * Marseille scored 26 goals in those 9 matches * Marseille scored 20 goals in their last 4 matches - (all comps) * Marseille have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 3 league matches * 17 goals were scored in those 3 games * Marseille have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 5 home league matches * Bordeaux have won 5 of their last 6 league matches * Prior to those 5 wins, Bordeaux had lost 9 of their previous 12, winning just 1 * Bordeaux had started the season with 4 wins and 3 draws * Bordeaux have scored 8 goals in their last 3 league matches Past Meetings * 7 of the last 9 meetings finished as draws including each of the last 5 * 4 of the last 6 meetings in Marseille finished as draws Final Verdict Current form suggests Bordeaux will do well to stop a rampant Marseille side that have been scoring goals for fun lately but past meetings between these two sides have been tight affairs with each of the last 5 finishing level and we should see another closely fought contest here with Bordeaux finding some form in recent weeks under former Sunderland boss, Gus Poyet. Following his appointment in January, Poyet has lead his new side to 4 straight league wins with Bordeaux struggling badly prior to his arrival, losing 10 their previous 14 and given their recent positive record against Marseille, they will be confident of taking a point or better, especially with the hosts suffering suspension and injury problems ahead of this fixture. While Marseille are in great form, they have had a busy schedule recently and their midweek win over Braga in the Europa League will have perhaps increased the fatigue for a side that is facing their 9th game in just 1 month. By comparison, Bordeaux are facing their 6th fixture over the same period. Marseille though can't stop scoring, with 2 or more in 8 of their last 9 at home and I expect them to manage that here again @4/6 odds in what should be a decent contest from the Stade Velodrome with the visitors capable of taking something from what has always been a closely fought contest between traditional Ligue 1 rivals. Best Bets Marseille to score 2 or more @4/6 - 3 stars BTTS @4/5 - 2.5 stars Draw @3/1- 1 star Comments are closed.
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